Marseille V Nantes Review Via early Goal Data and the Effect of the Early Away Goal and 1-1 Half Time in Ligue 1

Posted on: September 25th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Nantes early away goal 11/4 9/4 21/20 ,  over 2.5 at 1/2.

LAST season in Ligue 1 in games where the away teams opened the scoring 0-20 minutes , 66% ended over 2.5 goals and 42% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 64% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 54%

The home teams won 14% 17% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 69%

37% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

0-1 half time added to the early away goal in the table below > 22% ended a draw and 67% ended UNDER 2.5 goals

GAME PATHWAY

7/59 0-1 FT

23/59  goal > 1-1 <> 7-8-8 <> away teams won 35%

29/59 > 0-2 <> 1-2-26 away teams won 90%

 

Nantes away in Ligue 1 when opening the scoring 0-20

1-2 0-1 2-1 2-1 1-1 1-1 0-1 1-3 2-1 2-1 2-2 2-1

29/09/13 LI1 Rennes
1 – 3
Nantes
0 – 1
17′ F. Đorđević
0 – 2
42′ S. Gakpé
Nélson Oliveira 55′
1 – 2
1 – 3
90′ L. Deaux

 

 

Evens 7/4 15/4 at 1-1

Nantes game on 36 minutes < over 3.5 is offered at 10/11

Nantes last 12 away in Ligue 1 when opening the scoring 0-20 and 1/12 ended  over 3.5

1-1 HT  13/10 6/4 10/3 over 3.5 at 6/5

 

 

Betting Strategy ( Ligue 1 )

“1-1 half time added to the early away goal metric and you should lay the home team and hedge with a back of the home team correct score 2-1 .”

The above strategy in the table below would have lost in 9/60 (15%)

In the table below I have added all the games since 2011-2012 that were 1-1 at half time in Ligue 1 with the opening goal by the away team 0-20 minutes, the home teams won 32%, 45% ended a draw and the away teams won 23%.

The home teams in the table below scored 3+ goals in only 17%  Thumbs Upand a whopping 40% ended 1-1.

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/the-ef…in-france-ligue-1-2/

 

Summary

If you backed over 3.5 goals in the Marseille game as time decayed in the 2nd half then not your best bet of the weekend ( FT 2-1 )