The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in the Bundesliga

Posted on: February 17th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Trading Strategy

1-0 half time Bundesliga with a goal 0-10 and and lay the 1-1 correct score and if still 1-0 on 69 minutes then close your position by backing 1-1 correct score to avoid any late away goal.

In the table below I have added the last 30 games in Bundesliga where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and 1-0 half time game state ;

21-6-3 <> the home teams won 70%

GAME PATHWAY

1-0 FT 7/30

> 2-0 <> 13/30 <> 12-0-1 <> home teams won 92%

> 1-1 <> 10/30 <> 2-6-2 <> home teams won 20%

6/30 20% followed the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band and of the 6 games , 2/6 ended 1-1 at full time

Over 2.5 goals was landed in 50% of the games in the table below and the away teams failed to score in the 2nd half in 53%

37% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

T HT T+1 FT Goal 80 +
Leverkusen Eintracht 5 1 0 H63 3 0
Hertha Ingo 2 1 0 1 0
Hoff Mainz 5 1 0 H81 4 0 818690
Eintracht Koln 5 1 0 1 0
Mainz Darm 5 1 0 H56 2 1 90
Leverkusen Dortmund 10 1 0 H79 2 0
Freiburg Eintracht 4 1 0 1 0
Leipzig Monch 6 1 0 A84 1 1 84
Dortmund Darm 7 1 0 H48 6 0 84 88
Bayern Monch 6 1 0 A72 1 1
Mainz Koln 8 1 0 H49 2 3 83
Hoff Wolfsburg 3 1 0 1 0
Hamburg Ingolstadt 7 1 0 A61 1 1
Monch Koln 9 1 0 1 0
Bremen Koln 4 1 0 A79 1 1
Hamburg Hannover 6 1 0 A59 1 2
Hannover Freiburg 3 1 0 H84 2 1 84 90
Hoffenheim Hertha 8 1 0 A72 2 1 80
Dortmund Hertha 9 1 0 H47 2 0
Mainz Wolfsburg 7 1 0 A61 1 1
Schalke Monch 10 1 0 1 0
Mainz Paderborn 6 1 0 H46 5 0 82 87
Bremen Dortmund 3 1 0 H62 2 1
Eintracht Dortmund 5 1 0 H78 2 0
Bremen Paderborn 10 1 0 H48 4 0 80
Monch. Eintracht 5 1 0 A54 1 3
Augsburg Paderborn 7 1 0 H47 3 0
Hannover Koln 5 1 0 1 0
Wolsfburg Freiburg 3 1 0 A61 2 2 83
Hannover Hamburg 9 1 0 A48 2 1 86