The Effect of the Early Home Goal in the Champions League Group Stage

Posted on: September 26th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games in the Champions League group stage since 2011-2012 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 70% ended over 2.5 goals and 51% ended over 3.5 goals.

The home teams won 82 %, 12% ended a draw and the away teams won 6% > lowered expectation of the away teams fighting back.

Both teams scored in 61% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 70%

 The away teams won the second half of the game in only 15%

 

 

 

T HT FT
Man City Monch 8 2 0 4 0
Leverkusen CSKA 9 2 2 2 2
PSG Arsenal 1 1 0 1 1
Barca Celtic 3 2 0 7 0
Bayern Olympiakos 8 3 0 4 0
Lyon Gent 7 1 1 1 2
Bate Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 1
Bayern Arsenal 10 3 0 5 1
Roma Leverkusen 2 2 0 3 2
Leverkusen Roma 4 2 2 4 4
Zenit Lyon 2 1 0 3 1
CSKA PSV 8 3 0 3 2
Bate Roma 8 3 0 3 2
PSG Malmo 4 1 0 2 0
Leverkusen Bate 4 1 1 4 1
Chelsea Sporting CP 8 2 0 3 1
Atl Madrid Olympiakos 9 2 0 4 0
Ludogorets Liverpool 3 1 2 2 2
Arsenal Dortmund 2 1 0 2 0
Sporting CP Maribor 10 2 1 3 1
PSG APOEL 1 1 0 1 0
Barca Ajax 7 2 0 3 1
Ludogrets Real Madird 6 1 1 1 2
Man City Roma 4 1 1 1 1
PSG Barca 10 2 1 3 2
Roma CSKA 5 3 0 5 1
Porto Bate 5 3 0 6 0
Chelsea Steaua 10 1 0 1 0
Barca Celtic 7 3 0 6 1
Bayern Man City 5 2 1 2 3
PSG Olympiakos 7 1 0 2 1
Arsenal Marseille 1 1 0 2 0
København Galatasaray 6 1 0 1 0
Man City CSKA 3 3 1 5 2
Man UTD Sociedad 2 1 0 1 0
Real Madrid Juventus 4 2 1 2 1
Galatasaray København 10 3 0 3 1
Milan Barca 9 1 1 1 1
PSG Benfica 5 3 0 3 0
Arsenal Napoli 8 2 0 2 0
Benfica Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 0
Bayern CSKA 4 2 0 3 0
Benfica Celtic 7 1 1 2 1
Cluj Braga 7 3 1 3 1
Chelsea Shakhtar 6 2 1 3 2
Juventus Nords. 6 3 0 4 0
Bayern Lille 5 5 0 6 1
Olympiakos Montpellier 4 1 0 3 1
Shakhtar Chelsea 3 1 0 2 1
Spartak Benfica 3 2 1 2 1
Kyiv Zagreb 3 2 0 2 0
Man UTD Galatasaray 7 1 0 1 0
Montpellier Arsenal 9 1 2 1 2
Malaga Zenit 3 2 0 3 0
Benfica Oţelul 7 1 0 1 0
Basel Man UTD 9 1 0 2 1
Valencia Genk 10 4 0 7 0
Bayern Villarreal 3 2 0 3 1
Real Madrid Zagreb 2 4 0 6 2
Man UTD Oţelul 8 1 0 2 0
Benfica Basel 4 1 0 1 1
Valencia Leverkusen 1 1 1 3 1
Dortmund Olympiakos 7 1 0 1 0
Chelsea Genk 8 4 0 5 0
Olympiakos Dortmund 8 2 1 3 1
Barca Plzen 10 1 0 2 0
Arsenal Olympiakos 8 2 1 2 1