League 2 early home goal data 2014-2015 V 2015-2016

Posted on: May 9th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In League 2 last season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 64% ended over 2.5 goals and 37% ended over 3.5 goals

Both team scored in 58% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 57%

The home teams won 72%, 18% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 10% 

1-0 half time to the home team with the early home goal metric . league 2 2014-2015 > 86% ended a home win and 62% ended under 2.5 goals.

This season in League 2 where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 54% ended over 3.5 goals

Both team scored in 70%  and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 72%

The home teams won 63%, 14% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 23%

1-0 half time to the home teams in the table below, 62.5% ended a home win and 62.5%  ended under 2.5 goals

44% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes 

GAME PATHWAY ( 2015-2016)

3/57  1-0 FT

> 1-1   20/57 <>  3-6-11 <> home teams won 15%

> 2-0  34/57 <> 30-2-2 <> home teams won 88%

 

“In this masterwork Pullein explains how you can work out what is likely to happen …. Kevin Pullein is the leading football commentator for the Racing Post. … for instance, a team which is losing by 0-1 is 6% more likely to score the next goal “

In league 2 in games where the home team open the scoring 0-10 minutes it is the home team that will be more likely to score the 2nd goal.

 

 

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80+
Plymouth Hartlepool 6 H25 2 0 5 0 83
Northampton Luton 4 H36 2 0 2 0
Yeovil Northampton 6 A35 1 1 1 1
Oxford Hartlepool 7 H90 1 0 2 0 90
Cambridge Morecambe 6 H17 5 0 7 0 90
Stevenage Newport 9 H33 2 0 2 1 87
Oxford Luton 2 A44 1 2 2 3
Mansfield Notts County 6 H57 1 0 5 0 83
Morecambe Barnet 1 H8 2 0 4 2 88 90
Dagenham Morecambe 8 H30 2 0 2 1
Rovers Cambridge 9 H18 2 0 3 0
Cambridge Yeovil 4 H45 2 0 3 0 87
Newport Rovers 2 A15 1 1 1 4 85
Hartlepool Dagenham 4 H14 2 1 3 1
Exeter Carlisle 7 H27 1 1 2 2 85
Rovers Hartlepool 10 H31 3 0 4 1
Cambridge York 10 H26 2 1 3 1
AFC Yeovil 9 A12 2 2 2 3
Plymouth Stevenage 3 A6 3 1 3 2
Orient Exeter 1 A14 1 3 1 3
Barnet Rovers 5 1 0 1 0
Northampton Barnet 5 H52 1 0 3 0
Wycombe Crawley 7 H90 1 0 2 0 90
Stevenage Accrington 1 A85 1 0 1 1 85
Carlisle County 6 H45 2 0 3 0
Luton Northampton 9 A18 1 3 3 4
Stevenage Morecambe 7 A13 2 1 4 3 82 90
Orient AFC 10 A80 1 0 1 1 80
Carlisle Crawley 2 H29 2 1 3 1
County Barnet 6 H9 2 0 4 2 90
Luton Carlisle 4 A45 1 1 3 4 80
Crawl;ey Rovers 9 H10 2 0 2 1 87
Northampton Mansfield 4 1 0 1 0
Exeter Crawley 8 A28 2 1 2 2 90
Plymouth Morecambe 3 H12 2 0 2 0
Accrington Dagenham 2 H45 2 0 3 1
Exeter Cambridge 9 1 0 1 0
Accrington Wimbledon 5 H10 3 3 3 4
Hartlepool Barnet 7 A64 1 0 1 1
Stevenage Wycombe 10 H60 1 0 2 1
Wimbledon Morecambe 3 A8 1 3 2 5 80 90
Exeter Stevenage 4 H15 2 2 3 3 80 90
Cambridge Portsmouth 5 A67 1 0 1 3 87
Northampton Hartlepool 4 H21 2 1 2 1
Wimbledon Barnet 7 H90 1 0 2 0 90
Wycombe Northampton 2 A35 1 1 2 3 82
Accrington Yeovil 8 A35 1 1 2 1
Barnet Dagenham 1 H34 2 0 3 1
Exeter Orient 5 H37 2 0 4 0
Stevenage Plymouth 6 H38 2 0 2 1
Yeovil Morecambe 2 H30 2 0 2 4 84 90
Carlisle Barnet 2 H19 2 2 3 2
Hartlepool Carlisle 6 A57 1 0 2 3 84
York Mansfield 6 A13 1 2 1 2
Rovers Barnet 2 H77 1 0 3 1 85 87
Mansfield Oxford 3 A58 1 0 1 1
Wycombe York 7 H28 2 0 3 0

 

 

 

The early home goal metric in League 2 and lowered expectation of the game ending a DRAW