The Effect of the Early Home Goal in the National South League

Posted on: May 2nd, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

 

Last season in National South in games where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 55% ended over 2.5 goals and 27% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 69% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 65%

The home teams won 63%, 22% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 15%

1-0 half time in the table below > added to the early home goal > National league South and a whopping 83% ended UNDER 2.5 goals

This season..

82% over 2.5 goals > why massive variance since last season ( 55% ) > a whopping % ended over 1.5 first half goals this season ..

77% over 1.5 first half goals

Both teams scored in  74%

Home teams won  61% ( last season 63% )

26% ended a draw ( last season 22% )

13% away wins ( last season 15% )

 

GAME PATHWAY

 

3 1-0 FT

32 > 2-0 25-5-2 <> home teams won 78%

26 > 1-1 9-11-6 <> home teams won 35%

 

 

T HT T+1 FT Goal 80 +
Basingstoke Truro 8 1 0 H90 2 0 90
Margate Hemel 1 3 1 H26 4 3 81
Bishop’s Margate 5 3 0 H10 4 1
St. Albans Havant 3 4 0 H14 6 0 80
Basingstoke Weston 6 2 0 H27 2 2
Whitehawk Wealdstone 10 2 0 H18 3 0
Wealdstone Margate 5 2 1 A17 4 1 82
Dartford Bishop’s 6 2 1 A15 3 1
Oxford Concord 4 3 0 H16 5 1
Bath City Bishop’s 10 1 0 A58 2 2 90
Maidstone Weston 3 2 1 A24 3 1
Maidenhead Dartford 4 2 1 A12 2 1
Wealdstone Hayes 8 3 0 H12 3 0
Eastbourne Hayes 7 1 0 H90 2 0 90
Maidenhead Margate 3 1 1 A20 3 1
Maidstone Basingstoke 4 1 1 A25 3 1
Hemel Bath 6 1 0 A90 1 1 90
St. Albans Whitehawk 8 3 0 H22 6 0 90
Wealdstone Basingstoke 4 1 3 A9 4 4 90
Chelmsford Margate 3 1 2 A10 2 3
Weston Wealdstone 8 1 1 A29 1 2
Sutton Bath 2 1 1 A43 1 1
Weston Oxford 9 3 1 H19 5 2
Wealdstone Truro 5 3 0 H37 4 4 81 87 90
Eastbourne Bath 5 2 2 H21 5 2 80
Hemel Weston 6 4 2 H11 5 5 89
Maidenhead Havant 9 2 1 H23 2 2
Chelmsford Whitehawk 11 2 0 H24 3 0
Truro Maidenhead 8 2 2 H14 4 4 80 89
Margate Chelmsford 5 3 1 H15 4 1
Suttton St Alban’s 6 3 0 H19 5 0
Basingstoke St Alban’s 8 1 0 A72 2 2 82 87
Havant Concord 8 2 0 H16 2 1
St. Albans Maidenhead 5 2 2 A19 3 2 90
Wealdstone Weston 5 1 0 A47 2 3 85 90
Ebbsfleet Bishop’s 6 3 0 H23 4 2 83
Oxford Gosport 10 1 1 A15 1 2 87
Wealdstone Bath 3 1 0 H87 2 0 87
Bishop’s Bath 3 2 2 A17 3 2
Chelmsford Truro 5 1 2 A21 1 2
Oxford Bishop’s 5 1 1 A13 3 1 85
Truro Gosport 8 2 2 A17 2 2
Maidenhead Weston 10 1 0 H58 2 0
Oxford Margate 5 1 0 A48 1 1
Truro Havant 10 1 0 H50 3 0
Concord Whitehawk 6 1 1 A41 1 2
Maidstone Bath 6 1 0 1 0
Maidstone Havant 6 1 0 1 0
Hemel Basingstoke 8 1 1 A38 2 2 86 87
St. Albans Hemel 1 1 1 A45 2 2 88
Hayes Basingstoke 7 2 0 H25 3 0
Sutton Wealdstone 4 4 1 H21 5 2 89
Maidenhead Sutton 10 1 1 A45 1 1
Whitehawk Chelmsford 5 3 0 H14 4 2
Concord Dartford 2 1 0 H60 2 3
Sutton Truro 1 1 1 A9 2 2 90
Chelmsford Hayes 7 2 0 H30 4 0 80
Dartford Eastbourne 6 1 0 1 0
Maidenhead Bishop’s 9 2 0 H45 4 1 81
Concord Weston 1 2 0 H36 4 1
Hayes Whitehawk 4 3 2 H24 3 4