The Effect of the Early Away Goal and 0-1 HT Game State in Sweden Superettan and the Home Fightback in the 46-70 minutes Time Band

Posted on: May 18th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 20 games in Sweden Superettan where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time game state was 0-1 added to the home fightback ( > 1-1 ) with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band ;

70% ended over 2.5 goals and 65% 1/0.65 = 8/15 ended over 3.5 goals

6-11-3 < you will find that 0-1 half time game state in Sweden Superettan added to the home fightback ( > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band ) = lowered expectation of the away team winning even if they are the perceived stronger team.

45% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

Dalkurd
3 – 1
Värnamo
0 – 1
7′ Johan Andersson
A. Ahmed 50′
1 – 1
Rawez Lawan 63′
2 – 1
K. Bala 66′
3 – 1

Värnamo
1 – 1
Frej
0 – 1
1′ A. Basit Adam
D. Engström 56′
1 – 1

Halmstad
2 – 2
Åtvidaberg
0 – 1
4′ S. Alexandersson
F. Olsson 60′
1 – 1
1 – 2
82′ M. Cosic
F. Olsson 89′
2 – 2

Ljungskile
2 – 2
Ängelholm
0 – 1
8′ R. Finley
H. Stiller 54′
1 – 1
T. Nilsen 60′
2 – 1
2 – 2
77′ R. Finley

AFC Eskilstuna
1 – 1
Varberg
0 – 1
16′ T. Boakye
F. Ali 60′
1 – 1

Degerfors
1 – 1
Varberg
0 – 1
10′ D. Johannesson
P. Samuelsson 68′
1 – 1

Jönköpings Södra
1 – 1
Sirius
0 – 1
10′ A. Björkebaum
D. Smylie 56′
1 – 1

Syrianska
1 – 1
Utsikten 0 – 1
17′ L. Mijaljevic (PG)
C. Georges (PG) 55′
1 – 1

Ängelholm
2 – 2
Östersunds FK
0 – 1
3′ B. Tanda
Z. Latef 65′
1 – 1
M. Baggner 88′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ J. Baldwin

Jönköpings Södra
4 – 2
Degerfors
0 – 1
20′ P. Samuelsson
T. Thelin 49′
1 – 1
1 – 2
62′ P. Anttonen
D. Smylie 66′
2 – 2
D. Smylie 70′
3 – 2
D. Smylie 81′
4 – 2

Landskrona
3 – 1
Värnamo
0 – 1
8′ D. Kosica
A. Stadler 60′
1 – 1
P. Torres 75′
2 – 1
M. Adelstam 80′
3 – 1

3/06/14 SUP Öster
2-3
Jönköpings Södra
0 – 1
1′ F. Olsson
J. Karlsson (OG) 53′
1 – 1
M. Bergholtz 58′
2 – 1
2 – 2
64′ F. Olsson
2 – 3
69′ R. Sabo

Ängelholm
2 – 2
Värnamo
0 – 1
17′ D. Kosica (PG)
S. Monday Ayinoko 70′
1 – 1
O. El Kabir 75′
2 – 1
2 – 2
85′ B. Fadi

Örgryte
1 – 1
Örebro
0 – 1
7′ M. Wikström
George Mourad 66′
1 – 1

Jönköpings Södra
4 – 1
Degerfors
0 – 1
17′ A. Rennie
M. Nanchoff 59′
1 – 1
T. Thelin 66′
2 – 1
R. Gojani 76′
3 – 1
J. Svensson 90′
4 – 1

Örgryte
2 – 2
Degerfors
0 – 1
12′ J. Bertilsson
Jakob Lindström (PG) 70′
1 – 1
1 – 2
74′ A. Andersson
E. Karlsson 86′
2 – 2

Varberg
2 – 1
Ängelholm
0 – 1
18′ A. Grahm
N. Peter 70′
1 – 1
G. Altemark-Vanneryr 75′
2 – 1

Degerfors
3 – 2
Varberg
0 – 1
16′ A. Rexhepi
J. Bertilsson 48′
1 – 1
M. De Bruin 58′
2 – 1
2 – 2
65′ G. Altemark-Vanneryr
J. Bertilsson 75′
3 – 2

Värnamo
3-4
Falkenberg
0 – 1
16′ S. Rodevåg
A. Khalili 47′
1 – 1
A. Khalili 50′
2 – 1
A. Khalili 67′
3 – 1
3 – 2
76′ V. Sköld
3 – 3
81′ A. Wede
3 – 4
85′ Z. Krizanovic

Umeå
1-3
Brommapojkarna
0 – 1
19′ P. Piñones-Arce
D. Persson 47′
1 – 1
1 – 2
67′ P. Piñones-Arce
1 – 3
90′ P. Piñones-Arce