The Effect of the Time of The Opening Goal in the First Half in The Premier League 2016-2017

Posted on: February 6th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games this season in the Premier League where the home team opened the scoring ( H ) or the away team opened the scoring ( A) in the first half with the final score shown as well in each one minute time band .

The last figure in the column shows the average goals per game in that one minute time band.

In the table below there are 169 opening goals logged ( 95 games where the home team opened the scoring , and 74 games where the away team opened the scoring , and the home teams <> 71-13-11 ( home teams won 75% ) and the away teams <> 41-18-15 (away teams won 55% )

117/169 ( 69% ) ended over 2.5 goals

How does the time of the opening goal in an individual league effect expectation of the other team fighting back ?

If you look at the Premier League in the table below where the home teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minute time band / the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band < lowered expectation of the games ending a draw for the simple reason that there will be expectation of acceleration of goal production . 1 H 4 0 H 2 1 H 1 0 H 6 3 4.25 2 H 2 0 H 3 2 A 1 1 H 1 4 3.5 3 H 3 1 H 4 2 A 3 1 4.67 4 H 2 1 H 4 0 3.5 5 H 2 4 H 1 1 H 6 1 H 2 2 A 0 2 A 2 1 4 6 A 0 2 A 2 1 H 1 3 H 2 2 A 0 3 A 1 1 H 1 0 2.71 7 H 3 1 A 1 2 H 3 0 H 1 1 3 8 H 4 2 H 1 2 H 2 0 H 1 0 3 9 H 4-1 H 3 0 A 1 3 H 1 2 A 1 1 A 1 3 H 2 0 A 1 3 A 0 4 3.44 10 A 1 2 H 2 1 3 11 A 1 1 H 1 1 H 3 0 H 1 2 A 2 1 H 2 1 2.67 12 H 3 1 A 4 1 H 4 0 H 1 3 4.25 13 H 4 1 A 1 2 A 2 2 H 3 2 A 1 4 H 3 1 4.33 14 H 1 2 H 3 0 3 15 H 4 0 A 1 2 A 1 3 A 1 3 3.75 16 A 1 2 A 2 4 H 3 1 H 3 3 4.75 17 A 1 4 A 1 2 H 5 1 A 3 2 H 2 0 A 0 4 4.2 18 A 2 2 A 2 1 H 3 0 3.33 19 A 0 1 A 1 4 A 0 4 H 5 0 A 5 4 A 2 2 H 1 1 4.29 20 H 2 1 H 2 0 A 4 3 A 2 1 H 1 0 3.2 21 A 3 1 A 2 1 A 3 1 3.67 22 H 4 1 5 23 H 1 0 1 24 A 3 2 A 1 5 H 3 0 A 2 2 A 1 1 4 25 A 0 3 3 26 H 3 2 A 0 2 A 0 1 A 1 1 H 3 0 2.6 27 A 1 4 A 1 1 H 6 1 H 3 3 A 1 4 A 1 1 4.5 28 29 A 0 1 A 3 1 H 1 0 A 0 3 2.25 30 H 2 0 2 31 H 3 4 A 2 2 5.5 32 H 2 1 H 4 1 4 33 H 3 0 H 2 0 2.5 34 H 3 1 H 3 0 A 1 1 H 1 0 H 4 2 H 4 0 3.33 35 H 1 1 A 1 1 2 36 H 2 0 2 37 A 0 4 4 38 H 2 0 H 2 1 2.5 39 H 2 3 H 2-1 H 2 0 A 1 2 H 5 0 H 2 2 H 3 1 3.71 40 A 1 3 A 0 3 A 0 1 2.67 41 A 0 4 A 1 1 A 0 1 H 1 2 2.5 42 H 3 1 H 1 1 A 1 1 A 1 2 A 0 3 2.8 43 A 1 1 H 1 1 A 0 1 1.67 44 H 1 1 H 2 0 2 45 H 3 0 H 2 1 H 1 3 H 1 0 A 1 2 H 2 0 H 2 0 H 2 0 2.5