The Effect of the opening goal by the Home Team in the Premier League in the 11-20 minute time band

Posted on: May 31st, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

2014-2015 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% < some expectation of the away teams fighting back , and the average goal production was 3.3 > some expectation of acceleration of goal production

2015-2016 season in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes , the home teams won 53% , and the average goal production was 4.00

2016-2017 in the Premier League in games where the home team opened the scoring 11-20 minutes

28-3-4 > home teams won 80%

43% produced a goal 80 + minutes

average goal production = 3.69

Manchester United
2 – 0
Crystal Palace
J. Harrop 15′
1 – 0
P. Pogba 19′
2 – 0

Tottenham Hotspur
4 – 0
AFC Bournemouth
M. Dembélé 16′
1 – 0
Heung-Min Son 19′
2 – 0
H. Kane 48′
3 – 0
V. Janssen 90′
4 – 0

Crystal Palace
3 – 0
Arsenal
A. Townsend 17′
1 – 0
Y. Cabaye 63′
2 – 0
L. Milivojević (PG) 68′
3 – 0

Swansea City
1 – 3
Tottenham Hotspur
W. Routledge 11′
1 – 0
1 – 1
88′ D. Alli
1 – 2
90′ Heung-Min Son
1 – 3
90′ C. Eriksen

Watford
2 – 0
West Bromwich …
M. Niang 13′
1 – 0
T. Deeney 49′
2 – 0

Tottenham Hotspur
2 – 1
Southampton
C. Eriksen 14′
1 – 0
D. Alli (PG) 33′
2 – 0
2 – 1
52′ J. Ward-Prowse

West Bromwich …
3 – 1
Arsenal
C. Dawson 12′
1 – 0
1 – 1
15′ A. Sánchez
H. Robson-Kanu 55′
2 – 1
C. Dawson 75′
3 – 1

Tottenham Hotspur
3 – 2
Everton
H. Kane 20′
1 – 0
H. Kane 56′
2 – 0
2 – 1
81′ R. Lukaku
D. Alli 90′
3 – 1
3 – 2
90′ E. Valencia

Swansea City
3 – 2
Burnley
Llorente 12′
1 – 0
1 – 1
20′ A. Gray (PG)
1 – 2
61′ A. Gray
Martin Olsson 69′
2 – 2
Llorente 90′
3 – 2

Tottenham Hotspur
4 – 0
Stoke City
H. Kane 14′
1 – 0
H. Kane 32′
2 – 0
H. Kane 37′
3 – 0
D. Alli 45′
4 – 0

Chelsea
3 – 1
Swansea City
Fàbregas 19′
1 – 0
1 – 1
45′ Llorente
Pedro 72′
2 – 1
Diego Costa 84′
3 – 1

Liverpool
2 – 0
Tottenham Hotspur
S. Mané 16′
1 – 0
S. Mané 18′
2 – 0

Manchester City
2 – 1
Swansea City
Gabriel Jesus 11′
1 – 0
1 – 1
81′ G. Sigurðsson
Gabriel Jesus 90′
2 – 1

Southampton
1 – 3
West Ham United
M. Gabbiadini 12′
1 – 0
1 – 1
14′ A. Carroll
1 – 2
44′ Pedro Obiang
1 – 3
52′ M. Noble

Chelsea
3 – 1
Arsenal
Marcos Alonso 13′
1 – 0
E. Hazard 53′
2 – 0
Fàbregas 85′
3 – 0
3 – 1
90′ O. Giroud

Stoke City
1 – 1
Manchester United
Mata (OG) 19′
1 – 0
1 – 1
90′ W. Rooney

Tottenham Hotspur
4 – 0
West Bromwich …
H. Kane 12′
1 – 0
G. McAuley (OG) 26′
2 – 0
H. Kane 77′
3 – 0
H. Kane 82′
4 – 0

AFC Bournemouth
3 – 3
Arsenal
C. Daniels 16′
1 – 0
C. Wilson (PG) 20′
2 – 0
R. Fraser 58′
3 – 0
3 – 1
70′ A. Sánchez
3 – 2
75′ Lucas Pérez
3 – 3
90′ O. Giroud

Arsenal
2 – 0
Crystal Palace
O. Giroud 17′
1 – 0
A. Iwobi 56′
2 – 0

Leicester City
1 – 0
West Ham United
I. Slimani 20′
1 – 0

Middlesbrough
3 – 0
Swansea City
Álvaro Negredo 18′
1 – 0
Álvaro Negredo (PG) 29′
2 – 0
M. de Roon 58′
3 – 0

Tottenham Hotspur
3 – 0
Hull City
C. Eriksen 14′
1 – 0
C. Eriksen 63′
2 – 0
V. Wanyama 73′
3 – 0

Burnley
3 – 2
AFC Bournemouth
J. Hendrick 13′
1 – 0
S. Ward 16′
2 – 0
2 – 1
45′ B. Afobe
G. Boyd 75′
3 – 1
3 – 2
90′ C. Daniels

Stoke City
2 – 0
Burnley
J. Walters 20′
1 – 0
Muniesa 35′
2 – 0

West Bromwich …
3 – 1
Watford
J. Evans 16′
1 – 0
C. Brunt 34′
2 – 0
2 – 1
60′ C. Kabasele
M. Phillips 90′
3 – 1

Arsenal
3 – 1
AFC Bournemouth
A. Sánchez 12′
1 – 0
1 – 1
23′ C. Wilson (PG)
T. Walcott 53′
2 – 1
A. Sánchez 90′
3 – 1

Burnley
1 – 2
Manchester City
D. Marney 14′
1 – 0
1 – 1
37′ S. Agüero
1 – 2
60′ S. Agüero

Chelsea
5 – 0
Everton
E. Hazard 19′
1 – 0
Marcos Alonso 20′
2 – 0
Diego Costa 42′
3 – 0
E. Hazard 56′
4 – 0
Pedro 65′
5 – 0

AFC Bournemouth
1 – 2
Sunderland
D. Gosling 11′
1 – 0
1 – 1
33′ V. Anichebe
1 – 2
74′ J. Defoe (PG)

Liverpool
2 – 1
West Bromwich …
S. Mané 20′
1 – 0
Philippe Coutinho 35′
2 – 0
2 – 1
81′ G. McAuley

Arsenal
3 – 0
Chelsea
A. Sánchez 11′
1 – 0
T. Walcott 14′
2 – 0
M. Özil 40′
3 – 0

Liverpool
5 – 1
Hull City
A. Lallana 17′
1 – 0
J. Milner (PG) 30′
2 – 0
S. Mané 36′
3 – 0
3 – 1
51′ D. Meyler
Philippe Coutinho 52′
4 – 1
J. Milner (PG) 71′
5 – 1

Manchester City
4 – 0
AFC Bournemouth
K. De Bruyne 15′
1 – 0
K. Iheanacho 25′
2 – 0
R. Sterling 48′
3 – 0
İ. Gündoğan 66′
4 – 0

Liverpool
4 – 1
Leicester City
Roberto Firmino 13′
1 – 0
S. Mané 31′
2 – 0
2 – 1
38′ J. Vardy
A. Lallana 56′
3 – 1
Roberto Firmino 89′
4 – 1

Middlesbrough
1 – 1
Stoke City
Álvaro Negredo 11′
1 – 0
1 – 1
67′ X. Shaqiri