In Play Betting Review : Sampdoria V Roma and Udinese V AC Milan Via ” GAME STATE ” analysis

Posted on: January 29th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

At half time Roma were offered at 11/10 and Milan were offered at 15/8

In Serie A last season in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 HT > 21% ended in away wins , 14-15 season 26% , and 2013-2014 13%

In the table below I have added the last 40 games in Serie A where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band > 1-1 pathway in the first half;

20-14-6 <> away teams won 15% <> 1/0.15 = 11/2

The betting industry does not consider that the perceived strength of a team can be weakened by variables that may occur which you can exploit

83% ended over 2.5 goals and 65% over 3.5 goals , 1/0.65 = 8/15

T T+1 HT FT
Sampdoria Roma A5 H21 1 1 3 2
Udinese Milan A8 H31 1 1 2 1
Sassuolo Palmero A8 H15 2 1 4 1
Espanyol Milan A15 H17 1 1 1 4
Bologna Palermo A9 H20 1 1 3 1
Genoa Udinese A11 H24 1 1 1 1
Pescara Sampdoria A12 H23 1 1 1 1
Inter Bologna A14 H37 1 1 1 1
Atalanta Udinese A10 H19 1 1 1 1
Genoa Roma A6 H13 1 1 2 3
Sampdoria Lazio A3 H20 1 1 2 1
Torino Sassuolo A2 H7 1 1 1 3
Inter Udinese A9 H36 1 1 3 1
Chievo Frosinone A5 H36 1 1 5 1
Atalanta Milan A5 H44 1 1 2 1
Carpi Sassuolo A4 H25 1 2 1 3
Milan Lazio A9 H15 1 1 1 1
Napoli Chievo A2 H6 2 1 3 1
Empoli Roma A5 H22 1 2 1 3
Hellas Inter A8 H12 2 1 3 3
Hellas Genoa A19 H39 1 1 1 1
Empoli Milan A8 H32 1 1 2 2
Napoli Sassuolo A3 H19 2 1 3 1
Sassuolo Frosinone A16 H22 1 2 2 2
Juventus Fiorentina A3 H6 1 1 3 1
Sassuolo Fiorentina A5 H42 1 1 1 1
Frosinone Genoa A6 H31 2 1 2 2
Chievo Sampdoria A8 H34 1 1 1 1
Genoa Chievo A1 H13 2 1 3 2
Juventus Bologna A5 H33 1 1 3 1
Sassuolo Atalanta A13 H22 2 2 2 2
Sassuolo Napoli A3 H32 1 1 2 1
Genoa Inter A19 H24 2 2 3 2
Napoli Cesena A15 H19 2 2 3 2
Roma Udinese A19 H45 1 1 2 1
Hellas Empoli A6 H24 1 1 2 1
Empoli Fiorentina A4 H28 1 1 2 3
Napoli Sampdoria A12 H31 2 1 4 2
Empoli Parma A19 H32 2 1 2 2
Udinese Torino A15 H17 2 1 3 2