The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in Argentina Primera

Posted on: March 27th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 55 games in Argentina Primera ( regular season ) where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band and 38% ended over 2.5 goals

44-7-4 < the home teams won 80%

9/55 followed the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band and 2/9 ended 1-1.

“In this masterwork Pullein explains how you can work out what is likely to happen …. Kevin Pullein is the leading football commentator for the Racing Post. … for instance, a team which is losing by 0-1 is 6% more likely to score the next goal …” < well not in this profile of game Trading Strategy In Argentina Primera in games where the home teams open the scoring 0-10 minutes and the half time score is 1-0 ; back against ( lay ) the 1-1 correct score and if still 1-0 on 69 minutes then scratch the trade by backing 1-1. 1-0 half time to the home team in Argentina Primera added to the early goal metric and 1-1 with a goal in the 46-70 minutes time band will not be a common event and if this does happen then 1-1 full time will be an unlikely outcome. T HT FT Colon Lanus 1 1 0 1 0 Tuc Sarm 7 1 0 2 1 H71 Lanus San 6 1 0 2 2 H54 Huracan Ros 7 1 0 1 1 A52 Aldosivi San 9 1 0 1 2 A55 Quil Lanus 9 1 0 1 0 Tigra Boca 3 1 0 1 1 A81 Colon Defensa 10 1 0 1 0 Aldosivi Cord 10 1 0 2 1 H56 Ros Arsenal 10 1 0 5 0 Velez Ros 8 1 0 2 0 Temp Pat 5 1 0 1 0 Arsenal River 1 1 0 2 1 A49 Union Tigre 9 1 0 1 0 Gim Quilmes 6 1 0 1 0 Racing Boca 10 1 0 1 0 Defensa Aldosivi 8 1 0 4 0 Banfield Gimnasia 9 1 0 2 0 Arsenal Defensa 9 1 0 1 0 San Temperley 8 1 0 2 0 Defensa River 3 1 0 1 0 Boca Banfield 4 1 0 3 0 Aldosivi Crucero 6 1 0 2 0 Nueva Huracan 5 1 0 3 0 Indep. Atletico 7 1 0 2 0 Boca Newells 5 1 0 4 0 Rafaela Est. 10 1 0 1 2 A48 Tigre Est. 7 1 0 2 0 Aldosivi Godoy 4 1 0 2 0 Boca Indep. 5 1 0 3 1 A54 Belgrano Tigre 1 1 0 1 2 A75 Godoy Est. 9 1 0 1 1 A83 Racing Banfield 7 1 0 1 0 Belgrano Rosario 2 1 0 1 0 Vélez Arsenal 6 1 0 2 1 H56 Lanus Belgrano 5 1 0 1 0 Godoy Velez 10 1 0 1 1 A80 Quilmes Juniors 3 1 0 1 0 Gimnasia All Boys 8 1 0 2 1 H69 Boca Godoy 9 1 0 3 0 Lanus Colon 2 1 0 1 0 River Newells 8 1 0 1 0 Colon Tigre 4 1 0 1 0 Olimpo Rafaela 6 1 0 2 1 A54 Newells Racing 10 1 0 2 0 All Boys Olimpo 6 1 0 1 0 Boca Belgrano 7 1 0 2 3 A47 Gimnasia Newells 9 1 0 3 0 San Racing 8 1 0 1 0 Tigre Rafaela 8 1 0 3 1 A62 Rosario Racing 6 1 0 1 1 A87 Belgrano Tigre 2 1 0 2 0 Newells Godoy 7 1 0 1 1 A60 Rafaela Olimpo 8 1 0 2 0 All Boys Quilmes 7 1 0 4 0