Premier League last 500 Early Away Goal Games V the last 250 : How important is sample size ?

Posted on: July 19th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Last 250 games in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band >

76% ended over 2.5 goals > 1/0.76 = 1.32

50% ended over 3.5 goals = EVENS

Both teams scored in 74% 1/ 0.74 = 4/11

42% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes , 1/0.42 = 7/5

GAME PATHWAY

19/250 0-1 FT = 7.6% , 1/0.076 = 12/1

123/250 > 1-1 48-46-29 away teams won 24%

108/250 > 0-2 6-9-93 > away teams won 86% , 1/0.86 = 1.16

54-55-141 < away teams won 56% 1/0.56 = 4/5

Premier LEAGUE since 2009-2010 < inclusive > 500 games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 373/500 ended over 2.5 goals = 74.60% 1/0.746 = 1.34

242/500 ended over 3.5 goals = 48.4% , 1/0.484 = 2.07 < at 0-1 in games in the Premier League where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band < over 3.5 will be offered in the range 8/11 -10/11 Both teams scored in 380/500 = 76% 1/0.76 = 1.32

214/500 produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes = 42.8% 1/0.428 = 2.34

GAME PATHWAY

39/500 0-1 FT = 7.8% 1/0.78 = 12/1

247/500 > 1-1 100-91-56

214/500 > 0-2 11-22-181

111-113-276 away teams won 55.2% = 4/5

Premier League in games where the away team opened the scoring on 1 minute since 2009-2010 , average goal production is 4.13 < In 2014 the Racing Post advised that the opening goal on 1 minute in the Premier League in general does not produce a " landslide " of goals > I checked back over a number of seasons and it does >

2 minutes = 3.6

3 minutes = 3.4

4 minutes = 4.1

5 minutes = 3.94

6 minutes = 3.43

7 minutes = 3.17

8 minutes = 3.15

9 minutes = 3.4

10 minutes = 3.96

11 minutes = 3.96

12 minutes 3.79

13 minutes = 3.29

14 minutes = 3.31

15 minutes = 3.44

16 minutes = 3.67

17 minutes = 3.56

18 minutes = 4.36

19 minutes = 3.52

20 minutes = 3.125