The Effect of the 2nd Half Fightback by the Home Team in Serie A

Posted on: April 12th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 39 games in Serie A where the away teams were winning 1-0 at half time and there was a home fightback in the 2nd half ( 1-1 ) in the 46-70 minutes time band and 64% ended over 2.5 goals 

 

The home teams won 31% ( no home bias ) , 46% ended a draw ( some draw bias ) and the away teams won 23%

 

T HT T(1-1)
Roma Bologna 25 0 1 50
Napoli Genoa 10 0 1 51 2 1 3 1
Verona Carpi 42 0 1 63 1 2
Sassuolo Udinese 8 0 1 64
Genoa Udinese 33 0 1 57 2 1
Fiorentina Inter 26 0 1 60 2 1
Empoli Frosinone 17 0 1 59 1 2
Milan Udinese 17 0 1 48
Lazio Chievo 5 0 1 66 2 1 3 1 4 1
Inter Lazio 5 0 1 61 1 2
Lazio Palermo 21 0 1 70
Atalanta Lazio 16 0 1 69 2 1
Torino Fiorentina 10 0 1 67 2 1 3 1
Verona Juventus 42 0 1 48 1 2 2 2
Cagliari Lazio 31 0 1 49 1 2 1 3
Inter Cesena 30 0 1 48
Empoli Genoa 27 0 1 66
Roma Empoli 39 0 1 57
Lazio Milan 4 0 1 47 2 1 3 1
Udinese Cagliari 39 0 1 55 2 1 2 2
Napoli Juve 29 0 1 64 1 2 1 3
Torino Genoa 42 0 1 52 2 1
Sassuolo Verona 7 0 1 50 2 1
Verona Lazio 42 0 1 69
Sassuolo Empoli 18 0 1 56 2 1 3 1
Napoli Torino 14 0 1 55 2 1
Parma Roma 27 0 1 56 1 2
Udinese Napoli 39 0 1 54
Lazio Milan 43 0 1 61
Sassuolo Catania 30 0 1 56 2 1 3 1
Inter Cagliari 40 0 1 52
Fiorentina Inter 34 0 1 47 1 2
Milan Torino 17 0 1 49
Verona Roma 45 0 1 49 1 2 1 3
Genoa Torino 7 0 1 69
Torino Roma 28 0 1 63
Fiorentina Parma 45 0 1 64 2 1 2 2
Sassuolo Livorno 44 0 1 67 1 2 1 3 1 4
Torino Catania 25 0 1 53 1 2 2 2