Hull V Chelsea Preview Via Early Goal Data and Conceding the Opening Goal Data ( Survival Analysis )

Posted on: September 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Hull last 31 at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal 

1-1-29  Hull lost 94%  <> lost last 22 ( 3-3 V West Ham and beat Stoke ) 

 

Chelsea last 31 away in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal 

9-3-19  Chelsea lost 61%

 

Hull at home in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band 

 

1-4 2-3 0-1 0-1 2-4 0-2 0-2 1-4 0-1 0-2 1-2 3-3 1-5 1-2 1-4 0-3 0-5 2-1 1-1-16 ( draw was against West Ham and they beat Fulham ) 

 

In the table below I have added all the games since 2003-2004 where Chelsea conceded the opening goal away in the league in the 0-10 minutes time band and 68% ended over 2.5 goals 

Chelsea  won 27%, 23% ended a draw and they lost 50%

Both teams scored in 73%

http://www.sotdoc.co.uk/chelsea-conceding-the-opening-goal-away-in-the-league-in-the-0-10-minutes-time-band-since-2003-2004/

 

Hull at home in the Premier League when opening the scoring 0-10 minutes 

1-2 2-3 1-4  3-2 1-1

 

Chelsea last 35 away games in the Premier League when opening the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band

26-2-7  Chelsea won 74% , BTTS YES 74%, 83% over 2.5 goals , 54% over 3.5 , 54% over 1.5 goals in the first half