The Effect of the Home Fightback in the Second Half in the Championship

Posted on: December 27th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 90 games in the Championship where the away teams were winning 1-0 at half time and the home teams scored a fight back goal in the second half ( 1-1) in the 46-70 minutes time band and 70% ended over 2.5 goals.

Game Pathway

27/90 1-1 FT

> 2-1 <> 37 <> 34-3-0 <> home teams won 92%

> 1-2 <> 26 <> 1-9-16 <> away teams won 62%

35-39-16 <> away teams won 18%


In the table below in games where the opening goal was 0-20 > 2-1 2-1 2-2 1-2 3-1 1-5 1-3 2-1 1-1 1-2 1-1 2-1 1-2 1-1 2-1 2-1 2-2 1-1 2-2 1-1 2-2 1-1 2-1 3-2 2-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 2-2 2-2 1-1 2-2 2-1 1-1 5-1 1-1 2-1 1-1 > an away win in that profile in the Championship will be a rare event

T HT T( 1-1) T+2 T +3 FT
Hudd Forest 25 0 1 53 H59 2 1
Forest Preston 45 0 1 68 1 1
Cardiff Wolves 2 0 1 68 H86 2 1
Ipwwich Cardiff 38 0 1 52 1 1
Forest Newcastle 45 0 1 52 H86 2 1
Hudd Wigan 40 0 1 50 A60 1 2
Fulham Brighton 18 0 1 52 H79 2 1
Reading Villa 38 0 1 54 A90 1 2
Brighton Preston 10 0 1 54 H65 A90 2 2
City Forest 33 0 1 65 H68 2 1
Fulham QPR 20 0 1 47 A87 1 2
Wed Forest 35 0 1 68 H90 2 1
Preston Barnsley 27 0 1 64 A79 1 2
City Villa 5 0 1 59 H61 H81 3 1
Newcastle Hudd 45 0 1 60 A82 1 2
Hudd Brentford 1 0 1 50 A52 A62 1 5
Charlton Brighton 8 0 1 51 A55 A90 1 3
Cardiff Bolton 7 0 1 55 H90 2 1
Birmingham Burnley 31 0 1 55 A77 1 2
Leeds Reading 39 0 1 48 H69 A81 3 2
Forest Brighton 27 0 1 50 A90 1 2
Fulham Cardiff 41 0 1 46 H90 2 1
Reading Forest 41 0 1 68 H81 2 1
City Rotherham 12 0 1 54 1 1
Preston Fulham 5 0 1 63 A74 1 2
Birmingham Fulham 38 0 1 56 1 1
Blackburn Dons 36 0 1 53 H71 A86 3 2
Wed Burnley 3 0 1 48 1 1
Ipwwich Leeds 1 0 1 50 H90 2 1
Charlton Forest 44 0 1 70 1 1
Preston Rotherham 35 0 1 64 H90 2 1
Reading Brentford 17 0 1 58 A72 1 2
Bolton Fulham 28 0 1 61 H74 A85 2 2
Hull Reading 29 0 1 62 H90 2 1
Bolton Brentford 10 0 1 65 1 1
Rotherham Reading 26 0 1 48 1 1
Brighton Bristol City 17 0 1 53 H82 2 1
Brentford Preston 1 0 1 62 H65 2 1
QPR Blackburn 14 0 1 46 A60 H79 2 2
Charton Rotherham 38 0 1 65 1 1
Sheff Wed Boro 42 0 1 64 A67 A86 1 3
Derby Leeds 43 0 1 48 A88 1 2
Leeds Sheff Wed 37 0 1 61 1 1
Huddersfield Brighton 1 0 1 54 1 1
Wolves Hull 22 0 1 58 1 1
Burnley Birmingham 10 0 1 51 A63 H81 2 2
Bournemouth Sheff Wed 36 0 1 69 H84 A90 2 2
Fulham Rotherham 4 0 1 67 1 1
Birmingham Blackburn 8 0 1 64 A68 H78 2 2
Charlton Reading 40 0 1 58 H70 H80 3 2
Cardiff Bournemouth 16 0 1 62 1 1
Rotherham Millwall 20 0 1 47 H85 2 1
Derby Sheff Wed 20 0 1 47 A55 H68 3 2
ipswich Sheff Wed 20 0 1 52 H67 2 1
Wigan Blackburn 15 0 1 63 1 1
Bolton Leeds 3 0 1 48 1 1
Bolton Blackburn 41 0 1 59 H62 2 1
Wigan Rotherham 40 0 1 64 A65 1 2
Forest Charlton 9 0 1 59 1 1
Watford Derby 39 0 1 67 A81 1 2
Charlton Sheff Wed 27 0 1 70 1 1
Brentford Derby 27 0 1 49 H90 2 1
Rotherham Leeds 30 0 1 58 H65 2 1
Forest Ipswich 19 0 1 63 A71 H90 2 2
Rotherham Charlton 27 0 1 70 1 1
Bolton Rotherham 33 0 1 60 H80 A82 3 2
Brighton Charlton 4 0 1 67 A75 H90 2 2
Leeds Deby 6 0 1 50 1 1
Millwall Watford 17 0 1 64 A86 H90 2 2
Ipswich Derby 1 0 1 68 H90 2 1
Leicester Blackpool 41 0 1 60 H82 H87 3 1
Birmingham Burnley 30 0 1 64 A67 H69 3 3
Reading Yeovil 20 0 1 69 1 1
Forest Wigan 36 0 1 54 A66 A71 1 4
Bournemouth Watford 45 0 1 62 1 1
QPR Doncaster 43 0 1 55 H90 2 1
Blackpool Leeds 25 0 1 65 1 1
Birmingham Boro 22 0 1 59 A80 H90 2 2
Derby Blackpool 3 0 1 47 H53 H57 5 1
ipswich Hudders. 35 0 1 50 H89 2 1
Doncaster QPR 43 0 1 48 H89 2 1
Brighton Watford 4 0 1 55 1 1
Millwall QPR 26 0 1 51 A69 H90 2 2
Wigan Blackburn 8 0 1 69 H90 2 1
Charlton Forest 3 0 1 50 1 1
Huddersfield Blackpool 27 0 1 62 1 1
Brighton Bolton 29 0 1 53 H55 H57 3 1
ipswich Yeovil 43 0 1 53 H60 2 1
Boro Sheff Wed 35 0 1 49 1 1
Brighton Bolton 29 0 1 53 H55 H57 3 1