The Effect of the early away goal and 0-1 HT in Japan J league + the home fightback

Posted on: May 27th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

The opening goal by the away team in J league in the 0-20 minutes time band and 0-1 HT game state added to the home fightback > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band and lowered expectation of a DRAW because 1-1 FT will be a rare event

3/26 1-1 FT

8-6-12 the draw is going to be the least likely outcome because 1-1 FT in this profile will be a rare event in J league >

at 1-1 in this profile in J league < lay the draw ( back against the draw ) > at 2-1/1-2 < trade out rather more sophisticated then laying the draw before a game starts 42% of the games in the table below produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes Shimizu S-Pulse 06 : 00 Yokohama F. Ma… 0 - 1 15' K. Matsubara R. Shirasaki 50' 1 - 1 1 - 2 52' Hugo Vieira 1 - 3 90' Hugo Vieira Vissel Kobe 1 - 1 Tokyo 0 - 1 14' K. Nagai K. Watanabe 63' 1 - 1 Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 2 Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 1 14' S. Kaneko H. Abe 62' 1 - 1 K. Nakamura 73' 2 - 1 2 - 2 90' Tiago Alves Tokyo 3 - 3 Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 4' Y. Toyoda (PG) P. Utaka 70' 1 - 1 K. Hashimoto 76' 2 - 1 P. Utaka 86' 3 - 1 3 - 2 87' D. Kamada 3 - 3 90' Dong-Geon Cho Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 7' S. Nagasawa Y. Kobayashi 47' 1 - 1 1 - 2 61' S. Nagasawa 1 - 3 72' Ademilson Omiya Ardija 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 7' T. Tomiyama (PG) A. Ienaga 58' 1 - 1 Nagoya Grampus 1 - 3 Ventforet Kofu 0 - 1 11' S. Inagaki R. Sakai 62' 1 - 1 1 - 2 75' Dudu 1 - 3 77' Y. Tanaka Sagan Tosu 3 - 2 Tokyo 0 - 1 10' Muriqui T. Tomiyama 58' 1 - 1 1 - 2 63' H. Kawano K. Ikeda 90' 2 - 2 Y. Toyoda 90' 3 - 2 Vegalta Sendai 2 - 1 Ventforet Kofu 0 - 1 4' Cristiano Ramon Lopes 59' 1 - 1 T. Nozawa 78' 2 - 1 Yokohama F. Ma… 1 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiro… 0 - 1 15' P. Utaka S. Nakamura (PG) 69' 1 - 1 1 - 2 72' P. Utaka Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 2 Júbilo Iwata 0 - 1 14' J. Bothroyd H. Akino 55' 1 - 1 J. Tanaka 78' 2 - 1 2 - 2 90' N. Sakurauchi Montedio Yamagata 1 - 3 Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 12' D. Kamada Alceu Rodrigues 57' 1 - 1 1 - 2 65' K. Mizunuma 1 - 3 83' Sung-Dong Baek Vegalta Sendai 3 - 1 Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 1 9' Y. Iwakami H. Kanazono 58' 1 - 1 H. Kanazono 86' 2 - 1 Ramon Lopes 89' 3 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 2 Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 8' T. Inukai (OG) G. Omae 61' 1 - 1 1 - 2 78' T. Shimamura Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 1 Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 4' K. Takayama Y. Ōkubo (PG) 61' 1 - 1 Elsinho 90' 2 - 1 Vegalta Sendai 2 - 1 Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 1 12' R. Shirasaki Wilson 62' 1 - 1 H. Watanabe 90' 2 - 1 Kashima Antlers 3 - 1 Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 6' H. Taniguchi M. Kanazaki 64' 1 - 1 G. Shibasaki (PG) 76' 2 - 1 Y. Endo 78' 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka 0 - 1 5' Y. Kakitani M. Tanaka (PG) 58' 1 - 1 1 - 2 78' D. Forlán Urawa Reds 1 - 3 Kawasaki Frontale 0 - 1 12' Jeci T. Makino 57' 1 - 1 1 - 2 59' T. Makino (OG) 1 - 3 90' Y. Ōkubo Yokohama F. Ma… 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 9' J. Kennedy (PG) S. Hyodo 51' 1 - 1 1 - 2 53' J. Fujimoto Sanfrecce Hiro… 1 - 2 Tokyo 0 - 1 16' K. Watanabe H. Satō 62' 1 - 1 1 - 2 81' T. Yonemoto Kashima Antlers 2 - 1 Yokohama F. Ma… 0 - 1 19' Marquinhos Y. Ōsako 68' 1 - 1 Y. Ōsako 79' 2 - 1 Shonan Bellmare 1 - 2 Yokohama F. Ma… 0 - 1 10' Marquinhos R. Kajikawa 57' 1 - 1 1 - 2 65' Marquinhos (PG) Omiya Ardija 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 7' N. Nakamura M. Novakovič 62' 1 - 1 Y. Hasegawa 65' 2 - 1 Vegalta Sendai 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 15' N. Fujita S. Akamine 53' 1 - 1