Does Home Advantage exist when teams in the Premier League are losing 1-0 at Home at HT ( opening goal 0-20 minutes ) ?

Posted on: September 4th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added a sample of 50 games where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes and the half time game state was 0-1 .

The home teams won 24%, 26% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 50%

46% produced a goal 80 + minutes 

Summary 

If you are backing a top 6 team in the Premier league at half  time or as time decays in the 2nd half when they are losing 1-0 at half time ( opening goal 0-20 minutes ) then you will need to trigger at around 3/1 + , and in effect all the value will be with the away team if they are considered the perceived weaker team at half time .

 

 

T HT FT Goal 80 +
Chelsea Southampton 1 0 1 3 1 90
Chelsea Newcastle 19 0 1 0 2 90
Chelsea West Brom 4 0 1 2 1 83
Chelsea Fulham 4 0 1 2 1
Chelsea Liverpool 10 0 1 0 1
Chelsea Man UTD 18 0 1 1 1 80
Chelsea Bolton 4 0 1 5 1
Arsenal Man City 18 0 1 1 1
Arsenal Swansea 11 0 1 2 2 90
Arsenal Liverpool 5 0 1 2 2
Arsenal Everton 9 0 1 3 1 90
Arsenal Fulham 1 0 1 2 1 83 90
Arsenal Bolton 12 0 1 1 1 90
Arsenal Spurs 5 0 1 2 1
Man City Man UTD 16 0 1 0 1
Man City Leicester 3 0 1 1 3 87
Man City Arsenal 20 0 1 0 3 88
Man City Chelsea 6 0 1 0 2
Man City Wigan 18 0 1 0 1
Man City Newcastle 9 0 1 1 1
Man City Arsenal 14 0 1 0 1
Man City Leicester 12 0 1 0 3
Man UTD Man City 1 0 1 0 3 90
Man UTD Fulham 19 0 1 2 2 80 90
Man UTD Blackburn 16 0 1 2 3 80
Man UTD Chelsea 20 0 1 1 2 81
Man UTD Sunderland 7 0 1 2 2 90
Man UTD Chelsea 19 0 1 1 1
Liverpool Man UTD 14 0 1 1 2
Liverpool Villa 9 0 1 0 1
Liverpool Newcastle 20 0 1 2 1
Liverpool Fulham 5 0 1 0 1
Liverpool Villa 10 0 1 1 1 82
Liverpool Spurs 9 0 1 0 2
Liverpool Charlton 2 0 1 2 2 90
Liverpool Blackburn 17 0 1 1 1
Liverpool Boro 4 0 1 1 1
Liverpool Southampton 2 0 1 1 2
Spurs Swansea 19 0 1 2 1
Spurs Arsenal 11 0 1 2 1 86
Spurs Liverpool 8 0 1 0 3
Spurs Arsenal 2 0 1 0 1
Spurs Man City 15 0 1 1 5 89
Spurs Newcastle 13 0 1 0 1
Spurs Man City 5 0 1 3 1 82
Spurs Chelsea 17 0 1 2 4 90
Spurs Wolves 3 0 1 0 1
Spurs Liverpool 3 0 1 2 1 90
Spurs Hull 9 0 1 0 1
Spurs Villa 5 0 1 1 2 87