Overweighing the importance of first half goals in soccer ? The Effect of the opening goal by the Away Team 0-20 minutes and 2-1 Half Time Game State to the home team in Ligue 2

Posted on: May 7th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

When betting on soccer live bettors must be wary of falling into a trap of being swayed by events that occur in a relatively short space of time. This article looks at why bettors shouldn’t overweigh the importance of a goal glut in the first half.

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/en/betting-articles/soccer/why-live-soccer-bettors-should-be-wary-of-rare-events

 

In the table below I have added the last 20 games in Ligue 2 where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and the half time game state was 2-1 to the home team , and 60% ended over 4.5 goals

The home teams won 80% and 20% ended an away win .

50% produced a goal 80 + minutes 

 

 

T HT FT Goal 80 +
Red Star Dijon 14 2 1 3 2 80 85
Le Havre Val 12 2 1 3 2 88
Arles Orleans 6 2 1 4 1
Tours Le Havre 10 2 1 3 2 90 90
Tours Auxerre 14 2 1 2 3
Istres Caen 17 2 1 2 3 88
Tours Chat 9 2 1 5 2 85 88
Tours Metz 4 2 1 4 2 86 90
Nimes Caen 14 2 1 2 1
Nantes Caen 8 2 1 2 1
Caen Auxere 15 2 1 3 1 88
Bastia Armiens 10 2 1 2 1
Le Havre Vannes 6 2 1 3 4
Vannes Nimes 5 2 1 3 1 85
Tours istres 9 2 1 2 3 81
Vannes laval 13 2 1 2 1
Nimes Strasbourg 11 2 1 2 1
Nantes Strasbourg 4 2 1 2 1
Strasbourg Reims 6 2 1 3 2 80 87
Mont Brest 6 2 1 3 2