League 1 Conceding the Opening Goal Data / Survival Analysis / ” Recovery” or Bust ?

Posted on: October 5th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Peterborough U…
12 : 00
Bury

Peterborough at home in League 1 when conceding the opening goal

1-1 2-2 0-1 5-1  0-2  1-2 1-2 0-4  0-1 2-3 2-3 1-1 1-1  1-3 2-1 4-3  1-1 0-1 1-2 0-2

3-5-12 Peterborough lost  60%

Bury last 20 away in League 1 when conceding the opening goal 

3-3 2-1 3-0 2-1 1-1 3-0 3-0 6-0 3-0 2-0 1-0 4-1 1-0 2-0 2-1 3-3 1-1 2-0 2-0 4-1

16-4-0 Bury lost 80%

Bury last 38 away games in League 1 when conceding the opening goal and won 0/38

26/12/11 LEO S****horpe United
1 – 3
Bury
S. Duffy 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
50′ P. Sweeney
1 – 2
69′ A. Bishop
1 – 3
82′ E. Soda

 

Swindon Town
13 : 00
Bolton Wanderers

Swindon last 20 at home in League 1 when conceding the opening goal 

1-3 1-2 0-1 1-1 1-4 2-2 3-2 0-1 4-2 2-2 1-2 1-2 1-2 0-1 0-2 4-1 2-2 3-3 0-1 0-3

3-5-12 Swindon lost 60%

 

Bradford City
15 : 00
Shrewsbury Town

Bradford City last 20 at home in League 1 when conceding the opening goal

2-1 1-1 3-1 2-2 2-1 0-1 1-1 0-2 0-6 0-3 0-1 2-1 1-1 1-2 0-2 1-1 1-3 0-1 2-3 0-2

4-5-11 Bradford lost 55%

 

Shrewsbury Town last 20 away in League 1 when conceding the opening goal 

1-1 2-1 2-3 3-0 3-0 2-1 1-2 7-1 1-1 2-4 1-0 2-0 3-0  3-2 1-1 1-1 1-1 5-2 2-1 1-0

12-5-3   Shrewsbury Town lost  60%

 

Gillingham
15 : 00
Oldham Athletic

Gillingham last 20 at home in league 1 when conceding the opening goal 

2-1 1-1 1-2  2-3 0-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 0-3  3-1 1-1 2-1  5-1 3-1  0-1 2-2 1-1 0-1 3-1 1-3

7-4-9 Gillingham lost  45%

= Super strong in this profile > by contrast Gillingham away when opening the scoring 0-20 are the most chronic team in Europe  Eek

Oldham Athletic last 20 away in League 1 when conceding the opening goal 

1-1 3-0 3-0 1-1 2-1 3-0 1-0 1-1 1-0 1-2 3-3 1-1 1-1 2-0 2-0 2-0 3-0 1-0 3-2 7-0

13-6-1 Oldham lost 65%

14/11/15 LEO Chesterfield
1 – 2
Oldham Athletic
S. Ebanks-Blake 34′
1 – 0
1 – 1
72′ D. Poleon
1 – 2
87′ D. Philliskirk

 

Rochdale
15 : 00
Southend United

Rochdale last 20 at home in league 1 when conceding the opening goal

1-1 0-1 2-2 4-1 0-1 2-3 3-1 2-1 0-2 1-3 1-2 2-3 2-4 1-2 0-2 2-2 0-3 0-1 0-2 1-1

3-4-13 Rochdale lost  65%

 

Southend United last 20 away in league 1 when conceding the opening goal

4-0 4-0 2-0  4-1 1-0 2-0 3-1 2-0 1-0  3-0 1-0 2-2 1-1  2-2 2-0 3-0 3-0 3-1  2-0 2-0

17-3-0 Southend lost  85%

Mon 28/12/09 LEO Leyton Orient
1 – 2
Southend United
A. Chambers 57′
1 – 0
1 – 1
59′ A. Barrett
1 – 2
74′ A. McCormack

 

S****horpe United
15 : 00
Northampton Town

S****horpe last 20 at home in league 1 when conceding the opening goal 

2-2 3-1 1-1 1-1 0-1  0-4 0-2  2-1 0-1 0-1  2-1 1-1 1-1 0-1 3-1 0-1 0-2 0-1  1-2 2-1 

5-5-10  S****horpe lost  50%

 

Milton Keynes Dons
14 : 15
Port Vale

Milton Keynes Dons last 20 at home in League 1 when conceding the opening goal

1-3 0-2 1-2 2-2 0-2 0-3 2-1 2-1 1-2 4-2 1-3 2-2 0-2 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-1 2-1 0-1 2-3

4-2-14 MK Dons lost 70%

 

Port Vale last 20 away in League 1 when conceding the opening goal 

4-1 1-0 1-0  2-3 1-0  3-0 3-1 1-0 2-1 2-0 2-1 1-0 1-2 1-0 1-0 2-2 1-0 1-0  2-3 3-1

16-1-3  Port Vale lost  80%

18/08/15 LEO Swindon Town
2 – 2
Port Vale
F. Robert 12′
1 – 0
1 – 1
21′ U. Ikpeazu
A. Rodgers 66′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ S. Foley (PG)