The Effect of the 2nd Half Fightback in the Premier Leagues in games where the home team were winning 1-0 Half Time

Posted on: May 31st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have aded the last 70 games in the Premier League where the home team was winning 1-0 at half time and the pathway > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band and 79% ended over 2.5 goals

The home team won 42%, 37% ended a draw and the away teams won 21%

In games in the table below where the home team opened the scoring 0-10 minutes > 3-2 1-2 2-2 1-2 2-1 1-2 3-1 2-1 3-1 2-2 2-2 1-1 

 

 

Trading  Strategy

 

1-0 half time in the Premier League to the home team     with a goal 0-10 and and lay the 1-1 correct score and if still 1-0 on 69  minutes then close your position by backing 1-1 correct score to avoid any late away goal.

If you followed the strategy in the games in the table below then you would have only lost 1 trade  which is not too shabby.

 

 

T T+1 HT FT
WHU Man UTD 10 51 1 0 3 2
Sunderland Palace 36 61 1 0 2 2
Swansea Palace 13 47 1 0 1 1
Palace Spurs 30 63 1 0 1 3
Bourne WHU 17 67 1 0 1 3
Sunderland Villa 30 63 1 0 3 1
Newcastle Villa 38 61 1 0 1 1
WHU WBA 17 50 1 0 1 1
WBA Leicester 30 57 1 0 2 3
WHU Chelsea 17 56 1 0 2 1
Leiecster Chelsea 45 48 1 0 1 3
Villa West Brom 22 66 1 0 2 1
Villa Man UTD 18 52 1 0 1 1
Everton Hull City 34 59 1 0 1 1
Burnley Newcastle 34 48 1 0 1 1
Hull Spurs 8 61 1 0 1 2
Everton West Ham 26 56 1 0 2 1
Chelsea QPR 32 62 1 0 2 1
Spurs Newcastle 18 46 1 0 1 2
WBA Man UTD 8 48 1 0 2 2
Man UTD Everton 27 55 1 0 2 1
Liverpool West Brom 45 56 1 0 2 1
Hull West Ham 39 50 1 0 2 2
Liverpool Southampton 23 56 1 0 2 1
Southampton Man UTD 28 54 1 0 1 1
West Ham Hull City 26 48 1 0 2 1
Swansea West Brom 2 52 1 0 1 2
Cardiff Fulham 45 59 1 0 3 1
Stoke Swansea 17 52 1 0 1 1
Hull Spurs 12 61 1 0 1 1
Stoke Man UTD 38 47 1 0 2 1
Southampton Arsenal 21 48 1 0 2 2
Everton Fulham 18 67 1 0 4 1
Newcastle Southampton 27 65 1 0 1 1
Newcastle West Brom 36 53 1 0 2 1
Chelsea West Brom 45 60 1 0 2 2
Chelsea Man City 33 49 1 0 2 1
Sunderland Newcastle 5 57 1 0 2 1
West Brom Arsenal 42 63 1 0 1 1
Sunderland Man UTD 5 55 1 0 1 2
Spurs Chelsea 19 65 1 0 1 1
West Ham Everton 31 62 1 0 2 3
Hull Cardiff 40 59 1 0 1 1
Palace Sunderland 9 64 1 0 3 1
Man UTD Swansea 39 49 1 0 2 1
Villa Chelsea 14 61 1 0 1 2
Wigan Swansea 45 50 1 0 2 3
Villa Liverpool 31 47 1 0 1 2
Arsenal Villa 6 68 1 0 2 1
Wigan Southampton 25 64 1 0 2 2
Newcastle Chelsea 41 55 1 0 3 2
Fulham West Ham 10 48 1 0 3 1
Sunderland Spurs 40 48 1 0 1 2
West Ham Everton 14 64 1 0 1 2
Norwich Wigan 15 51 1 0 2 1
Fulham Newcastle 19 54 1 0 2 1
Fulham Everton 7 55 1 0 2 2
Newcastle West Brom 35 55 1 0 2 1
Reading Fulham 26 61 1 0 3 3
Southampton Fulham 4 69 1 0 2 2
Everton Newcastle 15 49 1 0 2 2
Man City QPR 16 59 1 0 3 1
Liverpool Man City 34 63 1 0 2 2
Man City Southampton 40 59 1 0 3 2
Man City QPR 39 48 1 0 3 2
Villa Spurs 35 61 1 0 1 1
Spurs Swansea 19 59 1 0 3 1
Norwich Wigan 10 68 1 0 1 1
Bolton QPR 37 48 1 0 2 1
Swansea Norwich 23 48 1 0 2 3