Everton Conceding the Opening Goal at Home in the Premier League since 2003-2004 in the 0-20 minutes time band

Posted on: December 14th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Everton since 2003-2004 at home in the Premier League have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 time band in 31 games, 65% ended over 2.5 goals and 45% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both team scored in 74% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 65%.

5-10-16 <> Everton lost 52% <> 1/0.52 = 10/11 <> at 0-1 Arsenal were offered at 1/3 and we can see that the price was not perceived value as higher expectation of Everton fighting back then the market predicted.

2008-2009- 2015-2016 in the Premier League in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , both teams scored in 69% 78% 78% 68% 85.50% 69% 71% 73% and you should be looking at the early goal metric in terms of the % expectation of the other team fighting back .

It is logical to assume that Arsenal at 0-1 were not perceived value because > 1-1 pathway was just as likely as > 0-2 pathway with fairly high expectation that Everton would score in the game as a result of the early away goal metric in the Premier League.

T HT FT
Everton Arsenal 20 1 1 2 1
Everton Arsenal 7 0 2 0 2
Everton WBA 14 0 1 0 1
Everton Swansea 17 1 2 1 2
Everton Stoke 16 1 2 3 4
Everton Man UTD 18 0 2 0 3
Everton Watford 13 0 1 2 2
Everton Chelsea 1 1 2 3 6
Everton Liverpool 5 1 2 3 3
Everton Villa 2 1 2 3 3
Everton Arsenal 1 1 1 1 1
Everton Liverpool 14 2 2 2 2
Everton Southampton 6 3 1 3 1
Everton Arsenal 8 0 1 0 1
Everton Stoke 15 0 1 0 1
Everton Man UTD 19 0 1 0 1
Everton Birmingham 17 1 1 1 1
Everton WBA 16 1 2 1 4
Everton Man UTD 16 1 1 3 1
Everton Chelsea 17 1 1 2 1
Everton Liverpool 12 0 1 0 2
Everton Villa 1 1 1 2 3
Everton Boro 8 0 1 1 1
Everton Portsmouth 12 0 2 0 3
Everton Blackburn 16 0 1 1 1
Everton WBA 14 0 1 2 2
Everton Liverpool 11 1 2 1 3
Everton Birmingham 5 0 1 1 1
Everton Bolton 16 1 1 3 2
Everton Bolton 14 0 1 1 2
Everton Man UTD 9 0 3 3 4