Manchester United V Stoke City Preview Via Early Goal Data and Conceding the Opening Goal Data ( Survival Analysis )

Posted on: October 1st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Manchester United last 31 games  at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal

9-3-19  Manchester United Lost 61%

Stoke last 31 games away in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal

2-9-20 Stoke lost 65%

 

Man UTD since 2003-2004 at home in the Premier League have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 time band in 18 games, 89% ended over 2.5 goals ( at 0-1 in the Manchester Derby over 2.5 goals was offered at 1/2 )  and 61% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both team scored in 94% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 67%.

Man UTD won 44.44%, 22.22% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 33.33%

In the table below Manchester United scored the 2nd goal of the game in 13/18 ( 72% )

 

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/manchester-united-conceding-the-opening-goal-at-home-in-the-premier-league-since-2003-2004-in-the-0-20-minutes-time-band-2/

 

In the table below I have added all the games since 2008-2009  where Stoke   conceded the opening goal away in the  Premier league in the 0-10 minutes time band ,  80% ended over 2.5 goals and 70% ended over 3.5 goals 

Stoke won 5%, 20% ended a draw and they lost 75%

Both teams scored in 55%

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/stoke-conceding-the-opening-goal-away-in-the-league-in-the-0-10-minutes-time-band-since-2008-2009-2/

 

Manchester United last 26 at home in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band

25-1-0  BTTS YES 46% , 69% over 2.5 goals , 46% over 3.5 goals and 65% over 1.5 goals in the first half 

 

Stoke last 19 away in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minute time band

9-7-3  Stoke won 47% , BTTS YES 79% , 58% over 2.5 goals , 37% over 3.5 goals , and 53% over 1.5 goals in the first half