The Effect of the Early Away Goal and 0-1 Half Time Game State Norway 1st Division Via Game Pathway Analysis

Posted on: May 9th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 25 games in the Norway 1st Division where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes and the half time game state was 0-1, and 52% ended over 2,5 goals.

The home teams won 20%, 32% ended a draw and the away teams won 48% < some expectation of the home teams fighting back in the 2nd half 

The away teams won the 2nd half in only 20%

GAME PATHWAY

FT 0-1  4/25

> 1-1 13/25  83 65 50 51 53 52 52 90 74 54 54 54 58   5-7-1  <> the away teams won 8%
>  0-2 8/25 0-1-7 <> the away teams won 88%

Summary 

in this profile in the Norway 1st Division there will be expectation of the home team fighting back with lowered expectation of the away team winning the 2nd half.

The pathway > 1-1 will be more likely then > 0-2 and if goes to 1-1 pathway then an away win will be a rare event .

It appears in this profile that a crucial time period in the game in the 2nd half is 46-55 minutes where there will be some expectation of the home team fighting back.

 

T HT T+1 FT
Bryne Jerv 14 0 1 0 1
Sandnes Åsane 7 0 1 A86 0 2
Kisa Fred 7 0 1 H83 1 2
Bærum Jerv 11 0 1 A67 0 4
Jerv Krist 20 0 1 0 1
Hødd Levanger 15 0 1 A48 0 4
Folio Bærum 9 0 1 H65 2 2
Levanger Jerv 20 0 1 A71 1 4
Leavnger Ranheim 2 0 1 H50 1 1
Fred Krist 19 0 1 A54 1 4
Fred Asane 10 0 1 H51 1 1
Sogndal Honefoss 5 0 1 H53 2 1
Strømmen Hodd 17 0 1 0 1
Mjøndalen Nest-Sotra 10 0 1 H52 3 2
HamKam Tromsdalen 11 0 1 A58 0 4
Baerum Strømmen 19 0 1 H52 1 1
Ull Kisa Baerum 12 0 1 A73 0 2
Nest Kristiansund 20 0 1 H90 1 1
Hønefoss Fredrikstad 14 0 1 0 1
Sotra Alta 19 0 1 H74 2 1
Mjøndalen HamKam 2 0 1 H54 3 1
Ranheim Sandefjord 13 0 1 H54 1 1
Sandefjord Tromsdalen 15 0 1 H54 2 1
Strømmen Kristiansund 11 0 1 A56 3 3
Ranheim Bryne 16 0 1 H58 1 1