The Effect of the Early Away Goal Metric in Sweden Allsvenskan

Posted on: April 4th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In Sweden Allsvenskan in the 2015 season where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , 86% ended over 2.5 goals and 64% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 82% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 71%

The home teams won 25% , 25% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 50%< some expectation of the home teams fighting back which will result in high expectation of both teams scoring. 43% produced a goal 80 + minutes Last season is Allsvenskan in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 58% ended over 3.5 goals Both teams scored in 81% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 69% 11-12-25 < the away teams won 52% < some expectation of the home teams fighting back which will result in high expectation of both teams scoring 42% produced a goal 80 + minutes GAME PATHWAY

2/48 0-1 FT

> 1-1 <> 29/48 <> 10-10-9 < the away teams won 31%

> 0-2 <> 17/48 <> 1-2-14 < away teams won 82%

In games in Allsvenskan where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minute time band > 1-1 pathway will be far more likely then > 0-2 pathway .

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80 +
Ost Gefle 7 A10 1 2 2 4 90
Norrk Gote 9 H23 1 1 3 1
AIK Kalmar 10 H41 1 1 3 1
Jonk Orebro 8 H81 0 1 1 1 81
Sund Gote 7 A13 1 2 1 3
Falk Malmo 1 A19 0 2 0 3
Ham Elfsborg 5 A17 0 3 2 4 90
Hacken Kalmar 20 H37 2 1 2 3
Ham Djurg 3 A32 2 2 4 2
Gote Gefle 6 H43 1 1 3 3 8190
Orebro Kalmar 19 H47 0 1 2 1
Ost Falk 8 H32 3 1 6 1
Hacken Malmo 13 H15 2 2 2 4 83
Hamm Hacken 20 H64 0 1 2 3 8086
Djurg AIK 15 A65 0 1 0 3
Hacken Gote 15 A60 0 1 2 2
Hels Norrk 14 A49 0 1 1 2
Orebro Sund 7 H26 2 1 3 3 89
Sund AIK 17 A19 0 3 1 3
Hels Gefle 7 H32 1 1 2 3 8688
Kalmar Djurg 4 H69 0 1 2 1
Hacken Helsin 1 H16 1 1 1 1
Sund Norrk 13 H24 1 1 1 2
Gefle Hamm 12 A33 0 2 0 2
Hamm AIK 11 A17 0 3 0 3
AIK Malmo 15 H44 1 1 1 1
Hamm Falk 16 A28 2 3 3 3
Norrk Ost 6 H12 2 1 3 3 84
Ost Malmo 3 A6 0 2 1 4 90
Jonk Sund 6 H66 0 1 1 1
Falk AIK 17 H39 1 2 2 3 81
Gefle Orebro 6 A47 0 1 0 4 83
Djurg Kalmar 15 A51 0 1 0 3 90
Hels Ost 20 H81 0 1 1 1 81
Falk Hacken 12 A25 1 2 1 4 88
Orebro Hamm 11 H18 2 2 3 2
Jonk Norrk 15 A63 0 1 0 2
Gefle Gote 10 H25 2 1 2 6 88
Hacken Gefle 4 H32 2 1 6 1 8587
Hacken Sund 18 0 1 0 1
Djurg Hamm 12 H25 1 2 1 3
Gote Kalmar 7 H53 0 1 1 1
Malmo Sund 11 H40 1 1 1 2 86
Hamm Helsin 4 H6 2 1 5 1 8183
Jonk Malmo 4 H26 1 1 3 2
Gefle Helsin 9 H79 0 1 1 1
Kalmar Jonk 15 0 1 0 1
Malmo Norrk 16 H44 1 1 3 1 90