Did you back over 3.5/4.5 goals during the Game between PSG and Lyon ?

Posted on: March 21st, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

PSG at home in the league when conceding the opening goal 0-20

2-1 4-2 2-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 4-2 2-2 2-1 1-3 0-3 1-1 3-2

43% ended over 3.5

1/0.43 = 13/8

21% over 4.5 goals

1/0.21 = 15/4

at 0-1 over 4.5 was offered at 11/8

and over 3.5 was offered at 8/15

last season in Ligue 1 in games where the away teams opened the scoring 0-20 minutes , 66% ended over 2.5 goals , 42% ended over 3.5 goals and 29% ended over 4.5 goals ( 5/2 )

Summary

Do not take a blanket approach to the early goal metric and assume that if the home team ( perceived stronger ) concedes an early goal that there will be a landslide of goals.