Morecambe Early Away Goal Data in League 2 since 2008-2009

Posted on: October 12th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

When Morecambe opened the scoring at Notts County on 16 minutes , a growing army of early away goal followers ( I can see my blog hits are rising ) would have had expectation of the game ending over 2.5 goals .

In terms of Morecambe scoring an early away goal , I would hope that your focus was on  the % expectation of Notts County fighting back ( survival analysis ) , and at 0-1 half time ( game state ) your focus should have been on the % expectation of Notts County fighting back added to the time of the opening goal.

The table below shows all the games since 2008-2009 season where Morecambe opened the scoring away in the 0-20 minutes time band and 74% ended over 2.5 goals with 78% BTTS YES .

 

GAME PATHWAY 

2 0-1 FT

> 0-2 <> 0-2-10 Morecambe won 83%

> 1-1  <>  6-4-3 Morecambe won 23%

6-6-15 Morecambe won 56%

 

0-1 half time added to the early away goal in the table below

1-2 2-1 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 1-2 1-2 1-3 2-2  Morecambe won 60% end 60% ended over 2.5 goals 

 

Last  season in league 2 in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 49% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 85% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 70%

The home teams won 17%, 22% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 61%

40% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

0-1 half time added to the early away goal in the table below 5-3-20 <> away team won 71% and 54% over 2.5 goals 

 

GAME PATHWAY

3/92 0-1 FT

51/92 > 1-1 13-12-26 <> away teams won 51%

38/92 > 0-2 3-8-27 <> away teams won 71%

 

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/the-effect-of-the-early-away-goal-in-league-2-2014-2015-v-2015-2016-league-2-early-away-goal-data-and-analysis-2/

 

 

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80+
County Morecambe 16 A55 0 1 1 2 90
Accrington Morecambe 12 H21 1 1 2 2
Rovers Morecambe 12 H68 0 1 2 1
Mansfield Morecambe 1 H15 2 1 2 1
County Morecambe 8 A23 1 2 2 2
Portsmouth Morecambe 11 A25 1 3 3 3 90
York Morecambe 10 H34 1 1 2 1
Exeter Morecambe 17 H80 0 1 1 1 80
Luton Morecambe 18 A29 1 2 2 3 86
Oxford Morecambe 11 H87 0 1 1 1 87
Newport Morecambe 8 0 1 0 1
Southend Morecambe 5 0 1 0 1
Cambridge Morecambe 16 H55 0 1 1 2
Rochdale Morecambe 10 A61 0 1 1 2
Exeter Morecambe 14 A24 0 3 0 3
Oxford Morecambe 3 H5 1 1 1 2
North. Morecambe 15 A25 0 2 0 2
Shrew. Morecambe 7 A28 0 2 1 3
Shrew. Morecambe 9 A15 1 2 2 3
Lincoln Morecambe 17 H66 0 1 1 3 82 90
Accrington Morecambe 17 H29 1 1 3 2 83
Port Vale Morecambe 1 A39 0 2 0 2
Crewe Morecambe 7 A37 0 2 1 2
Exeter Morecambe 9 H49 0 1 2 2
Dag. Morecambe 13 A15 0 2 0 2
Brentford Morecambe 5 H8 3 1 3 1
Bury Morecambe 14 H19 2 1 2 1