Spurs V Manchester City Preview Via Early Goal Data and Conceding the Opening Goal Data ( Survival Analysis )

Posted on: October 2nd, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Spurs last 30 games at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal

11-4-15  Spurs lost 50%

Manchester City last 30 games away in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal

6-6-18  City lost  60%

 

Spurs  since 2003-2004 at home in the Premier League have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 time band in 36  games,  86% ended over 2.5 goals and 47% ended over 3.5 goals 

Both team scored in 83% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 67%.

In the table below Spurs    won 36%, 17% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 47%

0-1 half time added to the early away goal metric in the table below > FT > 2-1 2-1 0-3 0-1 1-5 0-1 3-1 2-4 0-1 2-1 0-1 1-2 

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/spurs-conceding-the-opening-goal-at-home-in-the-premier-league-since-2003-2004-in-the-0-20-minutes-time-band/

 

In the table below I have added all the games since 2003-2004 where Manchester City   conceded the opening goal away in the league in the 0-10 minutes time band and 68%  ended over 2.5 goals 

Manchester City   won 9%, 9% ended a draw and they lost 82%

Both teams scored in 68%

 

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/manchester-city-conceding-the-opening-goal-away-in-the-league-in-the-0-10-minutes-time-band-since-2003-2004/

 

Spurs last 20 at home in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band

17-2-1  BTTS YES 65% , 85% over 2.5 goals , 50% over 3.5 goals and 70% over 1.5 first half goals 

 

Manchester City last 35 away games in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

24-8-3  City Won 69%, BTTS YES 74% , 69% over 2.5 goals , 57% over 3.5 goals and 71% over 1.5 first half goals