The Effect of the Early Home Goal in the National League

Posted on: May 3rd, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Last season in the National League where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 70% ended over 2.5 goals and 52% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 75% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 63% 

The home teams won 58% , 25% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 17% 

1-0 half time to the home team added to the early home goal metric in the National League 2014–2015 ,   50% ended in a home win  with 59% under 2.5 goals.

This  season in the National League where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band,  61% ended over 2.5 goals and   44% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 66% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 66% 

The home teams won 67% , 17% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 16%

1-0 half time to the home team added to the early home goal metric in the National League 2015–2016 ,   68% ended in a home win  with 77% under 2.5 goals.

 

GAME PATHWAY

 

8/64 FT 1-0 

31 > 2-0 31-0-0 Home teams won 100%

25 > 1-1 4-11-10 home teams won 16%

 

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80+
Guiseley Torquay 5 H11 3 0 4 3
Southport Kidd. 5 A9 1 2 3 4 84 90
Aldershot Southport 9 A18 1 2 1 2
Forest Woking 10 A69 1 0 1 2 90
Eastleigh Barrow 9 H26 2 0 3 1 90
Welling Kidd. 7 A82 1 0 1 2 82 85
Torquay Chester 3 H90 1 0 2 0 90
Barrow Braintree 7 H81 1 0 2 0 81
Dover Halifax 8 1 0 1 0
Eastleigh Guiseley 2 A56 1 0 1 1
Boreham Dover 3 H45 2 0 3 0 81
Grimsby Wrexham 6 1 0 1 0
Guiseley Grimsby 6 A19 1 1 2 2
Dover Lincoln 3 H58 2 0 4 1
Chester Aldershot 5 H13 6 1 8 2
Grimsby Southport 1 1 0 1 0
Lincoln Aldershot 8 H61 1 0 2 0
Torquay Kidd. 10 H43 2 0 3 2 82
Bromley Welling 9 H56 1 0 2 0
Grimsby Woking 4 A34 3 1 3 1
Braintree Halifax 1 H67 2 0 2 0
Halifax Grimsby 10 H25 3 0 4 2 87  89 90
Altrincham Lincoln 3 A7 2 2 3 3
Kidd Macc 10 H16 3 0 3 1 90
Bromley Grimsby 6 A32 1 1 1 2 84
Kidd. Eastleigh 3 H52 1 0 3 2
Braintree Welling 9 1 0 1 0
Gateshead Grimsby 3 1 0 1 0
Eastleigh Wrexham 10 A18 1 1 1 1
Grimsby Altrincham 2 H19 2 0 5 0 90
Eastleigh Aldershot 8 A26 1 1 1 1
Dover Bromley 8 A37 1 1 2 3
Boreham Braintree 7 1 0 1 0
Chester Torquay 1 H38 3 0 4 1
Dover Aldershot 1 H35 2 0 5 2
Tranmere Braintree 3 A5 1 2 1 2
Woking Lincoln 6 H40 2 0 3 1
Forest Altrincham 2 H19 2 0 2 0
Halifax Dover 7 H13 3 1 4 2
Barrow Woking 4 A48 1 0 2 1
Barrow Torquay 9 H41 2 0 4 0 90
Cheltenham Gusieley 1 H9 2 0 5 0 81 90
Gusieley Barrow 5 H36 2 1 3 1
Gusieley Welling 9 H43 2 0 2 0
Grimsby Halifax 10 H35 4 0 7 0 83
Eastleigh Forest 2 A21 1 2 3 2 90
Woking Torquay 2 A46 1 0 2 2 85
Kiddy Boreham 10 A77 1 0 1 1
Welling Bromley 4 A25 1 1 1 2
Dover Woking 4 H75 1 0 2 0
Lincoln Altrincham 8 A17 1 1 1 1
Torquay Bromley 5 A8 2 3 3 7 80 85
Grimsby Tranmere 9 A54 1 0 1 1
Tranmere Chester 6 H37 2 0 2 0
Welling Torquay 9 A20 1 1 1 1
Barrow Eastleigh 3 1 0 1 0
Forest Bromley 6 A7 2 1 2 1
Eastleigh Torquay 4 H29 2 0 3 2 84 90
Welling Braintree 6 A14 1 1 1 2
Wrexham Halifax 8 H24 2 1 3 1
Altrincham Tranmere 7 H29 2 0 2 1 85
Chester Cheltenham 8 A48 1 0 1 1
Grimsby Bromley 3 H7 3 1 4 1 89
Chester Braintree 4 1 0 1 0