The Impact of the Away Team ( DOG ) opening the scoring in the Premier League Via Survival Analysis

Posted on: October 9th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 20 games in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in the first half and were the DOG = home team was the favourite before the game started

6-7-7

home teams won 30% >

01/10, 13:15 Everton – Burnley 0:1
17/25
309/100
461/100 goal

Everton
0 – 1
Burnley View events More info
0 – 1
21′ J. Hendrick

16/09, 14:00 Liverpool – Burnley 1:1
13/50
527/100
1173/100 goal

Liverpool
1 – 1
Burnley View events More info
0 – 1
27′ S. Arfield
Mohamed Salah 30′
1 – 1

09/09, 14:00 Southampton – Watford 0:2
69/100
291/100
449/100 goal

Southampton
0 – 2
Watford View events More info
0 – 1
38′ A. Doucouré
0 – 2
66′ D. Janmaat

26/08, 14:00 Crystal Palace – Swansea 0:2
107/100
239/100
3/1 goal

Crystal Palace
0 – 2
Swansea City View events More info
0 – 1
44′ T. Abraham
0 – 2
48′ J. Ayew

21/08, 19:00 Manchester City – Everton 1:1
3/10
121/25
1007/100 goal

Manchester City
1 – 1
Everton View events More info
0 – 1
35′ W. Rooney
R. Sterling 82′
1 – 1

12/08, 14:00 Chelsea – Burnley 2:3
3/10
457/100
1123/100 goal

Chelsea
2 – 3
Burnley View events More info
0 – 1
24′ S. Vokes
0 – 2
39′ S. Ward
0 – 3
43′ S. Vokes
Álvaro Morata 69′
1 – 3
David Luiz 88′
2 – 3

12/08, 14:00 Crystal Palace – Huddersfield 0:3
81/100
64/25
201/50 goal

Crystal Palace
0 – 3
Huddersfield Town View events More info
0 – 1
23′ J. Ward (OG)
0 – 2
26′ S. Mounié
0 – 3
78′ S. Mounié

21/05, 14:00 Swansea – West Brom 2:1
32/25
239/100
231/100 goal

Swansea City
2 – 1
West Bromwich … View events More info
0 – 1
33′ J. Evans
J. Ayew 72′
1 – 1
Llorente 86′
2 – 1

21/05, 14:00 Leicester – Bournemouth 1:1
7/10
33/10
183/50 goal

Leicester City
1 – 1
AFC Bournemouth View events More info
0 – 1
1′ J. Stanislas
J. Vardy 51′
1 – 1

21/05, 14:00 Chelsea – Sunderland 5:1
11/100
1003/100
247/10 goal

Chelsea
5 – 1
Sunderland View events More info
0 – 1
3′ Javi Manquillo
Willian 8′
1 – 1
E. Hazard 61′
2 – 1
Pedro 77′
3 – 1
M. Batshuayi 90′
4 – 1
M. Batshuayi 90′
5 – 1

06/05, 14:00 Bournemouth – Stoke City 2:2
67/50
49/20
54/25 goal

AFC Bournemouth
2 – 2
Stoke City View events More info
0 – 1
33′ L. Mousset (OG)
J. Stanislas 62′
1 – 1
1 – 2
73′ M. Diouf
R. Shawcross (OG) 81′
2 – 2

29/04, 16:30 Crystal Palace – Burnley 0:2
41/50
249/100
201/50 goal

Crystal Palace
0 – 2
Burnley View events More info
0 – 1
7′ A. Barnes
0 – 2
85′ A. Gray

15/04, 14:00 Crystal Palace – Leicester 2:2
99/100
5/2
151/50 goal

Crystal Palace
2 – 2
Leicester City View events More info
0 – 1
6′ R. Huth
0 – 2
52′ J. Vardy
Y. Cabaye 54′
1 – 2
C. Benteke 70′
2 – 2

05/04, 19:00 Liverpool – Bournemouth 2:2
43/100
94/25
173/25 goal

Liverpool
2 – 2
AFC Bournemouth View events More info
0 – 1
7′ B. Afobe
Philippe Coutinho 40′
1 – 1
D. Origi 59′
2 – 1
2 – 2
87′ J. King

05/04, 18:45 Hull City – Middlesbrough 4:2
107/100
113/50
78/25 goal

Hull City
4 – 2
Middlesbrough View events More info
0 – 1
5′ Álvaro Negredo
L. Marković 13′
1 – 1
O. Niasse 27′
2 – 1
A. Hernández 33′
3 – 1
3 – 2
45′ M. de Roon
H. Maguire 70′
4 – 2

05/04, 18:45 Southampton – Crystal Palace 3:1
43/50
253/100
37/10 goal

Southampton
3 – 1
Crystal Palace View events More info
0 – 1
31′ C. Benteke
N. Redmond 45′
1 – 1
M. Yoshida 83′
2 – 1
J. Ward-Prowse 85′
3 – 1

04/04, 19:00 Manchester United – Everton 1:1
59/100
301/100
537/100 goal

Manchester United
1 – 1
Everton View events More info
0 – 1
22′ P. Jagielka
Z. Ibrahimović (PG) 90′
1 – 1

01/04, 14:00 Hull City – West Ham 2:1
69/50
58/25
219/100 goal

Hull City
2 – 1
West Ham United View events More info
0 – 1
18′ A. Carroll
A. Robertson 53′
1 – 1
A. Ranocchia 85′
2 – 1

18/03, 14:00 West Ham – Leicester 2:3
139/100
59/25
213/100 goal

West Ham United
2 – 3
Leicester City View events More info
0 – 1
5′ R. Mahrez
0 – 2
7′ R. Huth
M. Lanzini 20′
1 – 2
1 – 3
38′ J. Vardy
A. Ayew 63′
2 – 3

12/03, 15:00 Liverpool – Burnley 2:1
27/100
127/25
561/50 goal

Liverpool
2 – 1
Burnley View events More info
0 – 1
7′ A. Barnes
G. Wijnaldum 45′
1 – 1
E. Can 61′
2 – 1

last 5 competed seasons in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 HT

26-27-14 > away team won 21%

last 5 completed seasons in the PL where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 0-1 half time

13-23-70 > away teams won 66%

last 5 completed seasons in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in 21-30 time band and still 0-1 with 31 minutes elapsed

16-21-66 < away teams won 64%

last 5 completed seasons in the PL where the away team opened the scoring in 31-39 time band and 0-1 half time

9-12-34 < away teams won 62%

last 5 completed seasons in the PL where the away team opened the scoring in 40-HT time band and 0-1 half time

4-16-36 > away teams won 64%