The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in the National League

Posted on: March 16th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 56 games in the National league where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band and the half time game state was 1-0 and 34% ended over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring in 54%.

The home teams won 64%, 30% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 6%

In games in the table below where the home teams were in a higher position in the league table and  70%  ended a home win .

In the games in the table below where the home teams were in a lower position in the league table and 56% ended a home win < expectation of the perceived stronger away team fighting back but low expectation of the away team winning.

 

 

T HT FT T+!
Dover Lincoln 3 1 0 4 1 H58 Higher
Grimsby Southport 1 1 0 1 0 Higher
Lincoln Aldershot 8 1 0 2 0 Higher
Bromley Welling 9 1 0 2 0 Higher
Braintree Halifax 1 1 0 2 0 Higher
Kidd. Eastliegh 3 1 0 3 2 H52 Lower
Braintree Welling 9 1 0 1 0 Higher
Gateshead Grimsby 3 1 0 1 0 Lower
Boreham Braintree 7 1 0 1 0 Lower
Barrow Woking 4 1 0 2 1 A48 Lower
Woking Torquay 2 1 0 2 2 A46 Higher
Kidd. Boreham 10 1 0 1 1 A77 Lower
Dover Woking 4 1 0 2 0 Higher
Grimsby Tranmere 9 1 0 1 1 A54 Higher
Barrow Eastleigh 3 1 0 1 0 Lower
Chester Cheltenham 8 1 0 1 1 A48 Lower
Chester Braintree 4 1 0 1 0 Lower
Aldershot Torquay 5 1 0 2 0 Lower
Forest Aldershot 9  1 0 1 3 A61 Higher
Dover Telford 4 1 0 1 0 Higher
Southport Torquay 10 1 0 2 1 A77 Lower
Gateshead Welling 2 1 0 1 1 A81 Higher
Kiddy Eastlliegh 9 1 0 1 3 A59 Lower
Wrexham Chester 7 1 0 1 0 Higher
Dartford Kiddy 1 1 0 1 2 A79 Lower
Lincoln Alfreton 6 1 0 3 2 A57 Higher
Forest Altrincham 7 1 0 1 1 A49 Higher
Halifax Forest 5 1 0 1 0 Lower
Forest Dartford 5 1 0 2 1 H70 Higher
Torquay Eastlliegh 6 1 0 2 0 Lower
Kiddy Wrexham 2 1 0 1 1 A65 Lower
Torquay Gateshead 8 1 0 2 2 A86 Lower
Halifax Wrexham 6 1 0 2 2 A59 Higher
Chester Welling 10 1 0 1 1 A90 Higher
Rovers Woking 3 1 0 2 0 Higher
Welling Gateshead 5 1 0 1 1 A50 Lower
Rovers Nuneaton 2 1 0 3 1 H48 Higher
Torquay Aldershot 3 1 0 1 1 A71 Higher
Wrexham Nuneaton 4 1 0 1 0 Higher
Braintree Aldershot 3 1 0 1 0 Higher
Grimsby Salisbury 3 1 0 2 0 Higher
Kiddy Woking 1 1 0 2 0 Higher
Welling Gateshead 7 1 0 2 0 Lower
Barnet Grimsby 3 1 0 2 1 A59 Lower
Nuneaton Hyde 2 1 0 1 0 Higher
Chester Gateshead 10 1 0 1 1 A68 Lower
Tamworth Nuneaton 9 1 0 1 1 A69 Lower
Gateshead Salisbury 1 1 0 3 2 H46 Higher
Halifax Hyde 5 1 0 4 0 Higher
Forest Dartford 5 1 0 1 0 Higher
Southport Cambridge 2 1 0 1 0 Lower
Macc. Southport 10 1 0 2 2 A62 Higher
Barnet Wrexham 7 1 0 1 1 A90 Higher
Cambridge Hereford 7 1 0 1 0 Higher
Cambridge Forest 1 1 0 2 1 H53 Higher
Aldershot Barnet 3 1 0 3 3 A57 Lower