The Impact of 0-1 Half Time Game State added to the Early Away Goal Metric in the MLS

Posted on: July 2nd, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

MLS last 40 games 0-1 HT with the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band = 62.5% over 2.5 goals = 1.6

6/40 < ended 1-1 FT = 15% 1/0.15 = 11/2, 10-11-19 < away teams won 47.5%

GAME PATHWAY

7/40 0-1 FT

23/40 > 1-1 10-10-3 > away teams won 13% < an away win in that profile in the MLS will be a rare event 10/40 > 0-2 0-1-9 > away teams won 90%

key point , although > 1-1 will be far more likely in this profile in MLS then 0-2 < 1-1 FT will be a rare event at 1-1 simply lay the draw / back a further goal and at 2-1/1-2 trade out of your position on the draw ( back the draw ) 40% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes SJ Earthquakes 2 - 1 LA Galaxy 0 - 1 11' J. Van Damme C. Wondolowski 75' 1 - 1 S. Salinas 90' 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake 0 - 1 Orlando City 0 - 1 17' W. Johnson Colorado Rapids 2 - 1 Portland Timbers 0 - 1 18' S. Blanco D. Badji 51' 1 - 1 A. Gordon 89' 2 - 1 New England 1 - 2 Chicago Fire 0 - 1 18' N. Nikolić 0 - 2 61' L. Solignac A. Mlinar Delamea 70' 1 - 2 New York RB 2 - 1 New England 0 - 1 9' L. Nguyen (PG) B. Wright-Phillips 47' 1 - 1 D. Royer 74' 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union 2 - 1 Colorado Rapids 0 - 1 15' C. Calvert C. Sapong (PG) 67' 1 - 1 H. Medunjanin 75' 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake 0 - 3 Dallas 0 - 1 3' M. Urruti (PG) 0 - 2 67' M. Hedges 0 - 3 90' M. Urruti DC United 0 - 1 Montreal Impact 0 - 1 13' J. Tabla Real Salt Lake 1 - 3 Atlanta United 0 - 1 9' H. Villalba 0 - 2 46' Y. Asad A. Rusnák 69' 1 - 2 1 - 3 90' B. Vázquez Dallas 2 - 1 New England 0 - 1 10' L. Nguyen (PG) M. Urruti 71' 1 - 1 M. Urruti 77' 2 - 1 LA Galaxy 0 - 1 Portland Timbers 0 - 1 8' D. Chará Colorado Rapids 1 - 1 Houston Dynamo 0 - 1 20' A. Wenger S. Gashi 67' 1 - 1 Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Columbus Crew 0 - 1 13' A. Jahn M. Parkhurst (OG) 53' 1 - 1 M. de Leeuw 57' 2 - 1 2 - 2 80' A. Jahn Vancouver Whit… 3 - 3 Colorado Rapids 0 - 1 8' D. Badji K. Waston 51' 1 - 1 1 - 2 57' S. Gashi (PG) P. Morales 70' 2 - 2 2 - 3 75' S. Gashi E. Hurtado 90' 3 - 3 Sporting KC 2 - 2 LA Galaxy 0 - 1 7' A. Gordon J. Peterson 50' 1 - 1 D. Dwyer 69' 2 - 1 2 - 2 76' L. Donovan Real Salt Lake 3 - 3 LA Galaxy 0 - 1 6' E. Boateng J. Plata (PG) 53' 1 - 1 1 - 2 57' G. dos Santos 1 - 3 64' G. dos Santos J. Plata 67' 2 - 3 J. Martínez 90' 3 - 3 Orlando City 1 - 2 Toronto 0 - 1 7' T. Ricketts C. Larin 56' 1 - 1 1 - 2 86' J. Altidore Montreal Impact 0 - 3 Chicago Fire 0 - 1 15' L. Solignac 0 - 2 73' D. Accam 0 - 3 89' M. Polster New England 0 - 2 Columbus Crew 0 - 1 8' E. Finlay 0 - 2 49' F. Higuaín SJ Earthquakes 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo 0 - 1 6' R. Clark 0 - 2 50' D. Horst V. Bernárdez 54' 1 - 2 New England 0 - 4 Philadelphia Union 0 - 1 2' C. Sapong 0 - 2 51' C. Pontius 0 - 3 54' R. Marquez 0 - 4 90' R. Alberg Vancouver Whit… 1 - 2 SJ Earthquakes 0 - 1 14' Q. Amarikwa 0 - 2 60' S. Dawkins N. Mezquida 90' 1 - 2 Orlando City 3 - 1 New England 0 - 1 19' K. Kamara C. Larin 46' 1 - 1 K. Molino 64' 2 - 1 K. Molino 83' 3 - 1 Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 SJ Earthquakes 0 - 1 9' C. Wondolowski L. Mulholland 64' 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 Montreal Impact 0 - 1 8' H. Shipp Y. Movsisyan (PG) 79' 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders 0 - 1 LA Galaxy 0 - 1 15' R. Keane Real Salt Lake 2 - 1 New York RB 0 - 1 7' G. Baah Y. Movsisyan 65' 1 - 1 J. Allen 87' 2 - 1 Vancouver Whit… 1 - 1 Houston Dynamo 0 - 1 20' D. Beasley O. Rivero 52' 1 - 1 Portland Timbers 1 - 2 New York City 0 - 1 12' David Villa F. Adi 55' 1 - 1 1 - 2 65' T. McNamara Dallas 2 - 1 Portland Timbers 0 - 1 3' D. Váleri R. Hollingshead 55' 1 - 1 W. Zimmerman 57' 2 - 1 Orlando City 1 - 1 New York RB 0 - 1 19' B. Wright-Phillips K. Molino 67' 1 - 1 New York RB 3 - 2 Orlando City 0 - 1 3' C. Larin M. Grella 65' 1 - 1 B. Wright-Phillips 69' 2 - 1 B. Wright-Phillips 75' 3 - 1 3 - 2 84' K. Ouimette (OG) DC United 0 - 1 Toronto 0 - 1 1' S. Giovinco New York RB 0 - 2 Sporting KC 0 - 1 17' B. Feilhaber 0 - 2 60' D. Dwyer Dallas 1 - 1 Columbus Crew 0 - 1 9' Justin Meram T. Akindele 77' 1 - 1 Portland Timbers 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake 0 - 1 16' J. Plata 0 - 2 58' Y. Movsisyan F. Adi 79' 1 - 2 F. Adi (PG) 84' 2 - 2 Seattle Sounders 1 - 2 Vancouver Whit… 0 - 1 10' P. Morales (PG) A. Ivanschitz 52' 1 - 1 1 - 2 74' P. Morales (PG) New York City 0 - 1 Orlando City 0 - 1 7' C. Larin LA Galaxy 4 - 1 DC United 0 - 1 5' L. Neagle D. Steres 54' 1 - 1 M. Magee 64' 2 - 1 R. Keane (PG) 83' 3 - 1 M. Magee 87' 4 - 1 Colorado Rapids 0 - 1 Montreal Impact 0 - 1 15' D. Drogba