( SoccerRatings) National League Conceding the Opening Goal Data / Survival Analysis / ” Recovery” or Bust ?

Posted on: October 25th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Bromley
19 : 45
Dover Athletic

Bromley at home in the NL have conceded the opening goal in 10 of last 10 games  Eek

Bromley last 20 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-1 2-1 1-3 0-1 0-5 3-2 2-2 0-2 1-3 0-2 2-2 2-1 0-1 1-3 1-2 1-2 3-2 1-1 1-2 3-1

5-4-11 Bromley lost 55%

Dover last 20 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

5-0 2-0 2-1 1-1 1-2 3-0 2-3 1-0 4-2 1-0 1-1 3-1 3-2 1-0 2-3 1-0 3-2 1-1 2-0 1-4

13-3-4 Dover lost 65%

 

Dagenham & Red…
19 : 45
Aldershot Town

Aldershot last 20 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-1 1-1 2-0 1-0 4-0 8-2 2-0 2-1 1-1 5-2 2-0 1-2 3-0 3-1 1-3 3-1 2-3 1-0 3-0 1-0

14-3-3 Aldershot lost  70%

 

Eastleigh
19 : 45
Torquay United

Eastleigh last 21 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

0-1 2-4 0-1 2-1 0-1 2-1 0-2 2-5 1-2 1-1 1-2 2-1 0-1 1-2 0-1 0-2 2-2 4-1 2-2 3-1 2-2

5-4-12 Eastleigh lost 57%

Torquay last 21 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-0 2-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 4-3 1-2 5-0 2-1 1-0 4-1 4-0 2-2 2-0 1-1 3-2 2-0 2-1 1-2 2-1 2-0

17-2-2 Torquay lost 81%  Eek

 

Guiseley
19 : 45
Gateshead

Guiseley last 18 at home in NL when conceding the opening goal

6-1 1-2 1-4 0-2 0-2 3-3 0-1 2-2 1-1 0-1 1-4 1-1 0-3 0-1 2-1 4-4 0-2 0-4

2-5-11 Guiseley lost 61%

Gateshead last 20 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

3-0 3-0 1-0 1-1 1-1 3-1 4-0 4-0 1-0 3-0 1-2 2-0 2-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 2-2 1-0 1-1 1-1

13-6-1 Gateshead lost 65%

08/08/15 NAL Aldershot Town
1 – 2
Gateshead
R. Browne 21′
1 – 0
1 – 1
77′ R. Bowman
1 – 2
80′ R. Bowman

 

Lincoln City
19 : 45
Boreham Wood

Lincoln last 20 at home in NL when conceding the opening goal

1-2 1-3 2-3 0-1 0-1 1-1 0-1 3-1 1-1 5-3 1-1 1-2 1-2 0-2 0-2 0-1 1-2 1-1 2-3 3-3

2-5-13 Lincoln lost 65%

Boreham Wood last 13 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-1 1-1 1-1 1-4 3-2 2-2 4-1 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-1 1-0

6-6-1 Boreham Wood lost 46%

 

Macclesfield Town
19 : 45
Chester

Macclesfield last 21 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

0-2 0-1 0-1 1-1 1-2 0-2 0-1 1-2 1-2 1-2 4-1 0-1 3-2 0-1 2-2 1-1 0-2 1-2 0-1 1-1 1-2

2-4-15 Macclesfield lost 71%

Chester last 21 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-1 3-1 1-1 3-2 3-0 2-1 2-0 3-0 1-0 2-2 2-0 3-1 3-1 1-0 1-2 3-0 2-1 2-0 1-2 5-2 5-1

16-3-2 Chester lost 76%

 

Solihull Moors
19 : 45
Forest Green R…

Forest Green last 20 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-0 1-1 1-1 1-1 3-2 1-1 2-1 2-0 2-4 1-0 1-3 2-1 1-0 3-3 1-0 1-1 1-1 2-1 2-0 1-0

11-7-2 Forest Green lost 55%

 

Southport
19 : 45
York City

Southport last 20 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-2 1-4 0-1 1-1 2-1 0-3 2-2 0-1 0-3 1-1 0-1 3-2 0-4 1-1 0-1 0-4 1-2 0-4 2-2 0-2

2-5-13 Southport lost  65%

York City last 20 away in NL when conceding the opening goal

2-0 2-0 2-1 6-1 1-1 1-2 2-1 1-2 2-2 1-1 3-2 2-1 1-2 2-1 2-1 1-0 4-0 5-0 1-2 2-1

13-3-4 York lost 65%

 

Tranmere Rovers
19 : 45
North Ferriby …

Tranmere last 12 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

0-1 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 0-1 2-1 0-1 0-1 1-2 3-1 0-2

2-1-9 Tranmere lost 75%

North Ferriby away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-0 1-0 2-0 2-0 2-0 2-0 6-1

 

 

Woking
19 : 45
Braintree Town

Woking last 20 at home in NL when conceding the opening goal

1-1 3-3 3-1 1-3 0-1 1-3 1-3 0-1 0-1 2-2 2-5 1-1 0-1 1-2 0-1 3-2 2-2 3-2 1-2 1-1

3-6-11 Woking lost 55%

Braintree last 20 away in NL when conceding the opening goal

3-0 1-0 1-2 2-1 2-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 1-2 2-0 1-2 1-0 3-0 3-1 1-1 1-0 2-1 1-0 2-3 1-0

15-1-4 Braintree lost  75%

14/03/15 NAL Forest Green R…
1 – 1
Braintree Town
C. Clough 22′
1 – 0
1 – 1
45′ M. Brundle

 

Wrexham
19 : 45
Barrow

Wrexham last 21 at home in the NL when conceding the opening goal

1-2 2-3 0-1 2-2 3-1 1-3 0-1 2-3 3-3 2-3 3-1 1-1 0-4 1-3 3-1 0-1 2-1 1-2 2-2 0-3 0-1

4-4-13 Wrexham lost  62%

Barrow last 20 away in the NL when conceding the opening goal

3-1 1-1 2-0 3-1 1-2 1-2 1-1 2-1 2-2 3-1 3-1 4-1 5-0 1-0 1-1 4-0 4-1 2-1 4-0 1-1

13-5-2 Barrow lost  65%