The Effect of the Early Away Goal in League 1 : 2014-2015 v 2015-2016 League 1

Posted on: May 17th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Last season  in games  in League 1 where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes , the home teams  won 19%, 26% ended a draw  and the away teams won 55% < some expectation of the home teams fighting back 

Both teams scored in 70% and over 1.5 goals in the first half was landed in  48%. 

67% of the early away goal games ended over 2.5 goals and 32% ended over 3.5 goals

0-1 half time added to the early away goal metric League 1 2014-2015  ( goal 0-20 minutes ) > 1-2 3-3 1-1 2-2 1-1 1-1 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 1-1 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-1 0-2 1-1 0-2 0-3 1-1 1-1 0-3 0-2 1-1 1-2 2-1 1-1 0-2 0-2 2-1 3-1 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 0-3 0-4 0-2 0-2 1-1 1-1 2-1 0-3 1-2 < 62% ended UNDER 2.5 goals and the away teams won the second half of the game in 28%.

1-1 half time added to the early away goal ( first goal of the game by the away team 0-20 minutes ) in League 1 2014-2015  > 1-2 1-2 2-1 1-1 2-2 2-1 2-1 2-1 2-2 1-2 2-2 1-2 1-4 1-2 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 2-3 2-2 3-2 < 95% ended over 2.5 goals, the home teams won 28.5%, 28.5% ended a draw and the away teams won 43%

 

This season in League 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes, 71% ended over 2.5 goals and 44% over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 72% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 56%

46% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes 

0-1 half time goal 0-20 minutes in the table below , 49% ended UNDER 2.5 goals and the away teams won the 2nd half of the game in 28%

1-1 half time added to the early away goal in the table below , 74% ended over 2.5 goals , the home teams won 16%, 37% ended a draw and the away teams won 47%

GAME PATHWAY

 
11/98 0-1 FT 

47/98 > 1-1 16-13-18 <> away teams won  38%

40/98 > 0-2  4-5-31 <> away teams won 78%

 

 

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80 +
Pete Blackpool 16 H48 0 1 5 1 84 86
Colchester Rochdale 18 H53 0 1 1 2
Bury Southend 8 H21 2 2 3 2 90
Southend Bradford 12 0 1 0 1
Rochdale Swindon 2 A45 1 2 2 2
Gillingham Shrewsbury 16 H45 1 1 2 3 81
Bury Millwall 4 A33 1 2 1 3 83
Shrewsbury Sheff UTD 19 H54 0 1 1 2
Chesterfield Doncaster 6 H18 1 1 1 1
Burton Wigan 8 H38 1 1 1 1
Gillingham Port Vale 19 A21 0 2 0 2
Coventry Millwall 19 H61 0 1 2 1
Colchester Pete 2 A67 0 1 1 4 90
Chesterfield Sheff UTD 4 A35 0 2 0 3
Pete Rochdale 8 A23 1 2 1 2
Millwall Shrewsbury 5 H57 0 1 3 1 90
Swindon Fleetwood 6 H68 0 1 1 1
Coventry Colchester 18 0 1 0 1
Port Vale Barnsley 9 0 1 0 1
Swindon Wigan 15 H47 0 1 1 4
Bury Shrewsbury 16 H30 1 2 2 2
Swindon Millwall 6 A11 0 2 2 2 90
Barnsley Southend 4 A90 0 1 0 2 90
Walsall Barnsley 17 H28 1 1 1 3
Doncaster Millwall 6 H37 1 1 1 1
Shrewsbury Coventry 4 H9 2 1 2 1
Swindon Blackpool 2 H17 1 1 3 2 88
Oldham Gillingham 16 H57 0 1 2 1
Bury Colchester 4 A17 1 2 5 2
Bradford Rochdale 12 H40 1 1 2 2
Blackpool Shrewsbury 5 A7 1 3 2 3
Pete Oldham 2 H39 1 1 1 2
Coventry Scunthorpe 9 A62 0 1 1 2 86
Oldham Bury 10 0 1 0 1
Crewe Wigan 16 H43 1 1 1 1
Shrewsbury Barnsley 15 A21 0 2 0 3
Doncaster Gillingham 9 A47 0 1 2 2 88
Colchester Sheff UTD 20 H59 0 1 1 2 90
Bury Walsall 16 A30 0 3 2 3
Millwall Scunthorpe 17 A90 0 1 0 2 90
Pete Burton 3 0 1 0 1
Doncaster Port Vale 6 A65 0 1 1 2 88
Bradford Barnsley 2 0 1 0 1
Swindon Scunthorpe 5 A13 2 2 4 2 90
Walsall Rochdale 3 A58 0 1 0 3
Sheff UTD Pete 18 H32 1 1 2 3 84 84
Crewe Coventry 11 A27 0 4 0 5 85
Oldham Doncaster 12 A45 0 2 1 2
Crewe Shrewsbury 11 H26 1 1 1 2 90
Doncaster Scunthorpe 20 0 1 0 1
Millwall Gillingham 20 A28 0 2 0 3 89
Burton Doncaster 4 H18 1 1 3 3 83 89
Barnsley Wigan 18 A86 0 1 0 2 86
Oldham Millwall 2 H59 0 1 1 2 85
Colchester Barnsley 18 A40 0 2 2 3
Scunthorpe Pete 4 A49 0 1 0 4 82 90
Rochdale Port Vale 13 H40 1 1 2 1
Chesterfield Swindon 3 A14 0 2 0 4 80
Burton Colchester 4 H25 2 1 5 1 81
Barnsley Sheff UTD 16 H90 0 1 1 1 90
Oldham Southend 5 A43 0 2 2 5 82
Bury Scunthorpe 12 H50 0 1 1 2 86
Crewe Pete 6 A46 0 1 1 5 82
Gillingham Bury 4 H6 2 1 3 1 87
Blackpool Doncaster 5 A40 0 2 0 2
Rochdale Wigan 16 A61 0 1 0 2
Coventry Pete. 15 A36 0 2 3 2 80 87
Oldham Burton 17 0 1 0 1
Walsall Gillingham 12 A32 2 2 3 2 90
Colchester Walsall 11 A30 0 2 4 4 80 90
Gillingham Southend 11 H89 0 1 1 1 89
Pete Wigan 11 A15 0 2 2 3 81 82
Shrewsbury Doncaster 14 H27 1 1 1 2 87
Doncaster Bradford 1 0 1 0 1
Scunthorpe Shrewsbury 15 H58 0 1 2 1
Walsall Chesterfield 5 A54 0 1 1 2 90
Barnsley Crewe 14 H16 1 1 1 2
Oldham Scunthorpe 10 H25 2 2 2 4 84
Crewe Chesterfiled 8 H36  1 1 1 2
Gillingham Fleetwood 12 H18 4 1 5 1 87
Southend Scunthorpe 8 H36 1 1 2 1
Swindon Colchester 3 H22 1 2 1 2
Blackpool Barnsley 8 H55 0 1 1 1
Shrewsbury Crewe 2 0 1 0 1
Sheff. UTD Colchester 6 A23 0 2 2 3 82
Barnsley Swindon 20 H22 2 1 4 1
Oldham Pete. 14 A38 0 2 1 5
Barnsley Shrewsbury 6 H38 1 1 1 2 90
Walsall Bury 6 0 1 0 1
Colchester Scunthorpe 7 A18 1 2 2 2 88
Millwall Chesterfiled 17 A90 0 1 0 2 90
Pete. Sheff UTD 15 H59 0 1 1 3 85
Millwall Coventry 6 A19 0 3 0 4 80
Port Vale Gillingham 17 H35 1 1 1 1
Southend Walsall 8 A48 0 1 0 2
Chesterfiled Barnsley 4 H49 0 1 3 1
Colchester Blackpool 18 H22 1 2 2 2
Swindon Bradford 4 H52 0 1 4 1