The Effect of the Early Away Goal and 0-1 Half Time GAME STATE in the MLS added to the Home Fightback Metric

Posted on: May 28th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

We can now look at 0-1 half time in the MLS added to the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band added to the home fightback in the 2nd half > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band < you will see that 1-1 FT is a rare event which you can exploit by laying the draw at 1-1 / backing over 2.5 goals and then at 2-1/1-2 trading out of the DRAW last 30 > 80% ended over 2.5 goals

15-11-4 lowered expectation of an away win with high expectation of over 2.5 goals.

47% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

New York RB
2 – 1
New England
0 – 1
9′ L. Nguyen (PG)
B. Wright-Phillips 47′
1 – 1
D. Royer 74′
2 – 1

Philadelphia Union
2 – 1
Colorado Rapids
0 – 1
15′ C. Calvert
C. Sapong (PG) 67′
1 – 1
H. Medunjanin 75′
2 – 1

Colorado Rapids
1 – 1
Houston Dynamo
0 – 1
20′ A. Wenger
S. Gashi 67′
1 – 1

Chicago Fire
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
0 – 1
13′ A. Jahn
M. Parkhurst (OG) 53′
1 – 1
M. de Leeuw 57′
2 – 1
2 – 2
80′ A. Jahn

Vancouver Whit…
3 – 3
Colorado Rapids
0 – 1
8′ D. Badji
K. Waston 51′
1 – 1
1 – 2
57′ S. Gashi (PG)
P. Morales 70′
2 – 2
2 – 3
75′ S. Gashi
E. Hurtado 90′
3 – 3

Sporting KC
2 – 2
LA Galaxy
0 – 1
7′ A. Gordon
J. Peterson 50′
1 – 1
D. Dwyer 69′
2 – 1
2 – 2
76′ L. Donovan

Real Salt Lake
3 – 3
LA Galaxy
0 – 1
6′ E. Boateng
J. Plata (PG) 53′
1 – 1
1 – 2
57′ G. dos Santos
1 – 3
64′ G. dos Santos
J. Plata 67′
2 – 3
J. Martínez 90′
3 – 3

Orlando City
1 – 2
Toronto
0 – 1
7′ T. Ricketts
C. Larin 56′
1 – 1
1 – 2
86′ J. Altidore

Orlando City
3 – 1
New England
0 – 1
19′ K. Kamara
C. Larin 46′
1 – 1
K. Molino 64′
2 – 1
K. Molino 83′
3 – 1

Real Salt Lake
1 – 1
SJ Earthquakes
0 – 1
9′ C. Wondolowski
L. Mulholland 64′
1 – 1

Real Salt Lake
2 – 1
New York RB
0 – 1
7′ G. Baah
Y. Movsisyan 65′
1 – 1
J. Allen 87′
2 – 1

Vancouver Whit…
1 – 1
Houston Dynamo
0 – 1
20′ D. Beasley
O. Rivero 52′
1 – 1

Portland Timbers
1 – 2
New York City
0 – 1
12′ David Villa
F. Adi 55′
1 – 1
1 – 2
65′ T. McNamara

Dallas
2 – 1
Portland Timbers
0 – 1
3′ D. Váleri
R. Hollingshead 55′
1 – 1
W. Zimmerman 57′
2 – 1

Orlando City
1 – 1
New York RB
0 – 1
19′ B. Wright-Phillips
K. Molino 67′
1 – 1

New York RB
3 – 2
Orlando City
0 – 1
3′ C. Larin
M. Grella 65′
1 – 1
B. Wright-Phillips 69′
2 – 1
B. Wright-Phillips 75′
3 – 1
3 – 2
84′ K. Ouimette (OG)

Seattle Sounders
1 – 2
Vancouver Whit…
0 – 1
10′ P. Morales (PG)
A. Ivanschitz 52′
1 – 1
1 – 2
74′ P. Morales (PG)

LA Galaxy
4 – 1
DC United
0 – 1
5′ L. Neagle
D. Steres 54′
1 – 1
M. Magee 64′
2 – 1
R. Keane (PG) 83′
3 – 1
M. Magee 87′
4 – 1

DC United
2 – 1
New England
0 – 1
10′ C. Davies
C. Rolfe 70′
1 – 1
C. Rolfe (PG) 81′
2 – 1

Columbus Crew
1 – 1
LA Galaxy
0 – 1
14′ S. Lletget
F. Higuaín 66′
1 – 1

DC United
2 – 1
Orlando City
0 – 1
11′ C. Larin
K. Opare 70′
1 – 1
C. Rolfe 79′
2 – 1

New York RB
1 – 1
LA Galaxy
0 – 1
9′ B. Jamieson
Felipe Martins 58′
1 – 1

Chicago Fire
2 – 1
Houston Dynamo
0 – 1
18′ O. Cummings
J. Larentowicz (PG) 66′
1 – 1
F. Sinama-Pongolle 90′
2 – 1

New York RB
2 – 1
New England
0 – 1
20′ C. Davies
D. McCarty 47′
1 – 1
B. Wright-Phillips 63′
2 – 1

Seattle Sounders
2 – 1
Dallas
0 – 1
16′ Michel (PG)
L. Neagle 62′
1 – 1
K. Cooper 88′
2 – 1

Seattle Sounders
2 – 1
Philadelphia Union
0 – 1
13′ B. Evans (OG)
O. Martins 61′
1 – 1
C. Marshall 84′
2 – 1

Philadelphia Union
2 – 2
Real Salt Lake
0 – 1
6′ L. Mulholland
A. Wenger 55′
1 – 1
1 – 2
85′ K. Beckerman
M. Edu 90′
2 – 2

New England
2 – 1
DC United
0 – 1
11′ S. Caldwell (OG)
D. Fagúndez 58′
1 – 1
L. Nguyen (PG) 83′
2 – 1

Philadelphia Union
1 – 2
Chicago Fire
0 – 1
9′ P. Nyarko
S. Williams 60′
1 – 1
1 – 2
75′ M. Magee

Colorado Rapids
2 – 1
New England
0 – 1
15′ J. Toja
N. LaBrocca 62′
1 – 1
José Gonçalves (OG) 68′
2 – 1