The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in the Championship

Posted on: August 18th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since 2011-2012 in the Championship where the home teams were winning 1-0 at half time added to the opening goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , and 38% ended over 2.5 goals  (13/8 )

The home teams won 64%, 27% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 9% , some expectation of the away teams fighting back but lowered expectation of the away teams winning.

The home team scored the second goal of the game in 37%, no second goal in 22% and the away teams scored the second goal of the game in 41%

24%  ( 22/91 ) of the games followed the pathway 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band and of the 22 games that followed that pathway , 8/22 ( 36% ) ended 1-1 .

 

 

T HT FT T+1
Barnsley QPR 4 1 0 3 2 A47
QPR Leeds 4 1 0 3 0
Preston MK Dons 6 1 0 1 1 A54
Boro Reading 10 1 0 2 1 A54
Burnley Leeds 1 1 0 1 0
MK Dons Wolves 6 1 0 1 2 A66
Fulham Bristol City 3 1 0 1 2 A69
Derby Blackburn 8 1 0 1 0
MK Dons Boro 9 1 0 1 1 A90
Wolves Bolton 3 1 0 2 2 H77
QPR Wolves 2 1 0 1 1 A48
Boro Sheff Wed 1 1 0 1 0
Forest Derby 5 1 0 1 0
Preston Forest 2 1 0 1 0
Brentford Rotherham 2 1 0 2 1 A46
Bristol City MK Dons 6 1 0 1 1 A90
Reading Boro 1 1 0 2 0
Preston Wolves 10 1 0 1 1 A90
Brighton Hull 5 1 0 1 0
Huddersfield Blackburn 10 1 0 1 1 A60
Blackpool Reading 6 1 0 1 1 A46
Rotherham Brighton 8 1 0 1 0
Reading Cardiff 4 1 0 1 1 A90
Ipswich Bourne. 6 1 0 1 1 A82
Watord Fulham 9 1 0 1 0
Huddersfield Reading 10 1 0 3 0
Wolves Brentford 7 1 0 2 1 H72
Bournemouth Fulham 9 1 0 2 0
Boro Derby 6 1 0 2 0
Birmingham Forest 10 1 0 2 1 A84
Bournemouth Ipswich 2 1 0 2 2 A50
Brighton Wigan 1 1 0 1 0
Bournemouth Charlton 3 1 0 1 0
Sheff Wed Ipswich 5 1 0 1 1 A62
Bournemouth Leeds 6 1 0 1 3 A67
Charlton Watford 1 1 0 1 0
Millwall Leeds 8 1 0 2 0
Forest Birmingham 2 1 0 1 0
Huddersfield Brighton 6 1 0 1 1 A83
Blackburn QPR 9 1 0 2 0
Watford Burnley 9 1 0 1 1 A86
Blackpool Huddersfield 4 1 0 1 0
Leicester Charlton 9 1 0 3 0
Barnsley Millwall 4 1 0 1 0
Doncaster Wigan 7 1 0 3 0
Wigan Bournemouth 5 1 0 3 0
Birmingham Barnsley 10 1 0 1 1 A61
Millwall Wigan 3 1 0 2 1 H79
Blackpool Sheff Wed 6 1 0 2 0
Ipswich Leicester 2 1 0 1 2 A51
Reading Millwall 9 1 0 1 1 A90
Burnley Birmingham 3 1 0 3 0
Forest Bolton 2 1 0 3 0
Barnsley Hull 3 1 0 2 0
Burnley Barnsley 9 1 0 1 1 A84
Bolton Peterbrough 6 1 0 1 0
Palace Boro 9 1 0 4 1 H48
Cardiff Millwall 8 1 0 1 0
Hull Huddersfield 8 1 0 2 0
Huddersfield Bolton 9 1 0 2 2 A70
Watford Barnsley 10 1 0 4 1 H59
Bolton Ipswich 6 1 0  1 2 A70
Leeds Leicester 3 1 0 1 0
Peterbrough Palace 6 1 0 1 2 A80
Cardiff Hull 3 1 0 2 1 H82
Blackburn Sheff Wed 5 1 0 1 0
Leicester Brighton 10 1 0 1 0
Derby Charlton 7 1 0 3 0
Huddersfield Derby 1 1 0 1 0
Palace Sheff Wed 1 1 0 2 1 A50
Huddersfield Burnley 7 1 0 2 0
Wolves Barnsley 8 1 0 3 1 H61
Bristol City Barnsley 10 1 0 2 0
Brighton Derby 10 1 0 2 0
Burnley Palace 2 1 0 1 1 A63
West Ham Doncaster 9 1 0 1 1 A72
Peterbrough Bristol City 8 1 0 3 0
Burnley Barnsley 3 1 0 2 0
Palace Leeds 6 1 0 1 1 A63
Ipswich Blackpool 10 1 0 2 2 H60
Peterbrough Birmingham 1 1 0 1 1 A90
West Ham Barnsley 6 1 0 1 0
Birmingham Burnley 2 1 0 2 1 A49
Burnley Leeds 10 1 0 1 2 A76
Derby Southampton 3 1 0 1 1 A61
Brighton Palace 7 1 0 1 3 A80
Brighton Peterbrough 10 1 0 2 0
West Ham Leeds 6 1 0 2 2 A59
Derby Doncaster 6 1 0 3 0
Millwall Forest 7 1 0 2 0
Palace Burnley 10 1 0 2 0