The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time Russian Premier League Via GAME PATHWAY analysis

Posted on: August 15th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 30 games in the Russian Premier League where the home teams opened the scoring 0-10 minutes and the half time game state was 1-0 , and 27% ended over 2.5 goals ( 11/4)

Both teams scored in 30% and the away team scored the 2nd goal of the game in 20% ( 4/1 )

 

“In this masterwork Pullein explains how you can work out what is likely to happen …. Kevin Pullein is the leading football commentator for the Racing Post. … for instance, a team which is losing by 0-1 is 6% more likely to score the next goal …” < does not apply in games in the Russian Premier League where the home team open the scoring 0-10 and 1-0 half time because the home team are far more likely to score the 2nd goal of the game.

GAME PATHWAY

13% followed the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band .

Tom’ Tomsk 1-0 Ufa  
 9′

 

Ufa at half time were offered at 5/4 to score and 2/1 to score the 2nd goal and by looking at the expected game pathway in this profile in the Russian Premier League , we can see that the prices offered were much shorter then they should have been .

 

 

T HT T+1 FT
Tomsk Ufa 9 1 0 1 0
Krylya Krasnodar 3 1 0 A52 1 1
Krylya Ufa 6 1 0 1 0
Ufa Anzhi 3 1 0 H90 2 0
Spartak Krylya 1 1 0 1 0
Zenit Anzhi 7 1 0 A48 5 1
Ural Amkar 6 1 0 A61 3 1
Zenit Amkar 10 1 0 A66 1 1
Rostov Anzhi 7 1 0 1 0
CSKA Anzhi 3 1 0 1 0
Ural Loko. 6 1 0 H60 2 0
Mord. Amkar 3 1 0 1 0
Kras. Mord. 5 1 0 H70 4 0
Rubin Arsenal 5 1 0 1 0
Arsenal Amkar 8 1 0 H52 4 0
Kras. Rubin 8 1 0 H72 2 0
Rostov Ural 3 1 0 1 0
CSKA Terek 4 1 0 1 0
Tom Rostov 7 1 0 H52 3 2
Kras. Anzhi 6 1 0 1 0
Volga Rostov 1 1 0 H64 2 1
Zenit Krylya 5 1 0 H52 2 1
Terek Spartak 1 1 0 1 0
CSKA Spartak 8 1 0 1 0
Kras. Tom 4 1 0 H55 4 0
Kras. Rubin 3 1 0 1 0
Kras. Krylya 9 1 0 A89 1 1
Kras. Dinamo 9 1 0 A83 1 1
Rubin Kras 7 1 0 H64 2 0
Spartak Anzhi 5 1 0 H69 2 0