The Effect of the 2nd Half Fight Back in the Scottish Premiership by the Away Team

Posted on: August 27th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since 2014-2015  in the Scottish Premiership where the home teams were winning 1-0 at half time and there was a second half fight back by the away team ( 1-1 ) in the 46-70 minutes time band and 65% ended over 2.5 goals.

81% of the games had 2-3 goals so you could consider at 1-1 backing 2-3 goals TOTAL in the game if you can achieve a price of 1/0.81= 1/4 

Game Pathway

1-2 at any stage > 38% with 64% ending 1-2 and in the sample below ( all games ) 22% ended 1-2

2-1 at any stage > 27% with 80% ending 2-1 and in the sample below ( all games ) 22% ended 2-1

2-2 at full time > Zero

The home teams won 30%, 38% ended a draw and the away teams won 32% < no home bias.

 

 

 

T HT T(1-1)
Kilmarnock Rangers 29 1 0 59
Dundee Kilmarnock 18 1 0 55
Celtic Ross 23 1 0 64
Hamilton Partick 10 1 0 50 1 2
St. Johnstone Ross 11 1 0 65
Aberdeen Kilmarnock 37 1 0 47 2 1
Dundee UTD Hearts 43 1 0 48 2 1
Ross Hamilton 45 1 0 66 2 1
Hamilton Ross 26 1 0 58 1 2 1 3
Dundee UTD Hamilton 29 1 0 70 1 2
Hearts Dundee 24 1 0 67
Kilmarnock Hamilton 34 1 0 49 1 2
Dundee UTD Inverness 7 1 0 56
Hamilton Hearts 45 1 0 53 1 2 2 2 3 2
Dundee Hearts 5 1 0 56 1 2
Kilmarnock Ross 36 1 0 63 1 2
Ross Motherwell 34 1 0 53 2 1 3 1 3 2
St Mirren Dundee 40 1 0 53 1 2
St John, Aberdeen 30 1 0 57
Dundee Inverness 21 1 0 55 1 2
Dundee St John. 41 1 0 53
Ross Dundee 27 1 0 69 2 1
Partick St Mirren 22 1 0 60 1 2
Dundee Celtic 1 1 0 55
Dundee Ross 19 1 0 51 2 1
St Mirren Hearts 28 1 0 48
St John, Celtic 9 1 0 53 1 2 1 3 2 3 3 3
Kilmarnock Hibernian 20 1 0 56
Ross St Mirren 38 1 0 66 2 1
St Mirren Hearts 3 1 0 48
Kilmarnock Partick 42 1 0 49 2 1
Dundee UTD Partick 2 1 0 57 2 1 3 1 4 1
Aberdeen Hearts 26 1 0 66 1 2 1 3
Partick Kilmarnock 11 1 0 48
Hearts Aberdeen 17 1 0 68 2 1
Kilmarnock Hibernian 23 1 0 47 1 2
Motherwell Aberdeen 1 1 0 62 1 2 1 3