The Impact of the Early Away Goal in ÚRVALSDEILD and a Quick Response > 1-1

Posted on: July 4th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 32 games in Iceland ÚRVALSDEILD where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and a response within T + 10 minutes

50% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

11-7-14 < no point showing that there are not quick responses in a game in ÚRVALSDEILD re a 1-1 FT sample because only 3/32 ended 1-1 >

the basic reason why lowered expectation of a draw in this profile in ÚRVALSDEILD is because of the early goal metric and expectation of acceleration of goal production

29/32 over 2.5 goals

25/32 over 3.5 = goal = 78% = 1.28 > and at 1-1 over 3.5 will be offered at monster bigger then 1.28

with 56% = 4/5 ending over 4.5 goals > the goal line at 1-1 in general will be set at 3.5 when it should be 4.5 to factor in expectation of acceleration of goal production < and the icing on the cake in this profile in ÚRVALSDEILD = no home bias

Stjarnan
1 – 2
Víkingur Reykjavík
0 – 1
15′ A. Hilmarsson
J. Laxdal 16′
1 – 1
1 – 2
73′ R. Sveinsson

Fjölnir
1 – 1
Víkingur Ólafsvík
0 – 1
12′ G. Hafsteinsson
I. Óskarsson 15′
1 – 1

Víkingur Ólafsvík
2 – 3
Stjarnan
0 – 1
17′ B. Sigurðsson
H. Tokić 19′
1 – 1
1 – 2
29′ G. Sigurdarson
T. Ragnarsson 65′
2 – 2
2 – 3
67′ A. Björgvinsson

Valur
2 – 1
ÍBV
0 – 1
11′ S. Smidt
G. Lýdsson 17′
1 – 1
K. Halldórsson 44′
2 – 1

ÍA
4 – 2
Stjarnan
0 – 1
5′ Hilmar Halldórsson
G. Gunnlaugsson (PG) 8′
1 – 1
1 – 2
56′ B. Guðjónsson
G. Gunnlaugsson 63′
2 – 2
D. Lough 66′
3 – 2
G. Gunnlaugsson 72′
4 – 2

Víkingur Reykjavík
3 – 2
ÍA
0 – 1
2′ J. Ákason
V. Tufegdžić 3′
1 – 1
1 – 2
5′ G. Gunnlaugsson
O. Karlsson 55′
2 – 2
I. Jónsson 90′
3 – 2

FH
3 – 1
ÍBV
0 – 1
15′ I. Jeffs
S. Lennon 25′
1 – 1
A. Guðnason 48′
2 – 1
S. Lennon (PG) 79′
3 – 1

Leiknir Reykjavík
2 – 3
Fjölnir
0 – 1
16′ Guðmundur Karl Guðmundsson
Hilmar Halldórsson 20′
1 – 1
K. Jónsson 24′
2 – 1
2 – 2
83′ Guðmundur Karl Guðmundsson
2 – 3
90′ K. Chopart

Fylkir
3 – 3
Keflavík
0 – 1
6′ H. Rúnarsson
I. Óskarsson 11′
1 – 1
1 – 2
15′ M. Hummervoll
A. Ingason 19′
2 – 2
A. Ingason 21′
3 – 2
3 – 3
76′ M. Matthíasson (PG)

Breidablik
2 – 4
FH
0 – 1
10′ I. Óskarsson
A. Vilhjálmsson 11′
1 – 1
1 – 2
31′ A. Björnsson
1 – 3
39′ K. Doumbia
A. Adalsteinsson 44′
2 – 3
2 – 4
90′ J. Jónsson

Breidablik
1 – 4
Fylkir
0 – 1
2′ K. Breiðdal
N. Rohde 5′
1 – 1
1 – 2
8′ K. Breiðdal
1 – 3
31′ A. Magnússon
1 – 4
86′ V. Kjartansson

Breidablik
3 – 1
ÍBV
0 – 1
4′ E. Sigurbjörnsson
A. Vilhjálmsson 9′
1 – 1
E. Hreinsson 20′
2 – 1
N. Rohde 71′
3 – 1

Selfoss
1 – 3
ÍA
0 – 1
11′ J. Ákason
J. Røyrane 14′
1 – 1
1 – 2
38′ G. Gunnlaugsson
1 – 3
41′ A. Gudjónsson

Stjarnan
4 – 2
Selfoss
0 – 1
17′ V. Kjartansson (PG)
G. Johannsson 24′
1 – 1
G. Johannsson 39′
2 – 1
2 – 2
45′ J. Røyrane
E. Hreinsson 62′
3 – 2
B. Sturluson 71′
4 – 2

Valur
4 – 1
Grindavík
0 – 1
16′ H. Vilhjálmsson
H. Sigurðsson 21′
1 – 1
M. Gudmundsson 29′
2 – 1
I. Thorláksson 57′
3 – 1
I. Thorláksson 61′
4 – 1

FH
4 – 2
ÍBV
0 – 1
19′ A. Ólafsson (PG)
A. Guðnason 27′
1 – 1
A. Björnsson 45′
2 – 1
A. Guðnason 59′
3 – 1
3 – 2
62′ T. Mawejje
A. Björnsson 72′
4 – 2

Grindavík
2 – 2
Stjarnan
0 – 1
6′ J. Laxdal
S. Ramsay 14′
1 – 1
1 – 2
44′ H. Björnsson (PG)
M. Björgvinsson 88′
2 – 2

Breidablik
1 – 2
ÍBV
0 – 1
16′ K. Mellor
K. Steindorsson 24′
1 – 1
1 – 2
61′ I. Jeffs

Víkingur Reykjavík
1 – 3
FH
0 – 1
18′ E. Pálsson
H. Sigurdsson 25′
1 – 1
1 – 2
28′ B. Sverrisson (PG)
1 – 3
89′ M. Vilhjálmsson

Keflavík
1 – 2
Grindavík
0 – 1
20′ O. Hjaltalín
G. Steinarsson 27′
1 – 1
1 – 2
89′ Ó. Bjarnason

Fylkir
1 – 1
Thór
0 – 1
8′ S. Jónsson
A. Ingason 11′
1 – 1

Breidablik
2 – 3
KR
0 – 1
6′ K. Finnbogason (PG)
K. Steindorsson (PG) 15′
1 – 1
1 – 2
36′ K. Finnbogason
1 – 3
57′ F. Margeirsson (OG)
G. Kristjánsson 90′
2 – 3

Stjarnan
2 – 3
Fram
0 – 1
18′ Í. Björnsson
A. Jóhannsson 26′
1 – 1
T. Árnason 56′
2 – 1
2 – 2
77′ J. Fjóluson
2 – 3
89′ Í. Björnsson
2-3

Grindavík
3 – 1
FH View events More info
0 – 1
18′ A. Björnsson
G. M’Bang Ondo 23′
1 – 1
G. M’Bang Ondo 89′
2 – 1
Ó. Bjarnason 90′
3 – 1

Stjarnan
3 – 2
Selfoss
0 – 1
2′ J. Böðvarsson
E. Hreinsson 9′
1 – 1
A. Jóhannsson 15′
2 – 1
H. Björnsson 77′
3 – 1
3 – 2
80′ K. Sigurdsson

Keflavík
1 – 1
Grindavík
0 – 1
8′ G. M’Bang Ondo
J. Gudmundsson 9′
1 – 1

Haukar
3 – 3
KR
0 – 1
3′ G. Sigurdarson
A. Gunnlaugsson (PG) 11′
1 – 1
H. Emilsson 33′
2 – 1
G. Lýdsson 40′
3 – 1
3 – 2
79′ B. Takefusa (PG)
3 – 3
83′ G. Baldvinsson

Breidablik
2 – 3
Grindavík
0 – 1
18′ G. M’Bang Ondo (PG)
A. Adalsteinsson 24′
1 – 1
A. Finnbogason 32′
2 – 1
2 – 2
75′ P. Gudmundsson
2 – 3
86′ G. M’Bang Ondo

Valur
3 – 3
Stjarnan
0 – 1
3′ B. Birgisson
H. Sigurdsson 9′
1 – 1
A. Geirsson 25′
2 – 1
2 – 2
67′ T. Árnason
2 – 3
69′ T. Árnason
S. Hreidarsson 88′
3 – 3

FH
2 – 4
KR
0 – 1
3′ B. Takefusa
A. Guðnason 6′
1 – 1
A. Guðnason 9′
2 – 1
2 – 2
27′ G. Jónsson
2 – 3
68′ G. Jónsson
2 – 4
88′ B. Sigurðsson

ÍBV
3 – 1
Fjölnir
0 – 1
8′ A. Ívarsson
V. Kjartansson 11′
1 – 1
Andri Ólafsson 20′
2 – 1
T. Mawejje 79′
3 – 1

Thróttur Reykjavík
1 – 5
KR
0 – 1
11′ G. Sigurdarson
S. Malson 19′
1 – 1
1 – 2
35′ B. Takefusa (PG)
1 – 3
41′ G. Jónsson
1 – 4
79′ A. Jóhannsson
1 – 5
82′ B. Sigurðsson