The Effect of the Early Away Goal and 0-1 Half Time Game State Ligue 1

Posted on: January 14th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 70 games in Ligue 1 where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time score was 0-1 , and 70% ended under 2.5 goals < do not assume that an early goal metric will accelerate goal production > how does the time of the opening goal added to the half time game state effect accuracy in the second half in an individual league ?

GAME PATHWAY

19/70 0-1 FT

> 0-2 24/70 <> 0-0-24 < is a 2-0 lead "precarious" ? > 1-1 27/70 <> 4-19-4 < draw bias 4-19-47 <> 27% ended a draw , 1/0.27 = 11/4

In games in the table below where the home team > 1-1 in the 46-70 minutes time band > 3-1 1-2 1-1 2-1 2-2 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1

T HT T+1 FT
Lille St Etienne 17 0 1 H71 1 1
Bastia Marseille 8 0 1 H83 1 2
Angers Nantes 18 0 1 A48 0 2
Dijon Marseille 6 0 1 H78 1 2
Guingamp Nice 5 0 1 0 1
Dijon Monaco 17 0 1 H87 1 1
Lille Lyon 3 0 1 0 1
Toulouse Monaco 3 0 1 H65 3 1
Angers Nice 4 0 1 0 1
Gazelec PSG 13 0 1 A49 0 4
Rennes Monaco 14 0 1 H80 1 1
Lyon Nice 17 0 1 H82 1 1
Caen Lorient 16 0 1 A47 1 2
Nantes Lille 19 0 1 A58 0 3
Gazelec St Etienne 14 0 1 A58 0 2
Troyes Lorient 3 0 1 0 1
Caen Reims 20 0 1 A63 0 2
Angers Lyon 13 0 1 A46 0 3
Toulouse Guingamp 12 0 1 H64 1 2
Caen Marseille 12 0 1 A60 1 3
Mont Bordeaux 16 0 1 0 1
Reims Nice 6 0 1 H78 1 1
Lyon Angers 17 0 1 A81 0 2
Troyes Toulouse 2 0 1 A49 0 3
Bordeaux Caen 6 0 1 A56 1 4
Troyes Lille 9 0 1 H69 1 1
Marseille Nice 16 0 1 0 1
Angers Rennes 4 0 1 A61 0 2
Reims Monaco 11 0 1 0 1
Rennes Nice 14 0 1 A53 1 4
Lille Nantes 5 0 1 0 1
Rennes Troyes 11 0 1 H71 1 1
Troyes St Etienne 13 0 1 0 1
Gazelec Monaco 17 0 1 0 1
Lorient Bastia 4 0 1 H90 1 1
Mont Angers 4 0 1 A79 0 2
Lorient Monaco 20 0 1 0 1
Marseille Monaco 1 0 1 H79 2 1
Reims Nice 5 0 1 0 1
Lille Lyon 3 0 1 H56 2 1
Guingamp Mont 2 0 1 A55 0 2
Marseille Reims 6 0 1 H58 2 2
Evian Bordeaux 11 0 1 0 1
Mont Lille 9 0 1 A53 1 2
Nantes Lille 14 0 1 H80 1 1
Nice Rennes 12 0 1 A49 1 2
St Etienne Monaco 17 0 1 H58 1 1
Lorient Evian 2 0 1 A79 0 2
Monaco Nice 7 0 1 0 1
Caen PSG 18 0 1 A56 0 2
Bordeaux Bastia 18 0 1 H78 1 1
Monaco Lille 18 0 1 H61 1 1
Lyon Lens 11 0 1 0 1
Marseille Mont 18 0 1 A68 0 2
Monaco Lorient 9 0 1 H78 1 2
Mont Bordeaux 17 0 1 0 1
Monaco Bordeaux 15 0 1 H69 1 1
Nice Lyon 6 0 1 0 1
Toulouse Nantes 9 0 1 H67 1 1
Mont Toulouse 5 0 1 H79 2 1
Rennes Lorient 17 0 1 H74 1 1
Nantes Rennes 16 0 1 A63 0 3
Monaco PSG 8 0 1 H74 1 1
Sochaux Mont 19 0 1 A74 0 2
Rennes PSG 19 0 1 A52 1 3
Toulouse Mont 19 0 1 H72 1 1
Marseille Nantes 16 0 1 0 1
Ajaccio Bastia 9 0 1 H82 1 1
Sochaux Reims 16 0 1 A87 0 2
Mont Lille 4 0 1 0 1