The Effect of the Early Away Goal in League 1 2015-2016 v 2016-2017 Via Game Pathway Analysis

Posted on: May 28th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Last season in League 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes, 71% ended over 2.5 goals and 44% over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 72% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 56%

46% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

11/98 0-1 FT

47/98 > 1-1 16-13-18 <> away teams won 38%

40/98 > 0-2 4-5-31 <> away teams won 78%

20-18-60 > away teams won 61%

This season in league 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band ;

66% ended over 2.5 goals and 46% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 71% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 55%

33% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

7/93 0-1 FT

45/93 > 1-1 14-23-8 > away teams won 18%

41/93 > 0-2 2-3-36 > away teams won 88%

16-26-51 < away teams won 55%

Last 191 games in League 1 where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

GAME PATHWAY

18/191 0-1 FT

92/191 > 1-1 30-36-26 > away teams won 28%

81/191 > 0-2 6-8-67 > away teams won 83%

36-44-111 away teams won 58% > 1/0.58 = 8/11

Bristol Rovers
3 – 4
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ L. Gregory
0 – 2
25′ T. Craig
J. Easter 33′
1 – 2
1 – 3
35′ L. Gregory
C. Lines 42′
2 – 3
B. Bodin 74′
3 – 3
3 – 4
85′ S. Hutchinson

Rochdale
1 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
9′ A. Jones
M. Lund 66′
1 – 1

Walsall
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
11′ R. Muirhead
0 – 2
32′ B. Reeves
0 – 3
71′ S. O’Keefe
E. Oztumer 84′
1 – 3
1 – 4
85′ H. Barnes

Oldham Athletic
1 – 1
Rochdale
0 – 1
13′ C. Camps
P. Clarke 67′
1 – 1

Swindon Town
1 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
0 – 2
71′ S. Mantom
R. Ince 85′
1 – 2

Millwall
0 – 3
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ C. McAleny
0 – 2
9′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
71′ J. Ruffles

Chesterfield
0 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
15′ S. Cox (PG)
0 – 2
57′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
67′ S. Cox
0 – 4
71′ M. Fortuné

Port Vale
0 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
2′ J. O’Shea
0 – 2
30′ L. Clarke
0 – 3
90′ M. Done

AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
1′ B. Moore

Oxford United
1 – 3
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
6′ B. Grant (PG)
C. Nelson 8′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ A. Eastham
1 – 3
87′ D. Ball

Charlton Athletic
0 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
7′ S. O’Keefe
0 – 2
57′ H. Barnes

Chesterfield
1 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
16′ I. Henderson
0 – 2
40′ C. Camps
0 – 3
42′ J. Allen
K. Dennis 51′
1 – 3

Oxford United
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
4′ Filipe Morais
0 – 2
23′ M. Beevers
K. Hemmings 42′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ C. Dunkley (OG)
C. Maguire 75′
2 – 3
2 – 4
90′ J. Vela

Rochdale
3 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
14′ L. Gregory (PG)
0 – 2
25′ A. O’Brien
N. Mendez-Laing 33′
1 – 2
I. Henderson 44′
2 – 2
C. Camps 54′
3 – 2
3 – 3
77′ J. Wallace

Oxford United
2 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
12′ P. Madden
J. Lundstram 52′
1 – 1
P. Edwards 90′
2 – 1

Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
11′ L. Erwin
J. Morias 73′
1 – 1

Sheffield United
2 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
3′ R. Holmes
J. O’Connell 14′
1 – 1
D. Lafferty 48′
2 – 1

Southend United
3 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
18′ F. Moussa
0 – 2
25′ F. Moussa
N. Ranger 63′
1 – 2
A. Ferdinand 76′
2 – 2
S. Cox 83′
3 – 2

Coventry City
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
23′ R. Leonard

Gillingham
0 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ D. Wheater
0 – 2
15′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 3
45′ M. Beevers
0 – 4
49′ J. Vela

Chesterfield
1 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
3′ T. Roberts
I. Evatt 42′
1 – 1

Fleetwood Town
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
17′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 2
20′ D. Wheater
K. Dempsey 22′
1 – 2
1 – 3
48′ M. Beevers
1 – 4
78′ A. Le Fondre
B. Grant 87′
2 – 4

Gillingham
3 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
4′ P. Madden
0 – 2
73′ H. Toffolo
J. Wright (PG) 77′
1 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 82′
2 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 86′
3 – 2

Milton Keynes Dons
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ S. Davies
K. Agard 70′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ N. Mendez-Laing
B. Reeves 90′
2 – 2

Bury
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ B. Dack
0 – 2
47′ C. McDonald
J. Vaughan 75′
1 – 2

Oxford United
0 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
16′ O. Clarke
0 – 2
36′ S. Sinclair

Rochdale
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
5′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
11′ D. Lafferty
S. Davies 20′
1 – 2
M. Lund 46′
2 – 2
2 – 3
68′ B. Sharp
N. Mendez-Laing 78′
3 – 3

Bradford City
2 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
4′ S. O’Keefe
A. McMahon (PG) 22′
1 – 1
1 – 2
35′ George Benjamin Williams
C. Wyke 43′
2 – 2

Swindon Town
3 – 1
Gillingham
0 – 1
10′ C. McDonald
R. Ince 56′
1 – 1
J. Obika 61′
2 – 1
Raphael Branco 75′
3 – 1

Chesterfield
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
17′ R. Hall
0 – 2
35′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
60′ C. McAleny
0 – 4
69′ C. McAleny

Gillingham
2 – 2
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
17′ L. Taylor
B. Dack 19′
1 – 1
J. Wright 36′
2 – 1
2 – 2
69′ A. Barcham

Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
12′ C. McAleny

AFC Wimbledon
1 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
8′ R. Holmes
T. Elliott 90′
1 – 1

Bolton Wanderers
4 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
4′ E. Oztumer
G. Madine 15′
1 – 1
J. O’Connor (OG) 26′
2 – 1
L. Trotter 30′
3 – 1
C. Long 87′
4 – 1

Bradford City
2 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ J. Wright
C. Wyke 15′
1 – 1
A. McMahon 38′
2 – 1
2 – 2
49′ A. Oshilaja

Port Vale
0 – 3
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
20′ M. Maddison
0 – 2
90′ J. Morias
0 – 3
90′ J. Morias

Southend United
3 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
M. Fortuné 39′
1 – 1
S. Cox 76′
2 – 1
R. Leonard 81′
3 – 1

Oldham Athletic
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
14′ R. Vincelot
B. Wilson 44′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ R. McArdle

Sheffield United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
20′ C. McLaughlin
0 – 2
66′ D. Cole

Rochdale
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
18′ M. Johnson
0 – 2
29′ R. Hall
0 – 3
53′ R. Taylor
0 – 4
73′ R. Ledson

AFC Wimbledon
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ R. Hall
D. Parrett 12′
1 – 1
S. Kelly 28′
2 – 1

Bury
5 – 1
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
4′ T. Nichols
J. Vaughan 7′
1 – 1
J. Vaughan 16′
2 – 1
J. Vaughan 24′
3 – 1
J. Vaughan 27′
4 – 1
G. Miller 71′
5 – 1

Southend United
2 – 4
Sheffield United
0 – 1
3′ E. Ebanks-Landell
S. Cox 19′
1 – 1
1 – 2
42′ J. O’Connell
1 – 3
72′ C. Lavery
1 – 4
76′ K. Freeman
J. McGlashan 88′
2 – 4

Charlton Athletic
4 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
12′ J. Easter
J. Magennis 41′
1 – 1
J. Magennis 50′
2 – 1
Jorge Teixeira 61′
3 – 1
J. Magennis 73′
4 – 1

Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
9′ D. Cole

AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ A. O’Brien
L. Taylor 12′
1 – 1
1 – 2
40′ S. Morison
T. Elliott 51′
2 – 2

Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
19′ J. Willis
M. Bostwick 90′
1 – 1

Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
18′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
76′ J. McGlashan

Millwall
0 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
17′ L. Dodds

Oxford United
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ C. Burgess
R. Hall 54′
1 – 1

AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
12′ C. Bolger
D. Poleon 47′
1 – 1
D. Parrett (PG) 75′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ C. McLaughlin

Chesterfield
3 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
3′ P. Hartley
I. Evatt 28′
1 – 1
J. O’Shea 37′
2 – 1
J. O’Shea 50′
3 – 1
3 – 2
76′ B. Bodin

Walsall
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
2′ C. McDonald
J. McCarthy 9′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ M. Ehmer

Bury
1 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
9′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
12′ S. Cox
J. Vaughan (PG) 20′
1 – 2
1 – 3
61′ N. Ranger
1 – 4
76′ S. McLaughlin

Bristol Rovers
2 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
4′ A. Hunter
M. Taylor 61′
1 – 1
C. Montaño 73′
2 – 1

AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Bradford City
0 – 1
3′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
T. Elliott 18′
1 – 1
L. Taylor (PG) 68′
2 – 1
2 – 2
78′ J. Hanson (PG)
2 – 3
90′ J. Hanson

Bury
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
13′ Z. Clough (PG)
0 – 2
56′ Z. Clough (PG)

Bradford City
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
18′ B. Sharp
B. Clarke 35′
1 – 1
1 – 2
51′ B. Sharp
J. Hiwula-Mayifuila 60′
2 – 2
T. Dieng 68′
3 – 2
3 – 3
72′ C. Basham

Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ S. Cox
0 – 2
24′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
90′ A. Wordsworth

Peterborough U…
0 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
10′ T. Elliott

Port Vale
2 – 2
Oxford United
0 – 1
11′ C. Dunkley
0 – 2
19′ D. Crowley
R. Cicilia 54′
1 – 2
R. Taylor (PG) 59′
2 – 2

Swindon Town
0 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ E. Oztumer
0 – 2
51′ E. Oztumer

Millwall
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ Sammy Ameobi
0 – 2
86′ D. Wheater

Oxford United
1 – 3
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
20′ T. Elliott
0 – 2
42′ D. Charles
0 – 3
45′ A. Barcham
D. Charles (OG) 49′
1 – 3

Peterborough U…
3 – 1
Bury
0 – 1
2′ H. White (OG)
C. Forrester 38′
1 – 1
M. Maddison 48′
2 – 1
A. Kay (OG) 52′
3 – 1

Shrewsbury Town
1 – 1
Swindon Town
0 – 1
9′ J. Goddard
I. Toney 44′
1 – 1

Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 3
Bury
0 – 1
8′ J. Vaughan
B. Reeves 63′
1 – 1
1 – 2
68′ J. Vaughan
1 – 3
90′ Z. Ismail

Swindon Town
1 – 3
Northampton Town
0 – 1
7′ H. Beautyman
S. Murray 67′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ J. O’Toole
1 – 3
82′ K. Gorré

Walsall
1 – 4
S****horpe United
0 – 1
11′ J. Morris (PG)
0 – 2
13′ J. Morris
E. Oztumer 45′
1 – 2
1 – 3
47′ N. Bishop
1 – 4
82′ J. Morris

Fleetwood Town
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
9′ R. Colclough
0 – 2
61′ D. Bowditch (PG)
0 – 3
68′ R. Colclough
B. Grant 70′
1 – 3
1 – 4
90′ R. Colclough (PG)

Millwall
2 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
9′ C. Camps
A. O’Brien 11′
1 – 1
L. Gregory (PG) 18′
2 – 1
2 – 2
67′ C. Andrew
2 – 3
90′ I. Henderson (PG)

Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Swindon Town
0 – 1
18′ J. Obika
0 – 2
55′ B. Ormonde-Ottewill

Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ S. Jackson
M. Maddison 27′
1 – 1

Swindon Town
1 – 2
Bury
0 – 1
13′ H. Hope
0 – 2
45′ H. Hope
J. Obika 64′
1 – 2

Bristol Rovers
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
16′ E. Oztumer
M. Taylor (PG) 27′
1 – 1

AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
20′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
26′ B. Sharp
D. Poleon 37′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ M. Done
T. Elliott 72′
2 – 3

Bristol Rovers
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ C. Camps
M. Taylor 21′
1 – 1
1 – 2
22′ I. Henderson
M. Taylor 49′
2 – 2

Peterborough U…
2 – 2
Port Vale
0 – 1
6′ A. Jones
G. Moncur 8′
1 – 1
G. Moncur 84′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ A. Jones (PG)

Bolton Wanderers
1 – 1
Southend United
0 – 1
3′ H. Kyprianou
K. Anderson 48′
1 – 1

Bradford City
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
5′ P. Clarke
B. Clarke (PG) 57′
1 – 1

Chesterfield
1 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
13′ S. Ferguson
0 – 2
38′ S. Morison
0 – 3
41′ S. Morison
S. Hird 65′
1 – 3

Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 2
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
2′ A. Hughes
0 – 2
71′ M. Bostwick

Rochdale
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
12′ A. Barcham
J. Allen 90′
1 – 1

Sheffield United
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
16′ K. Hemmings
B. Sharp 65′
1 – 1
J. Wilson 73′
2 – 1

Southend United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
18′ C. Long
0 – 2
77′ A. Hunter

Bradford City
3 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
13′ D. Agyei
A. McMahon (PG) 67′
1 – 1
M. Marshall 69′
2 – 1
A. McMahon (PG) 75′
3 – 1

Bury
0 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ L. Barnett (OG)

Shrewsbury Town
2 – 1
Chesterfield
0 – 1
14′ J. O’Shea
J. Brown 24′
1 – 1
Adam El-Abd 84′
2 – 1

Bristol Rovers
1 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
6′ J. Vela
0 – 2
26′ J. Spearing
E. Harrison 57′
1 – 2

Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
12′ J. Cullen
0 – 2
17′ B. Clarke
E. Upson 90′
1 – 2

Sheffield United
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
5′ J. O’Connell (OG)
0 – 2
13′ S. McLaughlin
0 – 3
15′ S. Cox

Charlton Athletic
1 – 1
Northampton Town
0 – 1
16′ A. Revell
J. Jackson 57′
1 – 1

Peterborough U…
0 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
11′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila