The Effect of the Early Away Goal in Portugal Segunda and 0-1 Half Time Game State

Posted on: March 6th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

in the table below I have added the last 80 games in Portugal Segunda where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time game state was 0-1 and 53.75% ended over 2.5 goals , 1/0.5375 = 1.86

At half time in the 2 games yesterday that fit the profile , the offer for over 2.5 was 2.5 and 2.625

GAME PATHWAY

16/80 0-1 FT

> 0-2 <> 25/80 <> 0-2-23 <> away teams won 92%

> 1-1 <> 39/80 <> 15-18-6 <> away teams won 15%

15-20-45 <> away teams won 56% < some expectation of the home team fighting back in the second half The away teams won the 2nd half of the games in the table below in only 21%

44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

in the games in the table below where the home team went to 1-1 pathway in the 46-70 minutes time band > 2-2 2-2 3-2 2-3 1-2 2-1 1-1 2-2 1-1 1-1 2-2 1-2 3-1 1-1 1-1 2-3 1-2 3-1 2-2 1-1 4-1 1-1 2-1 2-1 1-1 2-1 2-2 1-1 2-4 1-1, 67% ended over 2.5 goals

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80 +
Fam Covilhã 19 H67 0 1 2 2 90
Fafe Madeira 19 A63 0 1 1 2 90
Leixões Vitória 6 H75 0 1 2 1 90
Olh Porto 13 H59 0 1 2 2 80
Aca Penafiel 12 H50 0 1 3 2
Covilhã Penafiel 7 H66 0 1 2 3 90
CP Braga 13 H70 0 1 1 2 80
Varzim Fafe 6 H69 0 1 2 1
Vizela Vitoria 15 H52 0 1 1 1
Aca Olh 9 0 1 0 1
Varzim Madeira 8 H73 0 1 2 1 85
Gil Port 12 0 1 0 1
Olh CP 6 H58 1 1 2 2 8390
Vitoria Leixões 13 H79 0 1 2 1 90
Fafe Santa 15 A54 0 1 0 2
Olh Fafe 5 A59 0 1 2 3 8689
Aca Santa 5 0 1 0 1
Vitoria Aves 8 H47 0 1 1 1
Pen Fam 4 H59 0 1 1 1
Fam CP 13 A53 0 1 2 2
Leixões Olh 15 A81 0 1 0 2 81
Lisboa Varzim 15 A90 0 1 0 2 90
Vitoria Covilhã 15 H80 0 1 1 1 80
Mafra Chaves 19 0 1 0 1
Leixões Fream 18 A63 0 1 0 2
Olh Mafra 16 H90 0 1 2 1 9090
Pen Santa 7 H72 0 1 2 1 84
Fam Port 8 H71 0 1 1 1
Braga Varzim 1 A51 0 1 0 2
Braga Leixões 12 0 1 0 1
Porto Aves 19 0 1 0 1
Feirense Port 3 H72 0 1 2 1 88
Gil Santa 16 H63 0 1 2 2 90
Oliv Benfica 9 H51 0 1 1 2
Leixões Varzim 20 A56 0 1 0 4 83
CP Leixões 17 0 1 0 1
Fream Olh 3 H54 0 1 3 1 82
Varzim Braga 5 H54 0 1 1 1
Fream Feir 9 H46 0 1 1 1
Braga Penafiel 10 0 1 0 1
Braga Port 5 H51 0 1 2 3 87
Aca CP 10 0 1 0 1
Far Port 7 H49 0 1 1 2
Oriental Aves 16 A83 0 1 0 2
Porto II Penafiel 15 H47 0 1 3 1 88
Gil Port 16 H52 0 1 2 2 80
Gil Fam 7 H50 0 1 1 1
Santa Porto 2 8 A65 0 1 1 2
Oliveirense Oriental 20 A53 0 1 0 3 86
Oriental Madeira 9 A71 0 1 0 3 86
Farense Feirense 10 H46 0 1 4 1
Vitoria Braga 16 H58 0 1 1 1
União Covilhã 5 H61 0 1 2 1
Tondela Aves 15 A58 0 1 0 3
Braga 2 Covilhã 18 A67 0 1 1 2 81
Olhanense Braga 18 0 1 0 1
Trofense Farense 6 0 1 0 1
Olhanense Benfica 2 10 A68 0 1 1 2 86
Trofense Beira-Mar 16 A63 0 1 0 3 86
Braga 2 Madeira 11 A75 0 1 0 3 87
União Tondela 12 A73 0 1 1 2 90
Trofense Leixões 3 A65 0 1 0 2
Porto II Farense 9 H59 0 1 2 1
Porto II Sporting CP 16 0 1 0 1
União Aves 14 H54 0 1 1 1
Santa Sporting CP 15 0 1 0 1
Freamunde Viseu 20 A58 0 1 1 3 81
Leixões Olhanense 13 H82 0 1 2 1 8285
Marítimo II Aves 12 A90 0 1 0 2 90
Trofense Aves 17 A78 0 1 2 2 9090
Sporting CP Benfica 2 3 0 1 0 1
Feirense Santa 14 H56 0 1 2 1 90
União Farense 9 A75 0 1 0 2
Braga 2 Porto 2 4 H56 0 1 2 2
Chaves Olhanense 15 H58 0 1 1 1
Beira Oliveirense 20 H50 0 1 2 4 8190
Visu Feirense 13 0 1 0 1
Farense Chaves 8 0 1 0 1
Port Santa 11 H55 0 1 1 1
Chaves Madeira 2 A59 0 1 0 3