The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in Serie A

Posted on: August 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

n the table below I have added all the games since 2012-2013  in Serie A  where the home teams were winning 1-0 in Serie A at half time with the opening goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, the home teams won 73%, 15% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 12% with over 2.5 goals landing in 51%

 

27% followed the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band .

 

Trading  Strategy

1-0 half time Serie A   with a goal 0-10 and and lay the 1-1 correct score and if still 1-0 on 69  minutes then close your position by backing 1-1 correct score to avoid any late away goal.

If you followed this strategy since 2012-2013 then you would have triggered 59 trades and only lost 5/59  which is not too shabby.

 

 

 

T HT T+1 FT
Udinese Empoli 3 1 0 H90 2 0
Napoli Atalanta 10 1 0 H77 2 1
Lazio Inter 8 1 0 H84 2 0
Juventus Palmero 10 1 0 H71 4 0
Fiorentina Sassuolo 10 1 0 A55 3 1
Milan Genoa 5 1 0 H63 2 1
Fiorentina Carpi 2 1 0 A73 2 1
Milan Fiorentina 4 1 0 H88 2 0
Chievo Empoli 7 1 0 A47 1 1
Genoa Palermo 3 1 0 H71 4 0
Roma Milan 4 1 0 A50 1 1
Napoli Inter 2 1 0 H62 2 1
Empoli Lazio 5 1 0 1 0
Genoa Carpi 8 1 0 A57 1 2
Roma Lazio 10 1 0 H62 2 0
Sassuolo Lazio 7 1 0 H60 2 1
Atalanta Sampdoria 6 1 0 H90 2 1
Genoa Milan 10 1 0 1 0
Empoli Chievo 7 1 0 A55 1 3
Frosinone Torino 7 1 0 A50 1 2
Hellas Napoli 7 1 0 51 2 0
Lazio Fioentina 6 1 0 65 4 0
Napoli Genoa 7 1 0 A56 2 1
Sampdoria Palermo 6 1 0 48 1 1
Palermo Roma 2 1 0 54 1 1
Juventus Inter 5 1 0 64 1 1
Milan Napoli 6 1 0 52 2 0
Palermo Sassuolo 3 1 0 85 2 1
Roma Cesena 9 1 0 81 2 0
Torino Parma 10 1 0 1 0
Napoli Roma 3 1 0 85 2 0
Parma Inter 5 1 0 76 2 0
Chievo Parma 4 1 0 A65 2 3
AC Milan Lazio 7 1 0 H56 3 1
Palermo Sampdoria 7 1 0 90 1 1
Juventus Udinese 8 1 0 75 2 0
Juventus Napoli 2 1 0 74 3 0
Verona Cagliari 8 1 0 H57 2 1
Bologna Livorno 3 1 0 1 0
Udinese Lazio 8 1 0 A63 2 3
Chievo Genoa 5 1 0 88 2 1
Chievo Bologna 7 1 0 78 3 0
Parma Sampdoria 8 1 0 90 2 0
Atalanta Chievo 8 1 0 76 2 2
Lazio Sampdoria 10 1 0 90 2 0
Palermo Inter 10 1 0 1 0
Roma Parma 7 1 0 70 2 0
Milan Palermo 8 1 0 66 2 0
Udinese Torino 7 1 0 1 0
Napoli Roma 4 1 0 H48 4 1
Milan Pescara 1 1 0 H51 4 1
Siena Catania 10 1 0 A50 1 3
Palermo Catania 10 1 0 H49 3 1
Udinese Parma 9 1 0 A46 2 2
Atalanta Inter 9 1 0 A56 3 2
Napoli Torino 6 1 0 90 1 1
Juventus Inter 1 1 0 A59 1 3
Catania Parma 2 1 0 80 2 0
Fiorentina Bologna 7 1 0 1 0