The Effect of 0-1 Half Time Game State in the Russian 1st Division added to the Early Away Goal Metric : Lay the Draw Strategy

Posted on: November 9th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 60 games in the Russian 1st Division where the away teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time GAME STATE was 0-1 and 52% ended over 2.5 goals.

 

6-4-50 <> 7% ended a draw 

 

The opening goal by the away team in the Russian 1st Division in the 0-20 minutes time band > low expectation of the game ending a draw because of 1. expectation of acceleration of goal production , 2. at 0-1 half time added to the early away goal in Russian 1st Division = lowered expectation of the home team fighting back

 

 

T HT FT
Neft Dinamo 9 0 1 0 1
Tambov Khimki 10 0 1 0 1
Volgar Moldovia 15 0 1 1 2
Luch Tambov 13 0 1 0 1
Mordovia Dinamo 10 0 1 0 1
Kuban Shinnik 14 0 1 0 1
Spartak Tyumen 20 0 1 2 3
Sokol Tosno 12 0 1 1 2
Neft Sibir 12 0 1 0 1
Kuban Tosno 7 0 1 1 1
Luch Fakel 16 0 1 0 2
Sokol Tyumen 17 0 1 0 1
KAM Orenburg 5 0 1 0 3
Tyumen Tomsk 11 0 1 1 1
Fakel Volga 12 0 1 1 2
Baykal Sokol 13 0 1 0 3
Tosno Tyumen 13 0 1 2 4
Tyumen Arsenal 18 0 1 1 2
Sokol Fakel 2 0 1 3 2
KAMAZ Volgar 7 0 1 0 2
Tosno Tomsk 2 0 1 3 1
KAMAZ Tyumen 2 0 1 0 1
Spartak Zenit 7 0 1 1 2
KAMAZ Arsenal 8 0 1 0 1
Tosno Sibir 5 0 1 0 1
Baikal Spartak 12 0 1 1 2
Armavir Fakel 5 0 1 1 2
Armavir Spartak 19 0 1 1 2
KAMAZ Spartak 20 0 1 0 1
Armavir Baltika 5 0 1 1 2
Shinnik Tom 13 0 1 0 1
Shinnik Arsenal 15 0 1 0 4
Sibir Sokol 13 0 1 1 3
Tom Arsenal 19 0 1 1 3
SKA Sokol 7 0 1 1 2
Fakel Tom 16 0 1 1 3
Yenisey Volga 10 0 1 0 1
Sakhalin Anzhi 7 0 1 0 3
Dinamo Sokol 14 0 1 0 3
Sibir Anzhi 17 0 1 0 2
SKA Gazovik 10 0 1 1 3
Luch Volga 13 0 1 2 1
Tyumen Tosno 6 0 1 2 1
Yenisey Baltika 8 0 1 0 1
Luch Shinnik 3 0 1 1 2
Volgar Anzhi 10 0 1 0 3
Khimik Sakhalin 18 0 1 1 2
Krylya Tosno 11 0 1 0 2
Sibir Gazovik 14 0 1 2 1
Sakhalin Shinnik 17 0 1 0 1
SKA- Dinamo 15 0 1 3 1
Luch Anzhi 11 0 1 1 2
Dinamo Luch 8 0 1 0 2
Sokol Baltika 16 0 1 1 1
Shinnik Yenisey 18 0 1 1 1
Sakhalin Khimik 9 0 1 0 1
Luch Sokol 15 0 1 0 1
Mordovia Arsenal 15 0 1 0 1
Yenisey Baltika 16 0 1 0 2
Angusht SKA 17 0 1 0 1