The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in the National League

Posted on: November 30th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 78 games in the National league where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band and the half time game state was 1-0 and 35% ended over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring in 47%.

53-20-5 <> the home teams won 68% , 1/0.68 = 1.47 > an away win in this profile will be a rare event

GAME PATHWAY

20/78 went to 1-1 pathway with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band ( 26%) <> 4-13-3 <> you will see some strong draw bias.

T HT FT T+!
Maidstone Eastleigh 5 1 0 2 1 A49
Woking Gatehead 9 1 0 3 0
Dover Sutton 3 1 0 3 1 H57
Lincoln Braintree 3 1 0 3 0
Dover Lincoln 4 1 0 2 0
Eastleigh North F. 4 1 0 2 0
York Solihull 9 1 0 4 0
Lincoln Gatehead 6 1 0 3 0
Bore. Chester 5 1 0 1 1 A83
Braintree Aldershot 8 1 0 2 0
Sutton Torquay 4 1 0 2 0
Aldershot Wrexham 3 1 0 2 0
Solihull Bromley 4 1 0 1 0
Forest Sutton 8 1 0 1 1 A55
Barrow Aldershot 7 1 0 1 0
Forest Woking 10 1 0 1 2 A69
Welling Kiddy 7 1 0 1 2 A82
Torquay Chester 3 1 0 2 0
Barrow Braintree 7 1 0 2 0
Dover Halifax 8 1 0 1 0
Eastleigh Guiseley 2 1 0 1 1 A55
Grimsby Wrexham 6 1 0 1 0
Dover Lincoln 3 1 0 4 1 H58
Grimsby Southport 1 1 0 1 0
Lincoln Aldershot 8 1 0 2 0
Bromley Welling 9 1 0 2 0
Braintree Halifax 1 1 0 2 0
Kidd. Eastliegh 3 1 0 3 2 H52
Braintree Welling 9 1 0 1 0
Gateshead Grimsby 3 1 0 1 0
Boreham Braintree 7 1 0 1 0
Barrow Woking 4 1 0 2 1 A48
Woking Torquay 2 1 0 2 2 A46
Kidd. Boreham 10 1 0 1 1 A77
Dover Woking 4 1 0 2 0
Grimsby Tranmere 9 1 0 1 1 A54
Barrow Eastleigh 3 1 0 1 0
Chester Cheltenham 8 1 0 1 1 A48
Chester Braintree 4 1 0 1 0
Aldershot Torquay 5 1 0 2 0
Forest Aldershot 9 1 0 1 3 A61
Dover Telford 4 1 0 1 0
Southport Torquay 10 1 0 2 1 A77
Gateshead Welling 2 1 0 1 1 A81
Kiddy Eastlliegh 9 1 0 1 3 A59
Wrexham Chester 7 1 0 1 0
Dartford Kiddy 1 1 0 1 2 A79
Lincoln Alfreton 6 1 0 3 2 A57
Forest Altrincham 7 1 0 1 1 A49
Halifax Forest 5 1 0 1 0
Forest Dartford 5 1 0 2 1 H70
Torquay Eastlliegh 6 1 0 2 0
Kiddy Wrexham 2 1 0 1 1 A65
Torquay Gateshead 8 1 0 2 2 A86
Halifax Wrexham 6 1 0 2 2 A59
Chester Welling 10 1 0 1 1 A90
Rovers Woking 3 1 0 2 0
Welling Gateshead 5 1 0 1 1 A50
Rovers Nuneaton 2 1 0 3 1 H48
Torquay Aldershot 3 1 0 1 1 A71
Wrexham Nuneaton 4 1 0 1 0
Braintree Aldershot 3 1 0 1 0
Grimsby Salisbury 3 1 0 2 0
Kiddy Woking 1 1 0 2 0
Welling Gateshead 7 1 0 2 0
Barnet Grimsby 3 1 0 2 1 A59
Nuneaton Hyde 2 1 0 1 0
Chester Gateshead 10 1 0 1 1 A68
Tamworth Nuneaton 9 1 0 1 1 A69
Gateshead Salisbury 1 1 0 3 2 H46
Halifax Hyde 5 1 0 4 0
Forest Dartford 5 1 0 1 0
Southport Cambridge 2 1 0 1 0
Macc. Southport 10 1 0 2 2 A62
Barnet Wrexham 7 1 0 1 1 A90
Cambridge Hereford 7 1 0 1 0
Cambridge Forest 1 1 0 2 1 H53
Aldershot Barnet 3 1 0 3 3 A57