The Effect of the Early Home Goal in the Bundesliga

Posted on: August 22nd, 2015 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games in the Bundesliga last season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 86% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals.

The home teams won 75%, 11% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 14%  < lowered expectation of a draw as a result of expectation of acceleration of goal production.

 

 

 

T HT FT
Hoffenheim Hertha 8 1 0 2 1
Paderborn Stuttgart 4 1 1 1 2
Koln Wolfsburg 3 1 2 2 2
Eintracht Leverkusen 4 2 1 2 1
Hannover Freiburg 3 1 0 2 1
Wolfsburg Dortmund 1 1 1 2 1
Dortmund Hertha 9 1 0 2 0
Schalke Stuttgart 9 1 1 3 2
Augsburg Stuttgart 7 1 1 2 1
Monch Dortmund 1 2 0 3 1
Leverkusen Hamburg 7 2 0 4 0
Mainz Wolfsburg 7 1 0 1 1
Bremen Wolfsburg 9 3 2 3 5
Bayern Koln 3 2 1 4 1
Wolfsburg Hertha 10 1 1 2 1
Augsburg Eintracht 7 2 1 2 2
Wolfsburg Hoffenheim 3 2 0 3 0
Schalke Monch 10 1 0 1 0
Mainz Paderborn 6 1 0 5 0
Wolfsburg Bayern 4 2 0 4 1
Bremen Dortmund 3 1 0 2 1
Dortmund Wolfsburg 8 1 1 2 2
Monch Hertha 9 1 1 3 2
Eintracht Dortmund 5 1 0 2 0
Schalke Mainz 9 2 1 4 1
Bremen Paderborn 10 1 0 4 0
Schalke Wolfsburg 10 3 1 3 2
Monch Eintracht 5 1 0 1 3
Hoffenheim Koln 2 3 3 3 4
Mainz Bremen 3 1 1 1 2
Bayern Hannover 6 3 0 4 0
Schalke Dortmund 10 2 1 2 1
Hannover Koln 5 1 0 1 0
Bayern Paderborn 8 2 0 4 0
Wolfsburg Leverkusen 8 2 1 4 1