The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in Ligue 1

Posted on: March 12th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Trading  Strategy

 

1-0 half time Ligue 1    with a goal 0-10 and and lay the 1-1 correct score and if still 1-0 on 69  minutes then close your position by backing 1-1 correct score to avoid any late away goal.

If you followed the strategy in the games in the table below then you would have only lost 3/45 which is not too shabby.

 

In the table below I have added the last 45 games in Ligue 1 where the home team opened the scoring 0-10 and the half time game state was 1-0 , and 56% ended over 2.5 goals .

The home teams won 73%, 22% ended a draw and the away teams won 5%

24% of the games in the table below followed the PATWAY > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-69 minutes time band and in that sample 73% ended over 2.5 goals .

The away teams in the table below scored the 2nd goal of the game in 38%

 

 

T HT FT T+1
Toulouse Bordeaux 5 1 0 4 0 H50
Bastia Troyes 10 1 0 2 0 H83
Bastia Troyes 5 1 0 4 0 H46
Guingamp Lorient 1 1 0 2 2 A64
Montpellier Lorient 6 1 0 2 1 A48
Nice Monaco 7 1 0 1 2 A51
Lens Nantes 4 1 0 1 0
Mont. Caen 4 1 0 1 0
PSG Lorient 4 1 0 3 1 A67
Montpellier Reims 4 1 0 3 1 H73
Toulouse Rennes 9 1 0 2 1 A82
Evian Toulouse 4 1 0 1 0
Mont. Nantes 8 1 0 4 0
Lille Toulouse 7 1 0 3 0
Lyon Caen 7 1 0 3 0
Monaco Caen 5 1 0 2 2 A50
Toulouse Metz 3 1 0 3 0
Metz Caen 10 1 0 3 2 H50
Monaco Nice 5 1 0 1 0
Nantes Guingamp 4 1 0 1 0
Lorient Evian 5 1 0 1 1 A70
Marseille Ajaccio 3 1 0 3 1 H60
Nice Bastia 5 1 0 2 0
Sochaux Lorient 7 1 0 2 0
Bordeaux Lyon 7 1 0 1 2 A90
Monaco Sochaux 6 1 0 2 1 H55
Monaco Reims 8 1 0 3 2 A53
Rennes Montpellier 10 1 0 2 2 A54
Lille Sochaux 3 1 0 2 0
Ajaccio Sochaux 9 1 0 1 1 A90
Nice Ajaccio 5 1 0 2 0
Lorient Rennes 7 1 0 2 0
Bordeaux Ajaccio 8 1 0 4 0
Marseille Sochaux 4 1 0 2 1 A60
Bastia Rennes 8 1 0 1 0
Valenciennes Montpellier 6 1 0 1 1 A90
Nantes Evian 2 1 0 3 0
Monaco Lorient 6 1 0 1 0
St Etienne Bordeaux 8 1 0 2 1 H50
Reims Lille 7 1 0 2 1 H67
Evian Sochaux 4 1 0 1 1 A54
Montpellier PSG 10 1 0 1 1 A60
PSG Nice 10 1 0 3 0
Sochaux Valenciennes 8 1 0 1 1 A82
Montpellier Troyes 8 1 0 1 1 A51