The Effect of 0-1 Half Time in La Liga and the Second Half Home Fightback Goal

Posted on: September 11th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

backing barca at 1/6 is not going to be your best bet of the weekend even if it wins

nor will backing over 3.5 at 1/2

you would want around 3/1 +

 

I have an in play thread which has received nearly 500 000 views

http://mboard.infopop.cc/eve/forums?a=tpc&s=8066022531&f=2486088531&m=9647088576&r=4667028386#4667028386

 

In the table below I have added the last 50 games in La Liga where the away team were winning 1-0 at half time > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band, 70% ended over 2.5 goals and 14% ended over 3.5 goals 

 

 

 

The home teams won 34%, 36% ended a draw and the away teams won 30%  < no home bias 

2-2 full time > 6%

 

 

T T(1-1) T +2 T+3 HT FT
Barca Alaves 39 46 A64 0 1 1 2
Las Palmas Valencia 3 50 H63 0 1 2 1
Espanyol Bilbao 20 54 H57 0 1 2 1
Malaga Real M 33 66 0 1 1 1
Granada Real M 30 60 A85 0 1 1 2
Celta Sevilla 43 64 0 1 1 1
Valencia Rayo 15 55 A69 H88 0 1 2 2
Deportivo Vila 36 48 A90 0 1 1 2
Espanyol Levante 6 56 0 1 1 1
Vila Rayo 41 69 H86 0 1 2 1
Levante Depor 22 53 0 1 1 1
Villarreal Celta 41 67 A90 0 1 1 2
Espanyol Gijon 10 62 A90 0 1 1 2
Granada Depor. 25 65 0 1 1 1
Bilbao Real Madrid 19 67 A70 0 1 1 2
Levante Sevilla 12 58 0 1 1 1
Villarreal Espanyol 5 67 H87 H90 0 1 3 1
Levante Celta 41 55 A77 0 1 1 2
Cordoba Rayo 21 56 A78 0 1 1 2
Sevillia Almeira 30 65 H70 0 1 2 1
Celta Sevilla 8 58 0 1 1 1
Rayo Granada 8 65 H76 H90 0 1 3 1
Malaga Vilarreal 45 60 0 1 1 1
Celta Valencia 43 61 0 1 1 1
Valencia Real Madrid 14 52 H65 0 1 2 1
Malaga Eibar 42 53 H89 0 1 2 1
Malaga Granada 1 60 H80 0 1 2 1
Granada Deportivo 20 55 H77 0 1 2 1
Rayo Getafe 43 67 A90 0 1 1 2
Real Madrid Valencia 44 59 A65 H90 0 1 2 2
Osasuna Sociedad 8 59 0 1 1 1
Celta Getafe 20 59 0 1 1 1
Bilbao Espanyol 6 56 A65 0 1 1 2
Bilbao Valladolid 15 65 H75 H82 0 1 4 2
Celta Valencia 23 50 H78 0 1 2 1
Granada Sevilla 23 61 A87 0 1 1 2
Soceidad Sevilla 18 66 0 1 1 1
Valladoilid Malaga 24 56 H64 A76 0 1 2 2
Levante Rayo 20 52 A56 A72 0 1 2 3
Betis Deportivo 7 49 0 1 1 1
Valladoilid Getafe 45 68 H73 0 1 2 1
Barca Sevilla 42 52 H60 0 1 2 1
Celta Mallorca 22 56 0 1 1 1
Valladoilid Valencia 15 65 0 1 1 1
Levante Real Madrid 21 62 A84 0 1 1 2
Betis Granada 8 62 A74 0 1 1 2
Malaga Rayo 11 49 A61 0 1 1 2
Levante Sociedad 23 70 H87 0 1 2 1
Getafe Real Madrid 27 53 H75 0 1 2 1
Atl Madrid Malaga 38 69 H79 0 1 2 1