The Effect of the Early Away Goal in the Championship Via Game Pathway Analysis 2015-2016 V 2016-2017

Posted on: May 31st, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

2015-2016 season in the Championship in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 63% ended over 2.5 goals and 36% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 73% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 59%

The home teams won 16%, 24% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 60%

37% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

0-1 FT <> 7/94

> 1-1 53/94 56% <> 12-23-18 <> away teams won 34%

> 0-2 34/94 36% 3-0-31 <> away teams won 91%

15-23-56

this season in the Championship in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band,

70% ended over 2.5 goals and 43% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 78% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 57%

44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

13-21-45 < 57% ended an away win GAME PATHWAY 4/79 0-1 FT 42/79 > 1-1 13-18-11 away teams won 26%

33/79 > 0-2 0-3-30 away teams won 91%

Last 173 games in the Championship where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

28-44-101

16% home wins , 25% ended a draw and the away teams won 58%

GAME PATHWAY

11/173 FT 0-1

95/173 > 1-1 25-41-29 > away teams won 31%

67/172 > 0-2 3-3-61 > away teams won 91%

key point > 1-1 will be more likely then > 0-2 and as a result in this profile in the Championship you will discover season on season that BTTS YES % will be high < added to some expectation of the home teams fighting back Brentford 1 - 3 Blackburn Rovers 0 - 1 10' C. Mulgrew 0 - 2 16' D. Guthrie L. Vibe 56' 1 - 2 1 - 3 83' C. Conway (PG) Huddersfield Town 0 - 3 Cardiff City 0 - 1 7' K. Zohorè 0 - 2 29' J. Bennett 0 - 3 71' J. Bennett Burton Albion 2 - 4 Reading 0 - 1 3' J. Mendes 0 - 2 21' J. Obita 0 - 3 64' Y. Kermorgant B. Turner 69' 1 - 3 C. Woodrow 72' 2 - 3 2 - 4 84' L. Grabban Bristol City 0 - 1 Birmingham City 0 - 1 16' Che Adams Preston North End 1 - 1 Rotherham United 0 - 1 9' R. Smallwood S. May 41' 1 - 1 Derby County 1 - 1 Huddersfield Town 0 - 1 9' C. Quaner J. Butterfield 88' 1 - 1 Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Bristol City 0 - 1 14' T. Abraham S. Gallagher 71' 1 - 1 Queens Park Ra… 1 - 2 Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 1 12' A. Reach Idrissa Sylla 20' 1 - 1 1 - 2 31' D. Pudil Reading 2 - 1 Rotherham United 0 - 1 19' T. Adeyemi L. Grabban 66' 1 - 1 J. Swift 79' 2 - 1 Aston Villa 1 - 3 Reading 0 - 1 6' J. Mendes J. Chester 14' 1 - 1 1 - 2 46' J. Mendes 1 - 3 79' L. Grabban (PG) Norwich City 1 - 3 Fulham 0 - 1 5' S. Johansen 0 - 2 48' T. Cairney (PG) C. Jerome 76' 1 - 2 1 - 3 89' F. Ayité Birmingham City 1 - 2 Derby County 0 - 1 3' T. Kuszczak (OG) Che Adams 68' 1 - 1 1 - 2 90' T. Ince Blackburn Rovers 0 - 2 Barnsley 0 - 1 3' M. Roberts 0 - 2 10' M. Watkins Burton Albion 1 - 1 Aston Villa 0 - 1 3' J. Kodjia L. Dyer 61' 1 - 1 Rotherham United 0 - 2 Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 1 19' S. Fletcher 0 - 2 44' S. Fletcher Burton Albion 3 - 5 Brentford 0 - 1 10' Sergi Canós M. Sordell 21' 1 - 1 M. Sordell 23' 2 - 1 C. Woodrow 41' 3 - 1 3 - 2 51' L. Vibe 3 - 3 61' Sergi Canós 3 - 4 85' L. Vibe 3 - 5 86' Jota Peleteiro Blackburn Rovers 2 - 2 Preston North End 0 - 1 13' T. Barkhuizen E. Bennett 43' 1 - 1 C. Conway 56' 2 - 1 2 - 2 90' A. McGeady Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 2 Reading 0 - 1 13' Y. Kermorgant 0 - 2 90' Adrian Popa Newcastle United 1 - 3 Fulham 0 - 1 15' T. Cairney 0 - 2 51' R. Sessegnon 0 - 3 59' R. Sessegnon D. Murphy 76' 1 - 3 Birmingham City 0 - 1 Wigan Athletic 0 - 1 19' D. Burn Fulham 1 - 1 Leeds United 0 - 1 5' T. Ream (OG) T. Cairney 90' 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest 2 - 3 Brentford 0 - 1 17' L. Vibe 0 - 2 55' L. Vibe 0 - 3 68' Jota Peleteiro B. Brereton 82' 1 - 3 Z. Clough 90' 2 - 3 Huddersfield Town 1 - 3 Newcastle United 0 - 1 10' M. Ritchie (PG) 0 - 2 32' D. Murphy A. Mooy (PG) 72' 1 - 2 1 - 3 90' D. Gayle Birmingham City 1 - 3 Leeds United 0 - 1 14' C. Wood C. Gardner 63' 1 - 1 1 - 2 67' C. Wood 1 - 3 81' Alfonso Pedraza Barnsley 1 - 1 Huddersfield Town 0 - 1 18' M. Hefele M. Watkins 75' 1 - 1 Cardiff City 2 - 2 Fulham 0 - 1 17' S. Johansen K. Zohorè 24' 1 - 1 K. Zohorè 56' 2 - 1 2 - 2 68' N. Kebano Newcastle United 2 - 2 Bristol City 0 - 1 11' A. Wilbraham 0 - 2 21' D. Cotterill K. Smith (OG) 59' 1 - 2 C. Clark 82' 2 - 2 Bristol City 0 - 2 Fulham 0 - 1 17' Lucas Piazon 0 - 2 54' T. Cairney Birmingham City 1 - 4 Queens Park Ra… 0 - 1 18' M. Smith 0 - 2 47' C. Washington 0 - 3 84' Idrissa Sylla 0 - 4 88' Y. N'Gbakoto Nsue 90' 1 - 4 Brighton & Hov… 1 - 1 Ipswich Town 0 - 1 9' L. Chambers T. Hemed (PG) 29' 1 - 1 Fulham 3 - 2 Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 2' P. Kasami T. Cairney 30' 1 - 1 Lucas Piazon 33' 2 - 1 2 - 2 47' B. Brereton J. Hobbs (OG) 72' 3 - 2 Norwich City 2 - 2 Newcastle United 0 - 1 1' Ayoze Pérez Jacob Murphy 12' 1 - 1 C. Jerome 17' 2 - 1 2 - 2 81' J. Lascelles Derby County 3 - 3 Bristol City 0 - 1 14' M. Taylor 0 - 2 27' T. Abraham 0 - 3 38' T. Abraham D. Bent 57' 1 - 3 T. Ince 76' 2 - 3 D. Bent (PG) 81' 3 - 3 Preston North End 4 - 2 Brentford 0 - 1 12' T. Field A. McGeady 18' 1 - 1 C. Robinson 52' 2 - 1 A. McGeady 75' 3 - 1 D. Horgan 77' 4 - 1 4 - 2 89' M. Colin Nottingham Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa 0 - 1 19' J. Kodjia B. Assombalonga 42' 1 - 1 B. Brereton 90' 2 - 1 Barnsley 1 - 3 Wolverhampton … 0 - 1 5' K. Hause 0 - 2 36' D. Edwards 0 - 3 77' D. Edwards M. Roberts 80' 1 - 3 Bristol City 2 - 2 Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 1 17' F. Forestieri L. Tomlin (PG) 31' 1 - 1 1 - 2 51' R. Wallace T. Abraham 70' 2 - 2 Ipswich Town 0 - 3 Derby County 0 - 1 9' C. Bryson 0 - 2 12' T. Ince 0 - 3 45' D. Bent Preston North End 1 - 1 Ipswich Town 0 - 1 16' T. Lawrence J. Hugill 89' 1 - 1 Queens Park Ra… 1 - 2 Burton Albion 0 - 1 11' L. Murphy 0 - 2 52' L. Dyer C. Washington 63' 1 - 2 Barnsley 3 - 2 Leeds United 0 - 1 18' C. Wood T. Bradshaw 45' 1 - 1 R. Kent 48' 2 - 1 C. Hourihane 54' 3 - 1 3 - 2 68' C. Wood (PG) Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Birmingham City 0 - 1 3' L. Jutkiewicz (PG) D. Graham 45' 1 - 1 Derby County 3 - 2 Reading 0 - 1 16' J. Swift D. Bent 36' 1 - 1 T. Ince 63' 2 - 1 W. Hughes 74' 3 - 1 3 - 2 80' Y. Meïté Brentford 1 - 2 Newcastle United 0 - 1 20' D. Gayle L. Vibe 52' 1 - 1 1 - 2 79' D. Murphy Preston North End 1 - 4 Leeds United 0 - 1 17' K. Roofe 0 - 2 23' H. Sacko M. Vermijl 27' 1 - 2 1 - 3 31' S. Doukara 1 - 4 88' Pablo Hernández Burton Albion 1 - 2 Newcastle United 0 - 1 15' D. Gayle L. Dyer 20' 1 - 1 1 - 2 34' M. Diamé Wigan Athletic 2 - 3 Ipswich Town 0 - 1 7' B. Pitman (PG) Y. Wildschut 35' 1 - 1 Y. Wildschut 62' 2 - 1 2 - 2 68' B. Pitman 2 - 3 88' D. McGoldrick Norwich City 1 - 2 Huddersfield Town 0 - 1 5' E. Kachunga J. Howson 6' 1 - 1 1 - 2 40' E. Kachunga Blackburn Rovers 2 - 3 Brighton & Hov… 0 - 1 16' S. Duffy 0 - 2 61' D. Stephens S. Gallagher 66' 1 - 2 1 - 3 79' G. Murray S. Gallagher 90' 2 - 3 Cardiff City 2 - 1 Wolverhampton … 0 - 1 2' M. Doherty M. Connolly 68' 1 - 1 A. Pilkington 86' 2 - 1 Fulham 2 - 1 Rotherham United 0 - 1 19' J. Newell S. Johansen 32' 1 - 1 F. Ayité 54' 2 - 1 Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Huddersfield Town 0 - 1 6' K. Palmer D. Graham (PG) 34' 1 - 1 Wigan Athletic 0 - 1 Derby County 0 - 1 16' B. Johnson Rotherham United 1 - 2 Leeds United 0 - 1 14' C. Wood 0 - 2 45' S. Doukara R. Wood 86' 1 - 2 Brentford 1 - 2 Birmingham City 0 - 1 14' C. Donaldson (PG) 0 - 2 63' R. Shotton S. Hogan 77' 1 - 2 Brighton & Hov… 2 - 1 Fulham 0 - 1 18' K. McDonald S. Baldock 52' 1 - 1 G. Murray 79' 2 - 1 Wolverhampton … 0 - 2 Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 1 15' F. Forestieri (PG) 0 - 2 29' K. Lee Ipswich Town 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 1' B. Assombalonga 0 - 2 45' B. Assombalonga Blackburn Rovers 3 - 2 Brentford 0 - 1 1' S. Hogan D. Graham 15' 1 - 1 D. Graham (PG) 20' 2 - 1 2 - 2 30' S. Hogan H. Dean (OG) 38' 3 - 2 Fulham 1 - 1 Sheffield Wedn… 0 - 1 10' F. Forestieri S. Malone 90' 1 - 1 Brighton & Hov… 1 - 1 Aston Villa 0 - 1 20' N. Baker G. Murray 45' 1 - 1 Bristol City 0 - 2 Brighton & Hov… 0 - 1 13' S. Sidwell 0 - 2 20' J. Murphy Wigan Athletic 0 - 3 Reading 0 - 1 1' G. McCleary 0 - 2 5' G. McCleary 0 - 3 63' Y. Kermorgant (PG) Wolverhampton … 2 - 3 Derby County 0 - 1 6' T. Ince 0 - 2 15' D. Bent Hélder Costa 61' 1 - 2 1 - 3 77' T. Ince (PG) D. Edwards 82' 2 - 3 Fulham 2 - 2 Norwich City 0 - 1 17' G. Dorrans (PG) 0 - 2 41' G. Dorrans (PG) S. Johansen 55' 1 - 2 C. Martin 66' 2 - 2 Brighton & Hov… 2 - 2 Preston North End 0 - 1 10' J. Hugill S. Baldock 54' 1 - 1 G. Murray 65' 2 - 1 2 - 2 90' S. Makienok Wolverhampton … 1 - 2 Norwich City 0 - 1 2' C. Jerome 0 - 2 73' R. Brady D. Edwards 80' 1 - 2 Fulham 1 - 2 Queens Park Ra… 0 - 1 20' C. Washington T. Ream 47' 1 - 1 1 - 2 87' Idrissa Sylla Birmingham City 2 - 2 Preston North End 0 - 1 19' A. Baptiste R. Shotton 30' 1 - 1 1 - 2 35' D. Johnson Che Adams 68' 2 - 2 Fulham 0 - 4 Bristol City 0 - 1 10' T. Abraham 0 - 2 60' L. Freeman 0 - 3 68' B. Reid 0 - 4 83' A. Flint Barnsley 1 - 2 Reading 0 - 1 9' G. McCleary 0 - 2 27' J. Swift A. Armstrong 81' 1 - 2 Blackburn Rovers 4 - 2 Rotherham United 0 - 1 12' D. Ward C. Conway 22' 1 - 1 M. Emnes 29' 2 - 1 B. Marshall 46' 3 - 1 3 - 2 83' D. Ward S. Gallagher 90' 4 - 2 Queens Park Ra… 0 - 6 Newcastle United 0 - 1 12' J. Shelvey 0 - 2 30' Ayoze Pérez 0 - 3 48' J. Shelvey 0 - 4 56' C. Clark 0 - 5 63' A. Mitrović 0 - 6 79' G. Hanley Derby County 0 - 2 Newcastle United 0 - 1 20' Y. Gouffran 0 - 2 90' D. Yedlin Sheffield Wedn… 2 - 1 Wigan Athletic 0 - 1 5' W. Grigg S. Fletcher 29' 1 - 1 F. Forestieri 62' 2 - 1 Bristol City 3 - 1 Aston Villa 0 - 1 5' J. Grealish T. Abraham 59' 1 - 1 J. Bryan 61' 2 - 1 L. Tomlin 81' 3 - 1 Bristol City 0 - 1 Newcastle United 0 - 1 19' D. Gayle Leeds United 1 - 2 Birmingham City 0 - 1 15' J. Maghoma H. Sacko 27' 1 - 1 1 - 2 55' M. Morrison Blackburn Rovers 1 - 4 Norwich City 0 - 1 12' Jacob Murphy 0 - 2 17' W. Hoolahan 0 - 3 25' C. Jerome 0 - 4 58' S. Naismith A. Stokes 67' 1 - 4