The Effect of the Early Home Goal in the Europa League 1st Qualifying Round

Posted on: June 28th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 40 games in the Europa League 1st Qualifying Round where the home teams opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band, 80% ended over 2.5 goals and 65% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 52.5% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 75%.

The home teams won 87.5%, 7.5% ended a DRAW and 5% ended an away win < lowered expectation of the away team fighting back .

37.5% produced a goal 80+ minutes .

 

 

T HT FT Goal 80 +
Shakhtyor Glenavon 8 1 0 3 0 87
Budućnost Jūrmala 6 1 2 1 3
Ferencváros Go Ahead 4 3 0 4 1 89 90
Brøndby Dogana 6 6 0 9 0 88
Differdange Bala 4 3 1 3 1
Apollon Saxan 2 1 0 2 0
Beroe Atlantas 7 2 0 3 1
Kukësi Zhodino 9 1 0 2 0
Jagiellonia Kruoja 3 4 0 8 0 80
Dacia Renova 9 1 1 4 1 88
Dundalk  d’Esch 8 3 0 3 1
Zimbru Shkendija 6 1 0 2 0
Koper Čelik 10 2 0 4 0 90 90
Chikhura Turnovo 7 1 1 3 1
Vaduz Europa 6 2 0 3 0
Atlantas Diff. 10 1 0 3 1 81 89
Haugesund Airbus 7 1 1 2 1
Čukarički Julià 8 1 0 4 0 89 90
Nõmme Fram 10 1 1 2 2
Bala Levadia 4 1 0 1 0
Levadia Bala 6 2 0 3 1 89
Aktobe Gandz. 2 1 1 2 1
Minsk Kruoja 5 4 0 5 0
İnter Bakı Marie. 7 1 0 1 1
Irtysh Sofia 6 2 0 2 0
KuPS Llanelli 5 2 1 2 1
Renova Libertas 10 2 0 4 0 83
Elfsborg Floriana 5 5 0 8 0
Sarajevo Hibernians 2 2 2 5 2 90
EB Gandz. 10 3 0 3 1
Liepājas La Fiorita 1 1 0 4 0 83 86
Kalmar Cliftonville 10 3 0 4 0 90
Minsk AZAL 5 2 0 2 1
Rad Tre 6 4 0 6 0
Elfsborg Fola 5 3 0 4 0 90
Tiblisi Milsami 4 1 0 2 0
Varaždin Lusitanos 4 2 0 5 1
Hacken Käerjéng 7 2 0 5 1 82 84
IF KR 8 1 2 1 3
Vllaznia Birkirkara 4 1 1 1 1