Mansfield V Notts County Preview Via Conceding the Opening Goal Data and Early Goal Data

Posted on: October 5th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Sean O’Callaghan
Head & 1st Team Performance Analyst at Mansfield Town Football Club

I doubt Mr O’Callaghan will read this blog post but I think I can be of some help with a simple analytical tweek when Mansfield are at home which is to be more conservative in the opening few minutes ( high pressing when not in possession ).

Mansfield since 2013-2014 in League 2 have conceded the opening goal at home in 31 games and a whopping 20/31 ( 65% ) of the opening goals conceded were in the 0-20 minutes time band . 

 GAME PATHWAY 

10/31 <> 1-1 <> 2-4-4

13/31 <> 0-2 <> 0-1-12

8/31 <> 0-1 FT

2-5-24  Mansfield lost 77%

Last season in league 2 in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 49% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 85% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 70%

The home teams won 17%, 22% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 61%

GAME PATHWAY

3/92 0-1 FT

51/92 > 1-1 13-12-26 <> away teams won 51%

38/92 > 0-2 3-8-27 <> away teams won 71%

 

Mansfield at home in league 2 when opening the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band 

5-0 1-1 1-1 3-2 1-0 1-0 <> in general in league 2 in games where the home team open the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band , and lowered expectation of a draw .

 

Last  season in League 2 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals

Both team scored in 70%  and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 72%

The home teams won 63%, 14% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 23%

44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes 

 

GAME PATHWAY ( 2015-2016)

3/57  1-0 FT

> 1-1   20/57 <>  3-6-11 <> home teams won 15%

> 2-0  34/57 <> 30-2-2 <> home teams won 88%

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/league-2-early-home-goal-data-2014-2015-v-2015-2016-2/

 

Notts County last 20 away in league 2 when conceding the opening goal

1-3 1-2 2-0 5-0 2-2 4-0 1-0 1-0 3-2 2-1 3-0 1-1 3-1 4-1 2-1 1-1 2-1 3-3 2-1 1-0

14-4-2 Notts County lost 70%

 

Notts County away in League 2 when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band 

 

0-2 2-3 3-1 2-3 2-2 2-1 1-4 0-3 0-4 3-2 1-1 0-4 1-2