The Effect of the Early Home Goal in Spain La Liga 2015-2016 V 2016-2017

Posted on: June 18th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

2015-2016 season in La Liga where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 59% ended over 2.5 goals and 47% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 51% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in only 57%

The home teams won 72.5%, 23.5% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 4%

41% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

5/51 1-0 FT

29/51 > 2-0 <> 28-0-1 Home teams won 97%

17/51 > 1-1 <> 4-12-1 home teams won 24%

2016-2017 season in La Liga where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band ,

38-6-4 > home teams won 79%

77% ended over 2.5 goals and 62.5% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 67% and over 1.5 first half goals was landed in 75%

54% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

4/48 1-0 FT

29/48 > 2-0 27-1-1 > home teams won 93%

15/48 > 1-1 7-5-3 > home teams won 47%

Last 99 games in La Liga where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band

75-18-6 > the home teams won 76% 1/0.76 = 1.31

GAME PATHWAY

9/99 FT 1-0

58/99 > 2-0 55-1-2 > home teams won 95% > is a 2-0 lead precarious ?

32/99 > 1-1 11-17-4 > home teams won 34% < as you can see an away win in this profile in La Liga is going to be rare so at 1-1 simply back the home team draw no bet Atlético Madrid 3 - 1 Athletic Club Fernando Torres 8' 1 - 0 Fernando Torres 11' 2 - 0 2 - 1 71' Iñaki Williams Á. Correa 89' 3 - 1 Sevilla 5 - 0 Osasuna Vitolo 10' 1 - 0 F. Vázquez 20' 2 - 0 S. Jovetić 35' 3 - 0 F. Vázquez 60' 4 - 0 Vitolo 80' 5 - 0 Deportivo La C… 3 - 0 Las Palmas F. Andone 4' 1 - 0 F. Andone 28' 2 - 0 Carles Gil 39' 3 - 0 Sporting Gijón 2 - 2 Real Betis Douglas Pereira 7' 1 - 0 1 - 1 22' Rubén Castro 1 - 2 59' Rubén Castro Carlos Carmona 79' 2 - 2 Real Madrid 4 - 1 Sevilla Nacho 10' 1 - 0 Cristiano Ronaldo 23' 2 - 0 2 - 1 49' S. Jovetić Cristiano Ronaldo 78' 3 - 1 T. Kroos 84' 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés 3 - 1 Celta de Vigo Manu García 5' 1 - 0 Z. Feddal 18' 2 - 0 Deyverson 37' 3 - 0 3 - 1 78' Iago Aspas (PG) Leganés 4 - 0 Real Betis A. Szymanowski (PG) 7' 1 - 0 N. El Zhar 15' 2 - 0 Gabriel 65' 3 - 0 A. Szymanowski 80' 4 - 0 Osasuna 2 - 2 Deportivo La C… J. Mondragón 4' 1 - 0 1 - 1 18' Guilherme 1 - 2 70' Guilherme Juanfran (OG) 78' 2 - 2 Sevilla 2 - 0 Granada Ganso 4' 1 - 0 Ganso 46' 2 - 0 Real Betis 2 - 0 Eibar J. Martin 2' 1 - 0 Dani Ceballos 89' 2 - 0 Athletic Club 5 - 1 Las Palmas San José 7' 1 - 0 Muniain 9' 2 - 0 2 - 1 12' Bigas Aduriz 18' 3 - 1 Muniain 58' 4 - 1 Aduriz 59' 5 - 1 Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Sporting Gijón Willian José 3' 1 - 0 Juanmi 27' 2 - 0 Yuri 77' 3 - 0 3 - 1 87' E. Echiejile Sevilla 4 - 2 Deportivo La C… S. Jovetić 1' 1 - 0 1 - 1 4' G. Kakuta Pablo Sarabia 9' 2 - 1 2 - 2 25' G. Kakuta J. Correa 32' 3 - 2 W. Ben Yedder 88' 4 - 2 Valencia 3 - 0 Deportivo La C… E. Garay 10' 1 - 0 Albentosa (OG) 29' 2 - 0 João Cancelo 90' 3 - 0 Real Betis 2 - 0 Osasuna Rafa Navarro 4' 1 - 0 Rubén Castro 28' 2 - 0 Las Palmas 1 - 0 Villarreal K. Boateng 10' 1 - 0 Espanyol 4 - 3 Las Palmas David López 1' 1 - 0 1 - 1 31' M. Lemos Gerard Moreno 45' 2 - 1 2 - 2 49' M. Lemos P. Piatti (PG) 53' 3 - 2 José Jurado 74' 4 - 2 4 - 3 84' M. García Las Palmas 5 - 2 Osasuna Jesé 7' 1 - 0 1 - 1 31' Kenan 1 - 2 37' Kenan M. Livaja 55' 2 - 2 Unai García (OG) 70' 3 - 2 Roque Mesa 76' 4 - 2 Jesé 87' 5 - 2 Atlético Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia A. Griezmann 10' 1 - 0 K. Gameiro 48' 2 - 0 A. Griezmann 83' 3 - 0 Real Madrid 3 - 3 Las Palmas Isco 8' 1 - 0 1 - 1 10' Tana 1 - 2 56' Jonathan Viera (PG) 1 - 3 59' K. Boateng Cristiano Ronaldo (PG) 86' 2 - 3 Cristiano Ronaldo 89' 3 - 3 Barcelona 6 - 1 Sporting Gijón L. Messi 9' 1 - 0 L. Suárez 11' 2 - 0 2 - 1 21' Carlos Castro L. Suárez 27' 3 - 1 Paco Alcácer 49' 4 - 1 Neymar 65' 5 - 1 I. Rakitić 87' 6 - 1 Valencia 2 - 1 Real Madrid S. Zaza 4' 1 - 0 F. Orellana 9' 2 - 0 2 - 1 44' Cristiano Ronaldo Barcelona 2 - 1 Leganés L. Messi 4' 1 - 0 1 - 1 71' Unai López L. Messi (PG) 90' 2 - 1 Espanyol 3 - 1 Sevilla José Antonio Reyes (PG) 4' 1 - 0 1 - 1 20' S. Jovetić Marc Navarro 45' 2 - 1 Gerard Moreno 71' 3 - 1 Eibar 3 - 1 Deportivo La C… Adrián 4' 1 - 0 Sergi Enrich 15' 2 - 0 2 - 1 19' E. Çolak F. Lejeune 72' 3 - 1 Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 Real Betis N. Gaitán 8' 1 - 0 Celta de Vigo 3 - 1 Málaga Iago Aspas 7' 1 - 0 D. Wass 60' 2 - 0 Fontàs 73' 3 - 0 3 - 1 86' D. Wass (OG) Deportivo La C… 2 - 0 Osasuna F. Andone 7' 1 - 0 R. Babel 42' 2 - 0 Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Valencia Willian José 2' 1 - 0 Willian José 24' 2 - 0 2 - 1 36' Dani Parejo (PG) Juanmi 90' 3 - 1 3 - 2 90' Z. Bakka Deportivo Alavés 1 - 1 Las Palmas Alexis 4' 1 - 0 1 - 1 57' M. Livaja Real Madrid 2 - 1 Sporting Gijón Cristiano Ronaldo (PG) 5' 1 - 0 Cristiano Ronaldo 18' 2 - 0 2 - 1 35' Carlos Carmona Leganés 2 - 0 Osasuna Rober Ibáñez 6' 1 - 0 Rober Ibáñez 57' 2 - 0 Eibar 1 - 0 Celta de Vigo Fran Rico 9' 1 - 0 Deportivo La C… 2 - 3 Sevilla R. Babel 1' 1 - 0 F. Andone 42' 2 - 0 2 - 1 44' S. N'Zonzi 2 - 2 87' Vitolo 2 - 3 90' G. Mercado Atlético Madrid 4 - 2 Málaga Y. Carrasco 7' 1 - 0 K. Gameiro 24' 2 - 0 2 - 1 31' Sandro Ramírez K. Gameiro 44' 3 - 1 3 - 2 64' Ignacio Camacho Y. Carrasco 86' 4 - 2 Deportivo Alavés 1 - 4 Real Madrid Deyverson 7' 1 - 0 1 - 1 17' Cristiano Ronaldo (PG) 1 - 2 33' Cristiano Ronaldo 1 - 3 84' Álvaro Morata 1 - 4 88' Cristiano Ronaldo Real Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club K. Benzema 7' 1 - 0 1 - 1 27' Sabin Álvaro Morata 83' 2 - 1 2 - 3 Osasuna G. Escalante 1' 1 - 0 1 - 1 29' Sergio León 1 - 2 32' Sergio León Sergi Enrich 45' 2 - 2 2 - 3 58' Roberto Torres Villarreal 5 - 0 Celta de Vigo R. Soriano 8' 1 - 0 R. Soriano 12' 2 - 0 C. Bakambu 38' 3 - 0 D. Wass (OG) 48' 4 - 0 Trigueros 90' 5 - 0 Deportivo Alavés 1 - 1 Málaga Deyverson 9' 1 - 0 1 - 1 85' R. Rosales Osasuna 2 - 2 Las Palmas Roberto Torres (PG) 7' 1 - 0 Sergio León 45' 2 - 0 2 - 1 57' Vicente Gómez 2 - 2 90' David García Villarreal 3 - 1 Osasuna Alexandre Pato 5' 1 - 0 Bruno (PG) 24' 2 - 0 N. Sansone 39' 3 - 0 3 - 1 45' Roberto Torres (PG Real Sociedad 4 - 1 Las Palmas Willian José 1' 1 - 0 C. Vela (PG) 22' 2 - 0 Zurutuza 35' 3 - 0 Willian José (PG) 53' 4 - 0 4 - 1 56' Tana Las Palmas 1 - 0 Málaga Momo (PG) 10' 1 - 0 Atlético Madrid 5 - 0 Sporting Gijón A. Griezmann 2' 1 - 0 K. Gameiro 5' 2 - 0 A. Griezmann 31' 3 - 0 Fernando Torres 72' 4 - 0 Fernando Torres (PG) 90' 5 - 0 Real Madrid 5 - 2 Osasuna Cristiano Ronaldo 6' 1 - 0 Danilo 40' 2 - 0 Sergio Ramos 45' 3 - 0 Pepe 56' 4 - 0 L. Modrić 62' 5 - 0 5 - 1 64' Oriol Riera 5 - 2 78' David García Valencia 2 - 4 Las Palmas Santi Mina 6' 1 - 0 1 - 1 16' M. Livaja 1 - 2 24' Jonathan Viera (PG) 1 - 3 31' K. Boateng Santi Mina 34' 2 - 3 2 - 4 88' M. Livaja Barcelona 6 - 2 Real Betis A. Turan 6' 1 - 0 1 - 1 21' Rubén Castro L. Messi 37' 2 - 1 L. Suárez 42' 3 - 1 L. Suárez 56' 4 - 1 L. Messi 57' 5 - 1 L. Suárez 82' 6 - 1 6 - 2 84' Rubén Castr